Puebla vs Leon Previsão

Liga MX · Apertura - 11

10 Oct 2026, 01:00

Post on X

Leon

Away

Chamada de IA Puebla para vencer ou empatar

69%

25%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Puebla x Leon: O Sportiko estima 69% de probabilidade de vitória para o Puebla, 7% para o Leon e 25% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 20.8%

Both teams to score

26%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Puebla

DLWLW

Leon

DWLWL

Last 2 meetings Puebla · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

Puebla faces León in this Liga MX matchup, with both teams aiming for crucial points. Puebla's recent form has been inconsistent, while León has shown resilience, particularly in away fixtures. Key players to watch include Puebla's attacking threats and León's solid defensive unit, which has been effective in limiting goal-scoring opportunities. The outcome could hinge on Puebla's ability to convert chances against León's well-structured defense. Expect a tactical battle with both teams striving to establish dominance early on.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

69%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leon goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	4	1
1	21	9	1
2	18	7	1
3	10	4	1
4	4	2
5	1	1

↑ Puebla goals · most likely 1–0 (20.8%)

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Players in form

Puebla

E. Mustre 3 gls

Leon

D. Arcila 4 gls

D. Cambindo 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

25%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

25%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

28%

19%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.2%	3.8%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
1	20.8%	9.2%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.3%	6.8%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
3	10.2%	3.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	4.3%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Puebla	Draw	Leon
Puebla	44.1%	2.1%	0.2%
Draw	24.3%	18.8%	3.3%
Leon	1.4%	2.2%	3.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

69%

26%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Puebla vs Leon

1 Puebla Wins

0 Draws

1 Leon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Puebla	0 - 1	Leon
09 Nov 2025	Leon	1 - 2	Puebla

Puebla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Toluca	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Necaxa	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Club America	L	2 - 0
23 Aug	H Santos Laguna	W	3 - 2

Leon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A Club Queretaro	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Atletico San Luis	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	L	3 - 1
06 Sep	H Club America	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	A Toluca	L	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.