Juventus vs AC Milan Previsão

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Chamada de IA Juventus ou empate
44%
30%
26%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Juventus x AC Milan: O Sportiko estima 44% de probabilidade de vitória para o Juventus, 26% para o AC Milan e 30% de empate. Atualizado 6 Sep 2026, 20:42.

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  • Mandante Marca 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Mais de 1,5 Gols 72%
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Match Report

Juventus and AC Milan played out a tense, largely uneventful first half at the Allianz Stadium, with neither side able to break the deadlock before the interval. The match came to life after a flurry of substitutions from both teams just past the hour mark, and it was Milan who struck first when Alphadjo Cissè netted a normal goal on 68 minutes to give the visitors the lead.

Juventus looked set to fall to defeat as the clock wound down, but Federico Gatti rescued a point with a stoppage-time equaliser in the 92nd minute to make it 1–1. The drama did not end there, as Gatti was immediately shown a yellow card following his goal celebration, with Cissè also booked in the same moment. The stats told a clear story of Milan's dominance in terms of chances created — 14 total shots and seven corners to Juventus's three shots and one corner — yet it was the home side who snatched the late draw.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Juventus win as the most likely outcome at 44%, and while the result was ultimately a share of the points, Juventus's late intervention at least kept them from losing.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⇄ 61'
Alexis Saelemaekers ⇄ Ruben Loftus-Cheek
⇄ 61'
Diego Moreira ⇄ Alphadjo Cissè
⇄ 61'
Adrien Rabiot ⇄ Samuel Chukwueze
Kerim Alajbegović ⇄ Jérémie Boga
64' ⇄
Nicolás González ⇄ T. Koopmeiners
64' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 68'
Alphadjo Cissè assist: Samuel Chukwueze
Douglas Luiz ⇄ Nick Woltemade
76' ⇄
▮ 79'
Pervis Estupiñán Yellow Card
⇄ 82'
Luka Modrić ⇄ Ardon Jashari
⇄ 88'
Mario Gila Fuentes ⇄ Filippo Terracciano
Francisco Conceição ⇄ Edon Zhegrova
88' ⇄
Zeki Çelik ⇄ Federico Gatti
88' ⇄
▮ 90+2'
Koni De Winter Yellow Card
Federico Gatti assist: T. Koopmeiners
90+2' ⚽ 1–1
Federico Gatti Yellow Card
90+6' ▮
▮ 90+6'
Alphadjo Cissè Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Juventus

Match Stats

AC Milan
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 1
8 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 1
5 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
453 Total passes 479
381 Passes accurate 412
10 Free Kicks 9
Juventus
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Federico Gatti D 8.1 2' 1 – 1 2 (2%) –
26 Jhon Lucumí D 7.1 90' – – – 60 (54%) 3
3 Bremer D 7.0 90' – – – 48 (43%) 1
8 T. Koopmeiners M 6.9 26' – 1 1 16 (15%) –
15 Pierre Kalulu D 6.8 90' – – – 41 (36%) 2
13 Jérémie Boga F 6.8 26' – – 1 6 (5%) –
17 Kerim Alajbegović M 6.7 64' – – 2 25 (23%) –
2 Zeki Çelik D 6.7 88' – – – 33 (27%) 2
27 Nick Woltemade F 6.6 14' – – 1 4 (3%) –
11 Edon Zhegrova F 6.5 2' – – – 2 (2%) –
12 Douglas Luiz M 6.4 76' – – 1 52 (42%) 1
31 Nicolás González M 6.3 64' – – 1 25 (20%) 1
7 Francisco Conceição M 6.3 88' – – 3 30 (24%) 1
25 Guglielmo Vicario G 6.2 90' – – – 19 (15%) –
5 Manuel Locatelli M 6.0 90' – – 2 74 (59%) 3
9 Randal Kolo Muani F 5.9 90' – – 1 16 (11%) 1
AC Milan
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
70 Alphadjo Cissè M 7.6 29' 1 – 1 4 (4%) –
31 Strahinja Pavlović D 7.4 90' – – – 47 (40%) 4
16 Mike Maignan G 7.3 90' – – – 29 (19%) –
34 Mario Gila Fuentes D 7.2 88' – – – 60 (56%) –
14 Luka Modrić M 7.0 82' – – – 70 (66%) 3
5 Koni De Winter D 6.8 90' – – – 43 (40%) 1
42 Filippo Terracciano D 6.7 2' – – – 1 (1%) –
80 Yunus Musah M 6.7 90' – – – 39 (36%) –
21 Samuel Chukwueze F 6.6 29' – 1 – 13 (7%) –
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M 6.5 29' – – – 10 (10%) –
56 Alexis Saelemaekers M 6.4 61' – – – 24 (19%) 1
9 Gonçalo Ramos F 6.4 90' – – – 21 (14%) 3
22 Diego Moreira M 6.3 61' – – – 31 (27%) 2
12 Adrien Rabiot M 6.3 61' – – 1 38 (30%) 1
30 Ardon Jashari M 6.2 8' – – – 3 (2%) –
2 Pervis Estupiñán M 5.9 90' – – 1 39 (34%) 1
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Juventus ou empate
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Juventus
WWLDW
AC Milan
WLDDW
Last 3 meetings Juventus · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Juventus faces AC Milan in a crucial Serie A clash, with both teams vying for top positions in the league. Juventus has shown a strong defensive record, conceding only 10 goals in their last 10 league matches, while AC Milan excels in attack, averaging 2 goals per game in the same period. The outcome may hinge on Juventus's ability to contain Milan's offensive threats, particularly their pace on the wings. Historically, matches between these two are tightly contested, adding to the intensity expected in this encounter. Expect a tactical battle that could be decided by set-pieces or individual brilliance.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
44%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
26%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Juventus
E. Zhegrova 2 gls
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 gls
A. Rabiot 2 gls

