Club Tijuana vs Puebla Previsão

Liga MX · Apertura - 12

17 Oct 2026, 03:00

Post on X

Puebla

Away

Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

Chamada de IA Club Tijuana para vencer

81%

16%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Club Tijuana x Puebla: O Sportiko estima 81% de probabilidade de vitória para o Club Tijuana, 3% para o Puebla e 16% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 20.3%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Club Tijuana

DLWLW

Puebla

DLWLW

Last 2 meetings Club Tijuana · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Liga MX matchup, Club Tijuana hosts Puebla, with both teams looking to gain crucial points. Tijuana has shown a solid home record, while Puebla has struggled on the road, averaging 1.2 goals per away game and conceding 1.5. Tijuana's offensive unit, led by their key forwards, will aim to exploit Puebla's defensive vulnerabilities. The match will be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league. Expect a competitive encounter with tactical battles in midfield likely influencing the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

81%

45%

Draw

16%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Puebla goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2
1	17	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ Club Tijuana goals · most likely 2–0 (20.3%)

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Players in form

Club Tijuana

G. Mora 5 gls

Puebla

E. Mustre 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

57% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

81% Home Scores More 16% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	17.2%	6.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.4%	4.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.7%	2.6%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Club Tijuana	Draw	Puebla
Club Tijuana	56.9%	1.3%	0.1%
Draw	24.2%	11.5%	1.5%
Puebla	1.4%	1.4%	1.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Club Tijuana vs Puebla

0 Club Tijuana Wins

1 Draws

1 Puebla Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Feb 2026	Club Tijuana	0 - 0	Puebla
17 Oct 2025	Puebla	4 - 3	Club Tijuana

Club Tijuana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A CF Pachuca	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Club Queretaro	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	2 - 0
22 Aug	A Guadalajara Chivas	L	5 - 2
17 Aug	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 1

Puebla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Toluca	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Necaxa	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Club America	L	2 - 0
23 Aug	H Santos Laguna	W	3 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.