Torino vs Lecce Previsão

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 11
FT
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Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Torino
52%
27%
21%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Torino x Lecce: O Sportiko estima 52% de probabilidade de vitória para o Torino, 21% para o Lecce e 27% de empate. Atualizado 7 Nov 2026, 16:11.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • Menos de 3,5 Gols 72%
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Match Report

Torino and Lecce played out a 1–1 draw in Serie A matchday 11, with both sides goalless at the break despite Torino's clear territorial dominance. The hosts controlled 64% of possession and created the better opportunities across the opening 45 minutes, though neither side could find the net before the interval.

The second half came to life quickly when an own goal from Kialonda Gaspar put Torino ahead on the hour mark. Lecce responded almost immediately, however, with Konan N'Dri restoring parity just 13 minutes later to level the contest at 1–1. Both sides made a flurry of substitutions in the final quarter, and yellow cards were shown to Youssef Maleh and Amar Fatah, the latter also withdrawn shortly after receiving his booking.

Despite Torino's statistical superiority — posting an expected goals figure of 0.94 against Lecce's 0.31 — the home side were unable to find a winner. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Torino victory as the most likely outcome at 52%, though ultimately the points were shared.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Sandro Kulenović ⇄ Che Adams
45' ⇄
▮ 45+2'
Youssef Maleh Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Kialonda Gaspar Own Goal
60' ⚽ 1–0
Kian Fitz-Jim ⇄ Gvidas Gineitis
61' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Nikola Štulić ⇄ Willem Geubbels
⇄ 72'
Ali Dembélé ⇄ Konan N'Dri
⇄ 72'
Mohamed Kaba ⇄ Lassana Coulibaly
⚽ 1–1 73'
Konan N'Dri assist: Lassana Coulibaly
Alessio Cacciamani ⇄ Zakaria Aboukhlal
78' ⇄
Daniel Bragança ⇄ Cesare Casadei
82' ⇄
Nikola Vlašić ⇄ Emirhan İlkhan
82' ⇄
▮ 84'
Amar Fatah Yellow Card
⇄ 87'
Amar Fatah ⇄ Sadik Fofana
⇄ 87'
Youssef Maleh ⇄ Jamil Siebert
FT 1–1
Torino

Match Stats

Lecce
64% Ball Possession 36%
0.94 Expected Goals (xG) 0.31
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 1
1 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
634 Total passes 351
545 Passes accurate 266
14 Free Kicks 9
Torino
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Pietro Comuzzo D 7.2 90' – – – 102 (94%) 1
23 Saúl Coco D 7.2 90' – – 2 96 (89%) 2
44 Ardian Ismajli D 7.1 90' – – – 81 (78%) 2
6 Emirhan İlkhan M 6.9 8' – – – 7 (4%) –
20 Lucas Perri G 6.8 90' – – – 35 (28%) –
45 Rafik Belghali M 6.7 90' – – 1 63 (58%) 5
7 Zakaria Aboukhlal F 6.7 12' – – 1 2 (2%) –
19 Che Adams F 6.6 44' – – 2 8 (7%) –
17 Sandro Kulenović F 6.6 46' – – – 12 (5%) –
10 Nikola Vlašić M 6.5 82' – – – 47 (36%) 3
22 Cesare Casadei M 6.5 8' – – – 4 (4%) –
21 Daniel Bragança M 6.4 82' – – – 75 (62%) 3
77 Alessio Cacciamani M 6.4 78' – – – 29 (23%) –
18 Giovanni Simeone F 6.3 90' – – 4 23 (14%) –
28 Kian Fitz-Jim M 6.3 61' – – – 42 (33%) 1
66 Gvidas Gineitis M 6.0 29' – – – 8 (8%) –
Lecce
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Konan N'Dri F 8.2 18' 1 – 2 4 (4%) –
44 Tiago Gabriel D 7.1 90' – – – 44 (41%) –
5 Jamil Siebert D 6.8 3' – – – – –
29 Lassana Coulibaly M 6.7 18' – 1 – 9 (9%) 1
30 Wladimiro Falcone G 6.6 90' – – – 23 (10%) –
17 Danilo Veiga D 6.5 90' – – – 50 (39%) 2
69 Willem Geubbels F 6.5 18' – – – 1 –
14 Youssef Maleh M 6.4 87' – – 1 33 (22%) 4
79 Oumar Ngom M 6.4 90' – – 1 36 (27%) 1
7 Amar Fatah F 6.3 87' – – – 19 (11%) 2
2 Ali Dembélé M 6.3 72' – – – 18 (13%) 1
8 Sadik Fofana M 6.2 3' – – – 1 (1%) –
25 Antonino Gallo M 6.1 90' – – – 31 (19%) 1
4 Kialonda Gaspar D 6.1 90' – – – 45 (42%) 2
77 Mohamed Kaba M 6.0 72' – – 2 25 (20%) 2
9 Nikola Štulić F 5.9 72' – – – 12 (8%) –
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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Vitória ou empate difícil do Torino
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Torino
DLLWW
Lecce
DLLLW
Last 3 meetings Torino · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this Serie A matchup, Torino will host Lecce on November 8th. Torino has shown solid form, currently sitting in the upper mid-table, with a strong defense that has conceded only 10 goals in their last 8 outings. Lecce, on the other hand, is battling relegation, struggling to find consistency with a record of just 2 wins in their last 8 matches. Torino’s ability to control possession and create scoring opportunities will be crucial, while Lecce must tighten their defense to avoid falling behind early. The outcome may hinge on Torino's offensive prowess against Lecce's shaky backline.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 67.7%. Late goal chance: 35.7%.

74' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 66.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

61' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Torino win: 83.6%. BTTS: 27.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 72.5%. Over 1.5 remaining: 40.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
52%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
21%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Torino
C. Adams 4 gls
Lecce

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Torino vs Lecce

1 Torino Wins
0 Draws
2 Lecce Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Feb 2026 Torino 1 - 0 Lecce
30 Nov 2025 Lecce 2 - 1 Torino
18 May 2025 Lecce 1 - 0 Torino
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Torino — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Lecce D 1 - 1
01 Nov A Frosinone L 2 - 0
27 Oct H Como L 1 - 3
23 Oct H Monza W 3 - 2
19 Oct A Parma W 0 - 3

Lecce — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Torino D 1 - 1
01 Nov H Genoa L 1 - 2
29 Oct A Frosinone L 5 - 1
25 Oct H Juventus L 0 - 2
18 Oct A Udinese W 0 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Torino

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
20 Perri
15 Comuzzo
44 Ismajli
23 Coco
77 Cacciamani
21 Bragança
28 Fitz-Jim
45 Belghali
10 Vlašić
18 Simeone
17 Kulenović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 Lucas Perri G
23 Saúl Coco D
44 A. Ismajli D
15 P. Comuzzo D
45 R. Belghali M
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
21 Daniel Bragança M
77 A. Cacciamani M
10 N. Vlašić M
17 S. Kulenović F
18 G. Simeone F

Substitutes

91 D. Zapata F
19 C. Adams F
7 Z. Aboukhlal F
3 C. Biraghi D
22 C. Casadei M
5 E. Cömert D
66 G. Gineitis M
6 E. İlkhan M
8 R. Mandragora M
26 D. Mascardi G
11 G. Oristanio M
2 N. Patterson D
9 P. Pellegri F
76 L. Siviero G

Lecce

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: E. Di Francesco
30 Falcone
44 Gabriel
4 Gaspar
17 Veiga
25 Gallo
14 Maleh
79 Ngom
77 Kaba
2 Dembélé
7 Fatah
9 Štulić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 W. Falcone G
17 Danilo Veiga D
4 Kialonda Gaspar D
44 Tiago Gabriel D
2 A. Dembélé M
77 M. Kaba M
79 O. Ngom M
14 Y. Maleh M
25 A. Gallo M
9 N. Štulić F
7 A. Ahmed Fatah F

Substitutes

31 E. Scott D
5 J. Siebert D
11 K. N’Dri F
3 C. Ndaba D
18 G. Jean D
28 Olaf Gorter M
69 W. Geubbels F
16 O. Gandelman M
8 S. Fofana M
22 Paco Esteban F
29 L. Coulibaly M
1 M. Bleve G
32 A. Borbei G

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