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Head to Head: Juventus vs AC Milan

1 Juventus Wins
2 Draws
0 AC Milan Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Apr 2026 AC Milan 0 - 0 Juventus
05 Oct 2025 Juventus 0 - 0 AC Milan
18 Jan 2025 Juventus 2 - 0 AC Milan
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Juventus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Atalanta W 2 - 0
17 Sep H NEC Nijmegen W 5 - 0
13 Sep A Sassuolo L 3 - 2
06 Sep H AC Milan D 1 - 1
29 Aug H Parma W 2 - 0

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lecce W 3 - 0
16 Sep H Benfica L 0 - 2
12 Sep A Lazio D 2 - 2
06 Sep A Juventus D 1 - 1
28 Aug H Venezia W 2 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

AC Milan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ruben Amorim
16 Maignan
31 Pavlović
5 Winter
34 Gila
2 Estupiñán
80 Musah
14 Modrić
22 Moreira
56 Saelemaekers
12 Rabiot
9 Ramos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 M. Maignan G
34 Mario Gila D
5 K. De Winter D
31 S. Pavlović D
22 Diego Moreira M
14 L. Modrić M
80 Y. Musah M
2 P. Estupiñán M
12 A. Rabiot M
56 A. Saelemaekers M
9 Gonçalo Ramos F

Substitutes

33 D. Bartesaghi D
13 S. Bocoum D
73 F. Camarda F
21 S. Chukwueze F
70 A. Cissè M
28 C. Comotto M
96 L. Torriani G
23 F. Tomori D
1 P. Terracciano G
42 F. Terracciano D
11 C. Pulišić M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
30 A. Jashari M
20 O. Hutchinson F

Juventus

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: L. Spalletti
25 Vicario
2 Çelik
26 Lucumí
3 Bremer
15 Kalulu
12 Luiz
5 Locatelli
17 Alajbegović
31 González
7 Conceição
9 Muani

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 G. Vicario G
15 P. Kalulu D
3 Bremer D
26 J. Lucumí D
2 Z. Çelik D
5 M. Locatelli M
12 Douglas Luiz M
7 Francisco Conceição M
31 N. González M
17 Kerim-Sam Alajbegović M
9 R. Kolo Muani F

Substitutes

11 E. Zhegrova F
27 N. Woltemade F
24 D. Rugani D
23 C. Pinsoglio G
43 F. Pagnucco M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
6 L. Kelly D
1 K. Grabara G
4 F. Gatti D
13 J. Boga F
41 A. Owusu M

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