Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split Previsão

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Raków Częstochowa

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2 : 3

HT 0 - 1

Jogo de ida 2-2 · Agregado 4-5

HNK Hajduk Split

Away

Chamada de IA Raków Częstochowa ou empate

41%

28%

30%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Raków Częstochowa x HNK Hajduk Split: O Sportiko estima 41% de probabilidade de vitória para o Raków Częstochowa, 30% para o HNK Hajduk Split e 28% de empate. Atualizado 27 Aug 2026, 19:40.

Match Report

Hajduk Split claimed a dramatic 3–2 victory at Raków Częstochowa in their UEFA Europa Conference League playoff clash, with the Croatian side dominant throughout. Ron Raçi gave the visitors the lead inside the opening minute, and although Mohamed Lamine Diaby had a goal disallowed for offside shortly after, Hajduk's 68% possession advantage underlined their control as they carried a 1–0 lead into the break.

The second half brought further twists. Diaby converted a penalty on the hour mark to double Hajduk's advantage, before Michele Šego added a third on 66 minutes to seemingly put the tie beyond doubt. Raków hit back through Mahir Emreli in the 88th minute — the striker collecting a yellow card moments later — before Rokas Pukštas pulled another back in stoppage time to set up a tense finish, but Hajduk held on.

Despite the late drama, Hajduk's clinical edge proved decisive. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Raków win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark as the visitors secured a vital away victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 1'

Ron Raçi assist: Dalisson de Almeida

Mohamed Lamine Diaby Goal Disallowed - offside

12' 🖵

HT 0–1

Erick Otieno ⇄ Jean Carlos Silva

49' ⇄

Michael Ameyaw Yellow Card

51' ▮

▮ 51'

Niko Sigur Yellow Card

Mohamed Lamine Diaby Penalty

60' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 62'

Mathieu Acapandié Yellow Card

⚽ 1–2 66'

Michele Šego assist: Marin Šotiček

⇄ 70'

Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba ⇄ Anđelo Šutalo

⇄ 71'

Dalisson de Almeida ⇄ Alberto del Moral

⇄ 71'

Mathieu Acapandié ⇄ Dario Melnjak

Karol Struski ⇄ Wladyslaw Kocherhin

71' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Marin Šotiček ⇄ Adam Huram

Patryk Makuch

84' ⇄

Michael Ameyaw ⇄ Isak Brusberg

84' ⇄

Mahir Emreli

88' ⚽ 2–2

Mahir Emreli Yellow Card

89' ▮

⇄ 91'

Michele Šego ⇄ Marko Livaja

Fran Tudor ⇄ Arvid Brorsson

91' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 94'

Rokas Pukštas assist: Dario Marešić

⇄ 96'

Dario Marešić ⇄ Alec Van Hoorenbeeck

▮ 99'

Yellow Card

Mohamed Lamine Diaby ⇄ Oliwier Kwiatkowski

106' ⇄

FT 2–3

Raków Częstochowa

Match Stats

HNK Hajduk Split

68% Ball Possession 32%

Expected Goals (xG)

19 Total Shots 12

5 Shots on Goal 4

6 Shots off Goal 7

8 Blocked Shots 1

12 Shots insidebox 9

7 Shots outsidebox 3

5 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 21

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

675 Total passes 322

556 Passes accurate 209

82% Passes % 65%

goals_prevented

Raków Częstochowa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Mahir Emreli F	7.9	119'	1	–	4	36 (25%)	1
10 Wladyslaw Kocherhin M	7.3	48'	–	–	2	38 (29%)	–
19 Michael Ameyaw M	7.3	84'	–	–	1	29 (21%)	4
7 Fran Tudor D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	80 (71%)	4
80 Mohamed Lamine Diaby F	7.2	105'	1	–	1	22 (20%)	–
4 Stratos Svarnas D	7.0	119'	–	–	–	103 (93%)	1
15 Oliwier Kwiatkowski M	6.9	14'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	2
1 Kacper Trelowski G	6.7	119'	–	–	–	53 (35%)	–
25 Bogdan Racovițan D	6.6	119'	–	–	–	99 (94%)	–
20 Jean Carlos Silva M	6.5	70'	–	–	–	44 (35%)	–
88 Ádin Molnár M	6.5	35'	–	–	1	15 (14%)	–
3 Arvid Brorsson D	6.5	29'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	1
6 Oskar Repka M	6.3	119'	–	–	–	51 (39%)	1
26 Erick Otieno M	6.3	49'	–	–	–	11 (6%)	1
9 Patryk Makuch F	6.3	84'	–	–	2	25 (16%)	1
39 Isak Brusberg F	6.2	35'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
23 Karol Struski M	6.2	71'	–	–	–	28 (23%)	2

