Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club Previsão
Palpite Atletico Madrid x Athletic Club: O Sportiko estima 59% de probabilidade de vitória para o Atletico Madrid, 20% para o Athletic Club e 21% de empate. Atualizado 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Atletico Madrid came from behind to claim a dramatic 3–2 victory over Athletic Club in La Liga matchday 32. Aitor Paredes gave the visitors the lead on 23 minutes, and Athletic held that advantage into half-time despite Atletico's territorial control.
The hosts turned the game around swiftly after the break. Antoine Griezmann levelled four minutes into the second half, and Alexander Sørloth put Atletico ahead just five minutes later. A flurry of substitutions from both sides reshaped the contest, and Sørloth struck again in stoppage time to seemingly seal the points. However, Gorka Guruzeta pulled one back for Athletic in the final seconds, setting up a tense finish that Atletico ultimately survived.
The underlying numbers told a clear story of Atletico's dominance, with an expected goals figure of 2.09 compared to Athletic's 0.80, despite the visitors registering 12 total shots to the hosts' six. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atletico win as the most likely outcome at 59%, a call that proved correct in what was nonetheless a nervy finale at the Metropolitano.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Atletico Madrid
Match Stats
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Alexander Sørloth F | 9.3 | 90' | 2 | – | 5 | 17 (11%) | 1 |
| 10 Alex Baena M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 38 (33%) | – |
| 6 Koke M | 7.3 | 72' | – | – | – | 62 (55%) | 3 |
| 7 Antoine Griezmann F | 7.2 | 63' | 1 | – | 1 | 27 (19%) | – |
| 18 Marc Pubill D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 82 (70%) | 2 |
| 15 Clément Lenglet D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (68%) | 1 |
| 5 Johnny Cardoso M | 7.0 | 32' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | 2 |
| 16 Nahuel Molina D | 6.9 | 27' | – | 1 | – | 15 (13%) | 4 |
| 20 Giuliano Simeone M | 6.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | 2 |
| 13 Jan Oblak G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | – |
| 8 Pablo Barrios M | 6.7 | 58' | – | – | – | 43 (36%) | – |
| 21 Obed Vargas M | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 3 |
| 14 Marcos Llorente D | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | – | 51 (48%) | 1 |
| 23 Nicolás González F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 24 Robin Le Normand D | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 3 Matteo Ruggeri D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (30%) | 2 |
Athletic Club
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Gorka Guruzeta F | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 23 (15%) | – |
| 4 Aitor Paredes D | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 71 (67%) | – |
| 16 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta M | 7.0 | 70' | – | 1 | – | 33 (27%) | 3 |
| 6 Mikel Vesga M | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 25 (18%) | 1 |
| 30 Alejandro Rego M | 6.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 45 (40%) | 2 |
| 19 Adama Boiro D | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | 3 |
| 17 Yuri Berchiche D | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 31 (29%) | 1 |
| 10 Nico Williams M | 6.3 | 70' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 2 |
| 8 Oihan Sancet M | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 1 |
| 7 Álex Berenguer F | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 9 Iñaki Williams M | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
| 3 Daniel Vivian D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 56 (49%) | 2 |
| 20 Unai Gómez M | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 23 Robert Navarro M | 6.2 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | 1 |
| 2 Andoni Gorosabel D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | 1 |
| 1 Unai Simón G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (23%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Álex Baena
4 gls
J. David
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep 2026 | Athletic Club | 3 - 0 | Atletico Madrid |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Athletic Club | 1 - 0 | Atletico Madrid |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 0 | Athletic Club |
Atletico Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Real Madrid | W | 2 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 4 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Real Sociedad | W | 0 - 3 |
| 09 Sep | A Liverpool | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Athletic Club | L | 3 - 0 |
Athletic Club — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Alaves | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Elche | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Atletico Madrid | W | 3 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Celta Vigo | W | 0 - 2 |
| 27 Aug | A Barcelona | L | 2 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Atletico Madrid
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: D. Simeone
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | J. Oblak | G |
| 14 | M. Llorente | D |
| 18 | M. Pubill | D |
| 15 | C. Lenglet | D |
| 3 | M. Ruggeri | D |
| 20 | G. Simeone | M |
| 8 | P. Barrios | M |
| 6 | Koke | M |
| 10 | A. Baena | M |
| 7 | A. Griezmann | F |
| 9 | A. Sorloth | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | S. Esquivel | G |
| 1 | J. Musso | G |
| 23 | N. Gonzalez | F |
| 16 | N. Molina | D |
| 21 | O. Vargas | M |
| 32 | J. Bonar | D |
| 4 | R. Mendoza | M |
| 24 | R. Le Normand | D |
| 19 | J. Alvarez | F |
| 5 | J. Cardoso | M |
| 34 | J. Diaz | M |
Athletic Club
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ernesto Valverde
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Simon | G |
| 2 | A. Gorosabel | D |
| 3 | D. Vivian | D |
| 4 | A. Paredes | D |
| 17 | Y. Berchiche | D |
| 16 | I. Ruiz de Galarreta | M |
| 30 | A. Rego | M |
| 9 | I. Williams | M |
| 20 | U. Gomez | M |
| 10 | N. Williams | M |
| 11 | G. Guruzeta | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | A. Padilla | G |
| 14 | A. Laporte | D |
| 7 | A. Berenguer | F |
| 5 | Y. Alvarez | D |
| 12 | J. Areso | D |
| 23 | R. Navarro | M |
| 22 | N. Serrano | F |
| 49 | E. Garcia | M |
| 6 | M. Vesga | M |
| 8 | O. Sancet | M |
| 25 | Izeta | F |
| 19 | A. Boiro | D |