Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 Previsão

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Chamada de IA Stade Brestois 29 ou empate
34%
30%
36%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Le Havre x Stade Brestois 29: O Sportiko estima 34% de probabilidade de vitória para o Le Havre, 36% para o Stade Brestois 29 e 30% de empate. Atualizado 5 Sep 2026, 20:46.

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  • Menos de 3,5 Gols 75%
  • Visitante Marca 72%
  • Mandante Marca 71%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Match Report

Stade Brestois 29 claimed a 2–1 victory at Le Havre in Ligue 1's third matchday, with Kamory Doumbia proving the decisive figure. The visitors took an early grip on proceedings when Doumbia converted a penalty in the 12th minute, and Brest carried that advantage into the break despite Le Havre enjoying spells of pressure.

The home side's task grew considerably harder just before half-time when Junior Mwanga was shown a red card in second-half stoppage time of the first half, leaving Le Havre to play the second period a man down. Doumbia punished them further with a second goal on 51 minutes, extending Brest's lead. Le Havre refused to capitulate, however, and pulled one back through a Rayan Fofana penalty on 79 minutes to set up a tense finish. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Brest win as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call that proved correct.

Despite Le Havre registering 19 total shots and nine on target compared to Brest's four, the visitors' clinical finishing and numerical advantage ultimately proved the difference, securing three points for Brest.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Lionel Mpasi Nzau Yellow Card
10' ▮
⚽ 0–1 12'
Kamory Doumbia Penalty
⇄ 22'
Kenny Lala ⇄ Luc Zogbé
Yellow Card
38' ▮
▮ 39'
Kamory Doumbia Yellow Card
Rassoul Ndiaye ⇄ Sota Nakamura
45' ⇄
Junior Mwanga Red Card
45+2' ▮
HT 0–1
⚽ 0–2 51'
Kamory Doumbia assist: Mama Baldé
Josh Maja ⇄ Rayan Fofana
62' ⇄
Timothee Pembele ⇄ Enzo Koffi
62' ⇄
⇄ 67'
Mama Baldé ⇄ Noah Edjouma
⇄ 75'
Kamory Doumbia ⇄ Lucas Tousart
⇄ 75'
Pathé Mboup ⇄ G. Versini
⇄ 75'
Hugo Magnetti ⇄ Joseph Nonge
Rayan Fofana Penalty
79' ⚽ 1–2
Elias Jelert
79' ⇄
Lionel Mpasi Nzau ⇄ G. Gallon
90+4' ⇄
FT 1–2
Le Havre

Match Stats

Stade Brestois 29
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Goal 9
10 Shots off Goal 8
4 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0
7 Goalkeeper Saves 3
452 Total passes 367
372 Passes accurate 286
14 Free Kicks 14
Le Havre
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
77 Lionel Mpasi Nzau G 7.6 94' – – – 36 (27%) –
38 Rayan Fofana F 7.5 28' 1 – 2 5 (4%) –
14 Rassoul Ndiaye M 7.2 46' – – 2 20 (19%) –
5 Ahmed Touba D 7.0 90' – – 1 57 (46%) 4
15 Ayumu Seko D 6.9 90' – – – 60 (53%) 1
27 Enzo Koffi F 6.9 28' – – – 18 (16%) 1
7 Amir Richardson M 6.6 90' – – 2 66 (54%) 4
12 Elias Jelert M 6.5 79' – – – 27 (23%) –
Seamus Maughan 6.4 11' – – 1 11 (10%) –
26 Simon Ebonog M 6.4 90' – – – 58 (51%) 2
30 Sota Nakamura F 6.4 44' – – 1 17 (13%) –
9 Josh Maja F 6.3 62' – – 1 18 (12%) –
32 Timothee Pembele M 6.2 62' – – 2 18 (12%) 3
25 Mbwana Ally Samatta M 5.8 90' – – 4 22 (14%) 2
6 Junior Mwanga D 5.0 47' – – – 15 (15%) –
Stade Brestois 29
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Kamory Doumbia M 7.5 75' 2 – 3 33 (26%) 2
17 Mama Baldé M 7.3 67' – 1 2 24 (18%) 3
13 Joris Chotard M 7.2 90' – – 1 52 (44%) 1
9 Pathé Mboup M 7.0 75' – – 4 17 (15%) 1
71 Raphaël Le Guen D 6.9 90' – – 2 32 (26%) 1
11 Noah Edjouma F 6.8 23' – – 1 1 (1%) –
4 Gautier Lloris D 6.8 90' – – – 34 (29%) 3
8 Hugo Magnetti M 6.7 75' – – 1 36 (33%) 4
2 Bradley Locko D 6.6 90' – – – 33 (25%) 1
20 Luc Zogbé D 6.5 68' – – 1 27 (21%) 2
10 G. Versini F 6.5 15' – – 1 4 (1%) 2
19 Ludovic Ajorque F 6.4 90' – – 3 26 (21%) 1
70 Kenny Lala D 6.3 22' – – – 10 (7%) –
29 Lucas Tousart M 6.3 15' – – – 3 (2%) 1
7 Joseph Nonge M 6.3 15' – – – 5 (2%) 1
1 Egil Selvik G 6.2 90' – – – 30 (15%) –
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Desbloqueie a análise completa da IA para Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29

