Lille vs Lens Previsão

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
FT
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Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Chamada de IA Lille ou empate
40%
29%
31%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Lille x Lens: O Sportiko estima 40% de probabilidade de vitória para o Lille, 31% para o Lens e 29% de empate. Atualizado 30 Oct 2026, 21:57.

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Match Report

Lille edged a tense Ligue 1 derby against Lens with a late winner to claim all three points in matchday nine. The first half was goalless despite Lille enjoying the better of possession, with Lens defender Saud Abdulhamid picking up an early yellow card in the tenth minute.

The second half saw both sides make multiple substitutions as the game remained tight, with Lille continuing to press but struggling to find a breakthrough. The statistics told a clear story of home dominance — Lille finished with 62% possession, ten corner kicks to Lens's two, and an expected goals figure of 1.79 compared to just 0.25 for the visitors.

The decisive moment finally arrived in the 86th minute when Olivier Giroud converted to seal a 1–0 victory. The result validated the pre-match AI model, which had rated a Lille win as the most likely outcome at 40%. Lens, limited to just five total shots throughout the contest, offered little threat and ultimately had no answer to their hosts' sustained pressure.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 10'
Saud Abdulhamid Yellow Card
Yellow Card
45' ▮
HT 0–0
⇄ 62'
Florian Sotoca ⇄ Junior Kadile
⇄ 62'
Jean-Clair Todibo ⇄ Kyllian Antonio
⇄ 69'
Thorgan Hazard ⇄ Franjo Ivanović
⇄ 69'
Michaël Cuisance ⇄ Yassine Titraoui
Ethan Mbappé ⇄ Olivier Giroud
73' ⇄
Ngal'ayel Mukau ⇄ Dilane Bakwa
73' ⇄
Romain Perraud ⇄ Calvin Verdonk
78' ⇄
⇄ 80'
Amadou Haidara ⇄ Andrija Bulatovic
Olivier Giroud
86' ⚽ 1–0
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson ⇄ Gaëtan Perrin
90+1' ⇄
FT 1–0
Lille

Match Stats

Lens
62% Ball Possession 38%
1.79 Expected Goals (xG) 0.25
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 1
5 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 1
10 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
7 Fouls 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
582 Total passes 352
507 Passes accurate 263
12 Free Kicks 7
Lille
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Olivier Giroud F 7.7 17' 1 – 3 4 (4%) 1
38 Maxima Goffi D 7.6 90' – – 1 60 (55%) 2
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D 7.6 90' – – – 68 (58%) 2
3 Nathan Ngoy D 7.4 90' – – – 81 (78%) –
15 Romain Perraud D 7.3 78' – – 1 25 (21%) –
6 Nabil Bentaleb M 7.2 90' – – 2 69 (60%) 1
1 Berke Özer G 7.1 90' – – – 38 (32%) 1
24 Calvin Verdonk D 7.0 12' – – – 11 (10%) –
17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M 6.8 73' – – – 46 (41%) –
21 Benjamin André M 6.6 90' – – – 76 (62%) –
7 Dilane Bakwa F 6.6 17' – – 1 9 (7%) –
10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson F 6.4 91' – – 1 40 (35%) –
35 Soriba Diaoune F 6.3 90' – – 4 27 (22%) 1
8 Ethan Mbappé F 6.3 73' – – 3 27 (23%) –
Lens
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
40 Robin Risser G 8.0 90' – – – 40 (28%) –
2 Ruben Aguilar D 7.0 90' – – – 38 (35%) 4
20 Jean-Clair Todibo D 6.9 62' – – – 29 (25%) –
6 Samson Baidoo D 6.8 90' – – 1 50 (41%) 1
21 Amadou Haidara M 6.7 80' – – – 28 (24%) 3
32 Kyllian Antonio D 6.7 28' – – – 16 (11%) 2
10 Florian Thauvin M 6.6 90' – – 1 22 (12%) 1
8 Yassine Titraoui M 6.5 21' – – – 8 (6%) –
5 Andrija Bulatovic M 6.5 10' – – 1 3 (2%) –
27 Michaël Cuisance M 6.4 69' – – – 19 (15%) 2
28 Junior Kadile F 6.3 28' – – – 6 (6%) 1
29 Franjo Ivanović F 6.2 21' – – – 3 (2%) –
9 Thorgan Hazard F 6.2 69' – – 1 15 (8%) 1
7 Florian Sotoca M 6.1 62' – – – 23 (15%) 1
14 Matthieu Udol M 6.0 90' – – – 30 (17%) 5
23 Saud Abdulhamid M 5.9 90' – – 1 23 (16%) 4
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Lille ou empate
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Lille
WDWDL
Lens
LLWLW
Last 3 meetings Lille · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Lille will face Lens in a crucial Ligue 1 clash. Both teams have shown strong attacking form, with Lille averaging 1.8 goals per match this season and Lens close behind at 1.7. Defensively, Lille has conceded 1.2 goals per game, while Lens has been slightly more resilient, allowing 1.0. The match could hinge on Lille's ability to convert chances, as they have a shot conversion rate of 12%, compared to Lens's 10%. A tight contest is expected, with both teams battling for critical points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
31%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lille

