Maritimo vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1

08 Aug 2026, 14:30

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Casa Pia

Away

Chamada de IA Maritimo ou empate

45%

28%

27%

Vitória do Mandante · 2.55 Empate · 3.50 Vitória do Visitante · 2.96

Maritimo vs Casa Pia prediction: Sportiko gives Maritimo a 45% chance of winning, Casa Pia 27% and the draw 28%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Maritimo

WWWLW

Casa Pia

LDWLL

Last 2 meetings Maritimo · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

Maritimo faces Casa Pia in a Primeira Liga clash on August 8, 2026. Maritimo will be looking to leverage their recent form, having secured key victories in their last few matches, while Casa Pia seeks to maintain momentum after a solid start to the season. Historically, Maritimo has struggled against Casa Pia, which could impact their confidence. Set pieces and defensive organization will be critical for both teams as they aim to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Expect a competitive match with tactical adjustments likely to play a significant role in the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Casa Pia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	12	13	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Maritimo goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	5.3%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
1	11.6%	13.0%	5.1%	1.5%	0.3%
2	11.0%	9.7%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.2%	5.5%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Maritimo	Draw	Casa Pia
Maritimo	31.7%	3.0%	0.8%
Draw	21.3%	17.3%	6.5%
Casa Pia	3.2%	4.8%	11.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Maritimo vs Casa Pia

0 Maritimo Wins

0 Draws

2 Casa Pia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Mar 2023	Casa Pia	2 - 0	Maritimo
03 Oct 2022	Maritimo	1 - 2	Casa Pia

Maritimo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Mar	H Oliveirense	W	1 - 0
15 Mar	A União de Leiria	W	1 - 2
08 Mar	H FC Porto B	W	2 - 1
01 Mar	A Academico Viseu	L	3 - 1
11 Jun	H Estrela	W	2 - 1

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Leixoes	L	6 - 2
16 May	H Rio Ave	D	1 - 1
11 May	A Guimaraes	W	0 - 1
03 May	H Tondela	L	0 - 1
27 Apr	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	D	GF	GA	Pts
1	Famalicao	1	1	1	1	1
2	Estoril	1	1	1	1	1
3	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0
4	Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0
5	GIL Vicente	0	0	0	0	0
6	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0
7	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0
8	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0
11	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0
12	Maritimo	0	0	0	0	0
13	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0
14	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0
16	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0
17	Academico Viseu	0	0	0	0	0
18	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.