Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Previsão

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 5

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Lech Poznan

Home

2 : 1

HT 1 - 1

Jagiellonia

Away

Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Lech Poznan

55%

23%

21%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Lech Poznan x Jagiellonia: O Sportiko estima 55% de probabilidade de vitória para o Lech Poznan, 21% para o Jagiellonia e 23% de empate. Atualizado 3 Sep 2026, 20:31.

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Under 4.5 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Visitante Marca 72%
Home 2H Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Pablo Rodríguez assist: Joel Pereira

43' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 45+4'

Yuki Kobayashi assist: Bernardo Vital

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Yuki Kobayashi ⇄ Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia

⇄ 59'

Ousmane Sow ⇄ K. Szmyt

⇄ 59'

Sergio Lozano ⇄ Ferslev Anders Klynge

Gustav Berggren ⇄ Filip Jagiełło

63' ⇄

Allahyar Sayyadmanesh ⇄ Yannick Agnero

64' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Eryk Kozłowski ⇄ Hampus Finndell

Luis Palma ⇄ Leo Bengtsson

72' ⇄

Pablo Rodríguez ⇄ Mikael Ishak

73' ⇄

Patrik Wålemark Yellow Card

80' ▮

▮ 80'

Rodrigo Conceição Yellow Card

⇄ 82'

Nik Prelec ⇄ Youssuf Sylla

Patrik Wålemark ⇄ Robert Gumny

83' ⇄

Robert Gumny assist: Michal Gurgul

87' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 90+2'

Hampus Finndell Yellow Card

FT 2–1

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Vitória ou empate difícil do Lech Poznan

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.3%

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

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Lech Poznan

WLLWW

Jagiellonia

LLLWL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

21%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Jagiellonia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4	3	3	1
1	6	10	6	3	1
2	8	10	6	3	1
3	5	7	5	2	1
4	3	4	2	1
5	1	2	1

↑ Lech Poznan goals · most likely 1–1 (10.3%)

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Players in form

Lech Poznan

A. Sayyadmanesh 5 gls

Pablo Rodríguez 3 gls

Jagiellonia

N. Prelec 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

23%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

34%

2.5

66%

56%

3.5

44%

75%

4.5

25%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

23%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

34%

2.5

66%

56%

3.5

44%

75%

4.5

25%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	3.0%	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%
1	5.9%	10.3%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
2	7.6%	9.8%	6.3%	2.7%	0.9%
3	5.5%	7.1%	4.6%	2.0%	0.6%
4	3.0%	3.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lech Poznan	Draw	Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan	34.6%	4.3%	2.0%
Draw	18.8%	13.1%	8.5%
Jagiellonia	3.5%	4.1%	11.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lech Poznan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Radomiak Radom	W	5 - 1
17 Sep	A Crystal Palace	L	4 - 0
12 Sep	A Gornik Zabrze	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Raków Częstochowa	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Jagiellonia	W	2 - 1

Jagiellonia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Legia Warszawa	L	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Olympiakos Piraeus	L	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Wisla Krakow	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Slask Wroclaw	W	2 - 1
03 Sep	A Lech Poznan	L	2 - 1

Ekstraklasa Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	16	8	+8	22
2	Legia Warszawa	9	5	4	0	19	8	+11	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	17	7	+10	19
4	Wisla Krakow	9	5	2	2	17	12	+5	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12	6	+6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	12	10	+2	15
7	Zaglebie Lubin	9	4	3	2	11	10	+1	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16	15	+1	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	16	13	+3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	12	13	-1	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	9	12	-3	11
12	Widzew Łódź	9	1	6	2	13	13	0	9
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	2	2	5	9	14	-5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7	20	-13	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	11	15	-4	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9	15	-6	6
17	Wieczysta Kraków	8	1	2	5	11	17	-6	5
18	Raków Częstochowa	9	1	0	8	12	21	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.