Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas Previsão

Liga MX · Apertura - 11

11 Oct 2026, 01:00

Post on X

Guadalajara Chivas

Away

Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Chamada de IA Atlas para vencer ou empatar

73%

22%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Atlas x Guadalajara Chivas: O Sportiko estima 73% de probabilidade de vitória para o Atlas, 5% para o Guadalajara Chivas e 22% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 20.3%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Atlas

DLDLW

Guadalajara Chivas

DWWDW

Last 2 meetings Atlas · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Guadalajara Chivas, both teams will be looking to strengthen their positions in the league standings. Atlas has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Guadalajara has struggled with consistency in attack, averaging 1.1 goals per match. The matchup could hinge on Atlas's ability to convert possession into scoring opportunities, as they have a higher average ball possession percentage. Additionally, recent head-to-head encounters suggest a competitive balance, with both teams often sharing points. Expect a tactical battle that could be decided by set pieces or individual moments of quality.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Guadalajara Chivas goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	3	1
1	20	8	1
2	20	6	1
3	12	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Atlas goals · most likely 1–0 (20.3%)

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Players in form

Atlas

Luís Esteves 3 gls

Guadalajara Chivas

R. Alvarado 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	20.3%	7.9%	1.2%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.6%	6.5%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
3	12.0%	4.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.5%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlas	Draw	Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas	48.6%	1.8%	0.2%
Draw	24.6%	16.4%	2.5%
Guadalajara Chivas	1.3%	1.8%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

72%

24%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas

0 Atlas Wins

0 Draws

2 Guadalajara Chivas Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	Atlas	1 - 2	Guadalajara Chivas
25 Oct 2025	Guadalajara Chivas	4 - 1	Atlas

Atlas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Toluca	L	5 - 2
06 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Club Queretaro	L	1 - 3
23 Aug	A Cruz Azul	W	0 - 2

Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	A CF Pachuca	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Club Tijuana	W	5 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.