Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Previsão

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Chamada de IA Motherwell ou empate
30%
27%
43%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Kilmarnock x Motherwell: O Sportiko estima 30% de probabilidade de vitória para o Kilmarnock, 43% para o Motherwell e 27% de empate. Atualizado 17 Oct 2026, 15:56.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • Mandante Marca 75%
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Timeline

Greg Kiltie
2' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 17'
Alex Lowry
Michael John Kamara ⇄ Jamie Brandon
33' ⇄
Bailey Rice ⇄ Aaron Tshibola
35' ⇄
HT 1–1
George Stanger Red card cancelled
52' 🖵
George Stanger Yellow Card
55' ▮
⚽ 1–2 56'
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
Tyreece John-Jules assist: Jamie Brandon
58' ⚽ 2–2
⇄ 68'
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden ⇄ Eythor Bjørgolfsson
⇄ 68'
Alex Lowry ⇄ J. Kanga
⇄ 68'
Martin Moormann ⇄ Jake Girdwood-Reich
Greg Kiltie assist: Jamie Brandon
69' ⚽ 3–2
⇄ 75'
Lukas Fadinger ⇄ Dylan Levitt
Greg Kiltie ⇄ Ieuan Owen
77' ⇄
Tyreece John-Jules ⇄ D. Daniels
77' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Tom Sparrow ⇄ Johnny Koutroumbis
FT 3–2
Kilmarnock

Match Stats

Motherwell
52% Ball Possession 48%
1.56 Expected Goals (xG) 2.4
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 4
14 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 3
9 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 4
515 Total passes 475
416 Passes accurate 378
8 Free Kicks 9
Kilmarnock
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Greg Kiltie M 9.0 77' 2 – 4 30 (27%) –
10 Tyreece John-Jules M 7.9 77' 1 – 5 25 (19%) 1
12 Calum Ferrie G 7.1 90' – – – 40 (28%) –
27 Ieuan Owen F 6.9 13' – – 1 6 (4%) –
2 Jamie Brandon D 6.6 57' – 2 – 49 (39%) 1
29 D. Daniels F 6.5 13' – – – 7 (4%) –
36 Aaron Tshibola M 6.4 55' – – – 48 (44%) 1
9 Joe Hugill F 6.4 90' – – 3 10 (6%) –
18 Tom Lowery M 6.3 90' – – 1 57 (52%) 1
8 Erik Ring M 6.2 90' – – 2 34 (25%) 1
21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen D 6.1 90' – – – 41 (33%) –
3 Michael John Kamara D 6.1 33' – – – 9 (8%) –
49 Bailey Rice M 6.0 35' – – – 16 (12%) –
4 C. McCarthy D 6.0 90' – – – 80 (63%) 1
14 George Stanger D 5.8 90' – – – 63 (52%) 1
Motherwell
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
47 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden F 7.3 68' 1 – 5 8 (7%) 2
8 Lukas Fadinger M 6.8 75' – – – 43 (42%) 3
18 Tawanda Maswanhise M 6.7 90' – – 2 17 (9%) –
11 Alex Lowry M 6.7 68' 1 – 3 23 (15%) 1
19 Ibrahim Said M 6.5 90' – – 2 33 (24%) –
71 Joe Hodge M 6.4 90' – – 2 65 (58%) 3
2 Stephen O'Donnell D 6.3 90' – – – 63 (48%) 1
15 Eythor Bjørgolfsson F 6.3 22' – – – 2 (2%) –
1 Alex Paulsen G 6.2 90' – – – 39 (28%) –
5 Martin Moormann D 6.2 68' – – – 50 (45%) 3
22 Johnny Koutroumbis D 6.1 9' – – 1 11 (7%) 2
7 Tom Sparrow D 6.0 81' – – – 43 (32%) 2
3 Jake Girdwood-Reich D 5.9 22' – – – 20 (16%) –
45 Emmanuel Longelo D 5.9 90' – – – 32 (25%) 2
13 J. Kanga M 5.8 22' – – – 13 (10%) –
63 Dylan Levitt M 5.5 15' – – – 13 (10%) 1
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Motherwell ou empate
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Kilmarnock
DLLWL
Motherwell
DWDLL
Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Kilmarnock will host Motherwell. Kilmarnock has shown a solid defensive record at home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game this season, while Motherwell's away form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches. Both teams have struggled for consistency in attack, with Kilmarnock averaging 1.1 goals per game and Motherwell slightly better at 1.3. This match could hinge on Kilmarnock's ability to capitalize on set pieces, as they are one of the league’s top teams in this aspect. Expect a closely contested battle with potential for a low-scoring outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
30%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
43%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Kilmarnock
G. Kiltie 3 gls
Motherwell
A. Lowry 3 gls

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

0 Kilmarnock Wins
1 Draws
2 Motherwell Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 Jan 2026 Motherwell 4 - 0 Kilmarnock
22 Nov 2025 Kilmarnock 1 - 3 Motherwell
30 Aug 2025 Motherwell 2 - 2 Kilmarnock
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct H ST Johnstone D 2 - 2
28 Oct A Dundee L 3 - 1
24 Oct A Falkirk L 3 - 0
17 Oct H Motherwell W 3 - 2
10 Oct A Rangers L 3 - 1

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Dundee Utd D 1 - 1
31 Oct H ST Mirren W 1 - 0
28 Oct A ST Johnstone D 2 - 2
25 Oct H Heart Of Midlothian L 0 - 2
17 Oct A Kilmarnock L 3 - 2

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
12 9 1 2 +17 28
2
Rangers
12 8 3 1 +12 27
3
Heart Of Midlothian
11 6 2 3 +7 20
4
Falkirk
12 5 3 4 +3 18
5
Dundee
12 5 2 5 +3 17
6
Dundee Utd
12 4 5 3 0 17
7
ST Johnstone
13 4 5 4 -3 17
8
ST Mirren
13 4 2 7 -10 14
9
Motherwell
13 3 4 6 -6 13
10
Hibernian
12 3 2 7 -2 11
11
Aberdeen
12 3 2 7 -6 11
12
Kilmarnock
12 2 3 7 -15 9

Kilmarnock

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: N. McCann
12 Ferrie
21 Schjønning-Larsen
14 Stanger
4 McCarthy
3 Kamson-Kamara
18 Lowery
49 Rice
11 Kiltie
10 John-Jules
8 Ring
9 Hugill

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 C. Ferrie G
3 Michael-John Kamson-Kamara D
4 C. McCarthy D
14 G. Stanger D
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen D
49 B. Rice M
18 T. Lowery M
8 E. Ring M
10 T. John-Jules M
11 G. Kiltie M
9 J. Hugill F

Substitutes

2 J. Brandon D
20 N. Cleșcenco F
29 D. Daniels F
6 R. Deas D
58 N. Mantl G
5 M. O'Hara M
19 J. Meier D
27 I. Owen F
36 A. Tshibola M

Motherwell

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Paulsen
45 Emmanuel
5 Moormann
2 O'Donnell
7 Sparrow
71 Hodge
8 Fadinger
19 Said
11 Lowry
18 Maswanhise
47 Palmer-Houlden

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Paulsen G
7 T. Sparrow D
2 S. O'Donnell D
5 M. Moormann D
45 M. Emmanuel D
8 L. Fadinger M
71 J. Hodge M
18 Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise M
11 A. Lowry M
19 I. Said M
47 S. Palmer-Houlden F

Substitutes

22 J. Koutroumbis D
63 D. Levitt M
21 M. Connelly G
6 J. McGhee D
77 W. Vogt F
13 J. Kanga M
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
15 E. Björgólfs­son F
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel D

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