Arouca vs Estoril Previsão

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

14 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Estoril

Away

Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Estoril

10%

26%

63%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Arouca x Estoril: O Sportiko estima 10% de probabilidade de vitória para o Arouca, 63% para o Estoril e 26% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 17.6%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Arouca

DLDWL

Estoril

LLDLL

Last 3 meetings Arouca · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Arouca will face Estoril at their home ground. Arouca's recent form shows a solid home record, with a strong defensive setup allowing them to concede only 12 goals in their last 10 matches. Estoril, however, has struggled on the road, managing only 1 win in their last 5 away games, highlighting their vulnerability. Key players to watch include Arouca's leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Estoril's playmaker, who has been pivotal in creating chances. This match could be crucial for both teams as they aim for points to improve their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

63%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estoril goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	18	15	8	3	1
1	5	11	8	4	2	1
2	2	3	2	1
3
4
5

↑ Arouca goals · most likely 0–1 (17.6%)

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Players in form

Arouca

Barbero 4 gls

Estoril

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

26%

Home Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

26%

Home Win

10%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

86% Away (No Draw) 14% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 10% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.8%	17.6%	15.5%	8.5%	3.5%
1	4.8%	11.3%	8.2%	4.5%	1.8%
2	1.6%	2.7%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arouca	Draw	Estoril
Arouca	5.6%	2.9%	1.7%
Draw	4.9%	19.0%	22.4%
Estoril	0.5%	2.8%	40.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

59%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arouca vs Estoril

1 Arouca Wins

1 Draws

1 Estoril Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Sep 2026	Estoril	0 - 0	Arouca
06 Apr 2026	Arouca	3 - 2	Estoril
07 Nov 2025	Estoril	4 - 3	Arouca

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Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sporting CP	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Santa Clara	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Estoril	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Maritimo	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Casa Pia	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Arouca	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Benfica	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Rio Ave	L	0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.