HNK Hajduk Split

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Rokas Pukštas M	7.9	119'	1	–	2	36 (22%)	–
14 Ron Raçi D	7.9	119'	1	–	1	28 (18%)	4
9 Dalisson de Almeida M	7.7	71'	–	1	–	15 (11%)	2
33 Toni Silić G	7.3	119'	–	–	–	42 (17%)	–
11 Michele Šego F	7.3	90'	1	–	2	10 (7%)	2
20 Alberto del Moral M	6.9	48'	–	–	–	20 (13%)	2
17 Dario Melnjak D	6.9	48'	–	–	–	19 (11%)	1
15 Dario Marešić D	6.9	96'	–	1	–	27 (22%)	3
22 Mathieu Acapandié D	6.7	71'	–	–	–	25 (16%)	5
8 Niko Sigur M	6.6	119'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	1
23 Marin Šotiček M	6.6	79'	–	1	–	8 (6%)	1
5 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D	6.6	23'	–	–	1	4 (2%)	–
16 Anđelo Šutalo M	6.6	49'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	1
26 Adam Huram M	6.5	40'	–	–	–	13 (8%)	–
32 Šimun Hrgović D	6.3	119'	–	–	3	24 (17%)	2
7 Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba M	6.3	70'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
10 Marko Livaja F	6.2	29'	–	–	2	9 (9%)	1

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Raków Częstochowa ou empate

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Raków Częstochowa

LLWLL

HNK Hajduk Split

LWWWW

Last 1 meetings Raków Częstochowa · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

30%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

HNK Hajduk Split goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	7	13	8	4	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	3	5	3	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Raków Częstochowa goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	6.2%	5.2%	2.4%	0.8%
1	7.1%	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.5%	8.9%	6.0%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.3%	4.5%	3.1%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.3%	1.7%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Raków Częstochowa	Draw	HNK Hajduk Split
Raków Częstochowa	21.8%	4.3%	2.2%
Draw	16.0%	17.0%	13.0%
HNK Hajduk Split	2.8%	4.7%	18.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split

0 Raków Częstochowa Wins

1 Draws

0 HNK Hajduk Split Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	HNK Hajduk Split	2 - 2	Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Korona Kielce	L	3 - 2
15 Sep	H Zaglebie Lubin	L	2 - 3
11 Sep	H Motor Lublin	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Lech Poznan	L	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Gornik Zabrze	L	1 - 2

HNK Hajduk Split — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A HNK Rijeka	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H NK Slaven Belupo	W	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Vardarac	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Rudes	W	0 - 4
31 Aug	H NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	W	2 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

HNK Hajduk Split

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

33 Silić

32 Hrgović

14 Raçi

15 Marešić

22 Acapandié

21 Pukštas

8 Sigur

23 Šotiček

9 Almeida

7 Bamba

11 Šego

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Toni Silić	G
22	Mathieu Acapandié	D
15	Dario Marešić	D
14	Ron Raçi	D
32	Šimun Hrgović	D
8	Niko Sigur	M
21	Rokas Pukštas	M
7	Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba	M
9	Dalisson de Almeida	M
23	Marin Šotiček	M
11	Michele Šego	F

Substitutes

1	Ivica Ivušić	G
44	Dante Stipica	G
3	Roko Gabrić	D
5	Alec Van Hoorenbeeck	D
17	Dario Melnjak	D
36	Marino Skelin	D
38	Luka Hodak	D
16	Anđelo Šutalo	M
19	Etnik Brruti	M
20	Alberto del Moral	M
26	Adam Huram	M
10	Marko Livaja	F