Lazio vs Parma Previsão

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

25 Oct 2026, 17:30

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Parma

Away

Chamada de IA Lazio para vencer ou empatar

70%

22%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Lazio x Parma: O Sportiko estima 70% de probabilidade de vitória para o Lazio, 7% para o Parma e 22% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 17.5%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Lazio

WDWWW

Parma

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Lazio · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Lazio will face Parma in a Serie A match on October 25, 2026. Lazio has demonstrated strong form at home, leveraging their attacking prowess, with an average of 2 goals per game this season. Conversely, Parma has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game away from home. The matchup will likely hinge on Lazio's ability to exploit Parma's weaknesses in defense while maintaining a solid midfield presence to control tempo. Expect Lazio to look for an early advantage to capitalize on their offensive strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

70%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Parma goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	3	1
1	18	9	2
2	17	8	2
3	11	5	1
4	5	2	1
5	2	1

↑ Lazio goals · most likely 1–0 (17.5%)

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Players in form

Lazio

D. Frattesi 3 gls

Parma

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	17.5%	9.5%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
3	10.8%	4.9%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	5.1%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lazio	Draw	Parma
Lazio	46.6%	2.3%	0.3%
Draw	23.6%	16.1%	3.4%
Parma	1.7%	2.3%	3.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

64%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lazio vs Parma

1 Lazio Wins

2 Draws

0 Parma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	Lazio	1 - 1	Parma
13 Dec 2025	Parma	0 - 1	Lazio
28 Apr 2025	Lazio	2 - 2	Parma

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Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Venezia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H AC Milan	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Udinese	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Genoa	W	1 - 0
24 Aug	A Bologna	W	0 - 1

Parma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Genoa	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Como	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Monza	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H Cremonese	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Juventus	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.