Leon vs FC Juarez Previsão

Liga MX · Apertura - 10

28 Sep 2026, 01:00

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FC Juarez

Away

Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Leon

59%

24%

17%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Leon x FC Juarez: O Sportiko estima 59% de probabilidade de vitória para o Leon, 17% para o FC Juarez e 24% de empate. Atualizado 22 Sep 2026, 19:35.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Leon

DWLWL

FC Juarez

WLLLL

Last 2 meetings Leon · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, León will host FC Juárez. León has demonstrated strong form at home, with a high possession rate averaging around 60% and a solid scoring record, netting an average of 2 goals per game in their recent fixtures. FC Juárez, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The matchup will heavily rely on León's attacking prowess against Juárez's defense, making it crucial for the visitors to tighten their backline to avoid a potential defeat. Expect an intense battle with León likely aiming to assert dominance early in the match.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

59%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Juarez goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	4	3	1
1	9	11	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	7	7	3	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Leon goals · most likely 1–1 (11.3%)

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Players in form

Leon

D. Arcila 4 gls

D. Cambindo 3 gls

FC Juarez

Ó. Estupiñán 5 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

24%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

24%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	3.7%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
1	8.5%	11.3%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.9%	10.1%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	6.7%	6.8%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
4	3.4%	3.5%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Leon	Draw	FC Juarez
Leon	36.8%	3.6%	1.2%
Draw	20.2%	14.3%	6.7%
FC Juarez	3.3%	4.1%	9.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Leon vs FC Juarez

1 Leon Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Juarez Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Leon	3 - 1	FC Juarez
26 Sep 2025	FC Juarez	2 - 0	Leon

Leon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A Club Queretaro	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Atletico San Luis	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	L	3 - 1
06 Sep	H Club America	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	A Toluca	L	2 - 0

FC Juarez — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Tigres UANL	W	2 - 0
14 Sep	A Santos Laguna	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 2
31 Aug	A Toluca	L	4 - 0
22 Aug	H Club America	L	1 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.