No scorer data.

Lens
F. Thauvin 4 gls

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Head to Head: Lille vs Lens

2 Lille Wins
0 Draws
1 Lens Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Apr 2026 Lille 3 - 0 Lens
20 Sep 2025 Lens 3 - 0 Lille
30 Mar 2025 Lille 1 - 0 Lens
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Lille — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Rennes W 0 - 1
03 Nov A Bodo/Glimt D 0 - 0
30 Oct H Lens W 1 - 0
25 Oct A Monaco D 1 - 1
21 Oct H Galatasaray L 2 - 4

Lens — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov H Como L 1 - 9
30 Oct A Lille L 1 - 0
24 Oct H Paris FC W 2 - 1
21 Oct A Club Brugge KV L 3 - 0
17 Oct A Estac Troyes W 1 - 3

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
3
Lille
9 5 3 1 +6 18
4
Lyon
9 5 2 2 +8 17
5
Rennes
9 5 1 3 +1 16
6
Marseille
9 5 0 4 +7 15
7
Monaco
9 4 3 2 +2 15
8
Nice
9 4 2 3 +1 14
9
Lens
9 4 1 4 +3 13
10
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
11
Stade Brestois 29
9 3 3 3 +4 12
12
Lorient
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Angers
9 2 2 5 -8 8
16
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Le Mans
9 1 4 4 -7 7
18
Le Havre
9 0 2 7 -11 2

Lille

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Özer
15 Perraud
4 Ribeiro
3 Ngoy
38 Goffi
21 André
6 Bentaleb
17 Mukau
35 Diaoune
10 Haraldsson
8 Mbappé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Özer G
38 M. Goffi D
3 N. Ngoy D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
15 R. Perraud D
17 N. Mukau M
6 N. Bentaleb M
21 B. André M
8 E. Mbappé F
10 H. Haraldsson F
35 S. Diaoune F

Substitutes

9 O. Giroud F
12 O. Gill G
26 I. Cossier D
14 M. Kjærgaard M
28 G. Perrin F
7 D. Bakwa F
11 O. Sahraoui F
24 C. Verdonk D
19 B. Önal F

Lens

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
40 Risser
20 Todibo
6 Baidoo
2 Aguilar
14 Udol
27 Cuisance
21 Haidara
23 Abdulhamid
7 Sotoca
10 Thauvin
9 Hazard

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 R. Risser G
2 R. Aguilar D
6 S. Baidoo D
20 J. Todibo D
23 Saud Abdulhamid M
21 A. Haidara M
27 M. Cuisance M
14 M. Udol M
10 F. Thauvin M
7 F. Sotoca M
9 T. Hazard F

Substitutes

32 K. Antonio D
5 A. Bulatović M
16 M. Gorgelin G
24 J. Gradit D
29 F. Ivanović F
28 J. Kadile F
38 M. Soares M
22 M. Skóraś F
8 Y. Titraoui M

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