Nice vs Strasbourg Previsão

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Post on X

Strasbourg

Away

Allianz Riviera, Nice

Chamada de IA Nice ou empate

40%

28%

32%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Nice x Strasbourg: O Sportiko estima 40% de probabilidade de vitória para o Nice, 32% para o Strasbourg e 28% de empate. Atualizado 11 Oct 2026, 14:56.

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Mandante Marca 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Menos de 3,5 Gols 74%
1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Visitante Marca 70%

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Match Report

Nice edged out Strasbourg 2–1 in Ligue 1 matchday six, with the decisive moments arriving either side of half-time. Dário Essugo gave Nice the lead in the 41st minute, only for Pape Diop to level things up with an own goal in first-half stoppage time, sending the teams in level at the break. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Nice victory as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved correct.

The second half saw Strasbourg enjoy the greater share of possession at 55%, yet Nice were the more clinical side, registering six shots on target to the visitors' three and generating an expected goals figure of 1.34 compared to just 0.57 for Strasbourg. The match's defining moment came in the 81st minute when Jonathan Clauss converted to restore Nice's advantage and ultimately seal the three points.

Strasbourg were unable to find a response in the closing stages despite their territorial dominance, and Nice held on to secure a narrow but deserved home victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Djibril Coulibaly ⇄ Hicham Boudaoui

37' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 41'

Dário Essugo assist: Conrad Harder

Pape Diop Own Goal

45+2' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

▮ 47'

Oso Yellow Card

⇄ 63'

Conrad Harder ⇄ Jacobo Ortega

⇄ 63'

Diogo Sousa ⇄ Giovanni Reyna

⇄ 73'

Dário Essugo ⇄ Samir El Mourabet

⇄ 73'

Samuel Amo-Ameyaw ⇄ Fabio Baldé

Elye Wahi ⇄ Sofiane Diop

73' ⇄

Sofiane Diop Yellow Card

75' ▮

⇄ 76'

Jeyland Mitchell ⇄ Lucas Høgsberg

Jonathan Clauss assist: Sofiane Diop

81' ⚽ 2–1

Axel Witsel ⇄ Everton Pereira

86' ⇄

Gauthier Hein ⇄ Isak Jansson

86' ⇄

FT 2–1

Nice

Match Stats

Strasbourg

45% Ball Possession 55%

1.34 Expected Goals (xG) 0.57

11 Total Shots 12

6 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 5

0 Blocked Shots 4

10 Shots insidebox 4

1 Shots outsidebox 8

2 Corner Kicks 3

5 Offsides 2

3 Fouls 8

1 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

445 Total passes 539

387 Passes accurate 488

8 Free Kicks 3

Nice

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
92 Jonathan Clauss M	8.2	90'	1	–	4	39 (34%)	4
55 Youssouf Ndayishimiye D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	62 (58%)	3
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	50 (48%)	3
23 Yehvann Diouf G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	40 (31%)	–
6 Hicham Boudaoui M	6.7	53'	–	–	1	29 (26%)	1
7 Gauthier Hein M	6.7	86'	–	–	–	45 (40%)	–
35 Xavier Mandza D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	74 (62%)	4
28 Axel Witsel M	6.5	86'	–	–	1	37 (33%)	1
21 Isak Jansson F	6.5	4'	–	–	1	–	–
9 Mohamed Amoura M	6.4	90'	–	–	3	17 (15%)	–
39 Djibril Coulibaly M	6.3	37'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	1
87 Everton Pereira M	6.3	4'	–	–	–	–	–
10 Sofiane Diop M	6.2	17'	–	1	–	7 (4%)	–
11 Elye Wahi F	6.1	73'	–	–	1	7 (7%)	–
27 Niels Nkounkou M	6.1	90'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	6

Strasbourg

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Dário Essugo M	8.0	73'	1	–	2	21 (19%)	1
16 Genesis Antwi D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	52 (47%)	4
40 Conrad Harder F	6.9	63'	–	1	2	12 (6%)	–
4 Jeyland Mitchell D	6.7	76'	–	–	–	72 (68%)	2
1 Filip Jørgensen G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	–
10 Giovanni Reyna M	6.6	27'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	1
31 Karim Coulibaly D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	77 (73%)	–
80 Gessime Yassine F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	20 (16%)	3
21 Pape Diop M	6.4	90'	–	–	2	80 (78%)	6
23 Diogo Sousa M	6.4	63'	–	–	2	31 (28%)	2
36 Oso D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	52 (50%)	1
19 Fabio Baldé F	6.2	17'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
24 Lucas Høgsberg D	6.2	14'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	–
29 Samir El Mourabet M	6.0	17'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
30 Jacobo Ortega F	5.9	27'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
7 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw F	5.8	73'	–	–	2	24 (16%)	–