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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Stade Brestois 29 ou empate
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Le Havre
LDLDL
Stade Brestois 29
LLWDD
Last 3 meetings Le Havre · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Le Havre will face Stade Brestois 29 in a Ligue 1 clash. Le Havre has shown robust defensive capabilities, conceding only an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Brestois has struggled offensively, averaging just 1 goal per match. Both teams have had mixed results in their recent fixtures, but Le Havre's home form has been slightly stronger, with 60% of their points earned at home. The match could hinge on Le Havre's ability to exploit Brestois's defensive weaknesses, especially in transition.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
34%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Le Havre
M. Samatta 2 gls
Stade Brestois 29
K. Doumbia 4 gls

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Head to Head: Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29

1 Le Havre Wins
0 Draws
2 Stade Brestois 29 Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Mar 2026 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 0 Le Havre
29 Oct 2025 Le Havre 1 - 0 Stade Brestois 29
26 Jan 2025 Le Havre 0 - 1 Stade Brestois 29
Ver todos os 6 confrontos — Premium

Le Havre — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Toulouse L 3 - 2
12 Sep H Angers D 0 - 0
05 Sep H Stade Brestois 29 L 1 - 2
29 Aug A Lyon D 1 - 1
23 Aug H Monaco L 0 - 1

Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Auxerre L 2 - 1
13 Sep H Paris Saint Germain L 0 - 1
05 Sep A Le Havre W 1 - 2
29 Aug H Toulouse D 2 - 2
22 Aug A Le Mans D 2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Stade Brestois 29

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
1 Selvik
2 Locko
4 Lloris
71 Guen
70 Lala
8 Magnetti
13 Chotard
9 Mboup
23 Doumbia
17 Baldé
19 Ajorque

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Selvik G
70 K. Lala D
71 R. Le Guen D
4 G. Lloris D
2 B. Locko D
13 J. Chotard M
8 H. Magnetti M
17 Mama Baldé M
23 K. Doumbia M
9 P. Mboup M
19 L. Ajorque F

Substitutes

29 L. Tousart M
10 G. Versini F
30 M. Patouillet G
7 J. Nonge Boende M
39 D. N´Guessan F
32 L. C. Laine M. M
11 N. Edjouma F
18 J. Bourgault D
20 L. Zogbe D

Le Havre

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: D. Digard
77 Mpasi
5 Touba
6 Mwanga
15 Seko
32 Pembélé
7 Richardson
26 Ebonog
12 Jelert
25 Samatta
14 Ndiaye
9 Maja

Starting XI

# Player Pos
77 L. Mpasi G
15 A. Seko D
6 J. Mwanga D
5 A. Touba D
12 E. Jelert M
26 S. Ebonog M
7 A. Richardson M
32 T. Pembélé M
14 R. Ndiaye M
25 M. Samatta M
9 J. Maja F

Substitutes

44 I. Bouneb M
38 R. Fofana F
93 G. Gallon G
27 E. Koffi Vinette F
17 K. Mizuta M
78 D. Mosengo M
30 S. Nakamura F
20 Djibril Ouziad D
23 V. Sasso D

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