Moreirense vs Estoril Previsão

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

14 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Estoril

Away

Chamada de IA Muito equilibrado para definir

33%

34%

33%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Moreirense x Estoril: O Sportiko estima 33% de probabilidade de vitória para o Moreirense, 33% para o Estoril e 34% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Moreirense

DWLLW

Estoril

LLDLL

Last 3 meetings Moreirense · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Moreirense faces Estoril in a crucial Primeira Liga matchup. Moreirense has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Estoril, meanwhile, has struggled away, with only 1 win in their last 5 outings, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their away form. Both teams will be looking to capitalize on opportunities, but Moreirense's home defensive solidity could prove decisive. Expect a tightly contested match with tactical discipline playing a key role.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

33%

45%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estoril goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	12	7	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Moreirense goals · most likely 1–1 (15.3%)

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Match Result

Draw

34%

Away Win

33%

Home Win

33%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Match Result

Draw

34%

Away Win

33%

Home Win

33%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Winner

50% Away (No Draw) 50% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

13% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

34% Equal Goals 33% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

19%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.7%	11.5%	6.8%	2.4%	0.6%
1	11.4%	15.3%	7.0%	2.4%	0.6%
2	6.7%	6.9%	3.6%	1.2%	0.3%
3	2.3%	2.4%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Moreirense	Draw	Estoril
Moreirense	19.0%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	13.6%	23.5%	13.9%
Estoril	1.4%	4.1%	19.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Moreirense vs Estoril

1 Moreirense Wins

2 Draws

0 Estoril Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Apr 2026	Moreirense	1 - 0	Estoril
07 Dec 2025	Estoril	3 - 3	Moreirense
11 May 2025	Moreirense	2 - 2	Estoril

Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Casa Pia	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Arouca	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Benfica	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Rio Ave	L	0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.