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Nice ou empate

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Nice

WWLWW

Strasbourg

LWLLL

Last 3 meetings Nice · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Nice will host Strasbourg in a Ligue 1 clash on October 10, 2026. Nice has shown a solid home record, leveraging their attacking strength, with an average of 1.8 goals per game at home this season. Meanwhile, Strasbourg struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match away from home. The matchup will likely hinge on Nice's ability to exploit defensive gaps in the Strasbourg lineup. Key players for both sides will be critical in determining the outcome, especially in midfield where possession will be contested intensely.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

32%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Nice

E. Wahi 6 gls

Strasbourg

Gessime Yassine 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Nice vs Strasbourg

0 Nice Wins

2 Draws

1 Strasbourg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	Strasbourg	3 - 1	Nice
03 Jan 2026	Nice	1 - 1	Strasbourg
12 Apr 2025	Strasbourg	2 - 2	Nice

Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
30 Oct	H Rennes	W	5 - 2
23 Oct	A Stade Brestois 29	W	1 - 2
18 Oct	A Lyon	L	2 - 1
11 Oct	H Strasbourg	W	2 - 1
20 Sep	H Lille	W	2 - 1

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Nov	A Toulouse	L	3 - 1
01 Nov	H Auxerre	W	5 - 1
25 Oct	A Rennes	L	3 - 0
17 Oct	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 3
11 Oct	A Nice	L	2 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	22	10	+12	23
2	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	17	10	+7	20
3	Lille	9	5	3	1	12	6	+6	18
4	Lyon	9	5	2	2	15	7	+8	17
5	Rennes	9	5	1	3	20	19	+1	16
6	Marseille	9	5	0	4	20	13	+7	15
7	Monaco	9	4	3	2	12	10	+2	15
8	Nice	9	4	2	3	13	12	+1	14
9	Lens	9	4	1	4	16	13	+3	13
10	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	15	14	+1	13
11	Stade Brestois 29	9	3	3	3	16	12	+4	12
12	Lorient	9	3	3	3	7	8	-1	12
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	18	22	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	13	24	-11	10
15	Angers	9	2	2	5	9	17	-8	8
16	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	7	17	-10	8
17	Le Mans	9	1	4	4	11	18	-7	7
18	Le Havre	9	0	2	7	9	20	-11	2

Nice

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Pantaloni

23 Diouf

35 Tsiendi

55 Ndayishimiye

5 Abdelmonem

27 Nkounkou

28 Witsel

39 Coulibaly

92 Clauss

9 Amoura

7 Hein

11 Wahi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Y. Diouf	G
5	Mohamed Abdelmonem	D
55	Y. Ndayishimiye	D
35	X. Mandza Tsiendi	D
92	J. Clauss	M
39	D. Coulibaly	M
28	A. Witsel	M
27	N. Nkounkou	M
7	G. Hein	M
9	M. Amoura	M
11	E. Wahi	F

Substitutes

77	T. Boulhendi	G
6	H. Boudaoui	M
10	S. Diop	M
38	A. Camara	M
21	I. Jansson	F
84	H. Koutoune	D
41	D. Morana	F
87	E. Pereira	M
36	A. Seidu	D

Strasbourg

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Hugo Oliveira

1 Jörgensen

36 Oso

31 Coulibaly

4 Mitchell

16 Antwi

14 Essugo

21 Diop

23 Sousa

80 Yassine

40 Harder

7 Amo-Ameyaw

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	F. Jörgensen	G
16	G. Antwi	D
4	J. Mitchell	D
31	Abdoul Karim Coulibaly	D
36	Oso	D
23	Diogo Sousa	M
21	P. Diop	M
14	Dário Essugo	M
7	S. Amo-Ameyaw	F
40	C. Harder	F
80	Gessime Yassine	F

Substitutes

10	G. Reyna	M
19	Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé	F
43	Y. Becker	D
35	Yaya Dieme	F
29	S. El Mourabet	M
24	L. Høgsberg	D
28	Tyrese Noubissie	M
30	J. Ortega	F
12	M. Piekutowski	G