Inter vs Napoli Previsão

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 3
FT
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Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Inter
56%
27%
17%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Inter x Napoli: O Sportiko estima 56% de probabilidade de vitória para o Inter, 17% para o Napoli e 27% de empate. Atualizado 5 Sep 2026, 18:00.

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Match Report

Inter came from behind to claim a dramatic 3–2 victory over Napoli in a breathless Serie A encounter. The first half ended goalless despite Napoli's early dominance in possession, with Antonio Vergara picking up a yellow card before two half-time substitutions reshaped both sides. The second half exploded into life almost immediately, with Matteo Politano opening the scoring for Napoli on 50 minutes, only for Rasmus Højlund to equalise three minutes later and Lautaro Martínez to put Inter ahead by the 56th minute.

The visitors continued to press, finishing with 63% possession and 29 total shots to Inter's 16, and Marcus Thuram levelled matters on 82 minutes to set up a tense finale. Lautaro Martínez, despite picking up a yellow card earlier in the half, had the final say with a 90th-minute winner to seal all three points for the hosts.

Inter's pre-match AI model had rated an Inter win as the most likely outcome at 56%, a call that ultimately proved correct. The result keeps Inter competitive in the early Serie A standings.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

35'
Antonio Vergara Yellow Card
Francesco Pio Esposito ⇄ Marcus Thuram
45'
Petar Sučić ⇄ Curtis Jones
45'
HT 0–0
0–1 50'
Matteo Politano
0–2 53'
Rasmus Højlund assist: Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Lautaro Martínez assist: Federico Dimarco
56' 1–2
62'
Antonio Vergara ⇄ Kevin De Bruyne
62'
Matteo Politano ⇄ David Neres
Federico Dimarco ⇄ Carlos Augusto
62'
Lautaro Martínez Yellow Card
68'
Piotr Zieliński ⇄ Hakan Çalhanoğlu
72'
72'
Rasmus Højlund ⇄ Lorenzo Lucca
77'
Rafa Marín Yellow Card
Alessandro Bastoni ⇄ Ange-Yoan Bonny
79'
79'
Stanislav Lobotka ⇄ Billy Gilmour
80'
Alisson Santos ⇄ B. Badiashile
Marcus Thuram assist: Carlos Augusto
82' 2–2
Lautaro Martínez assist: Manuel Akanji
90+1' 3–2
FT 3–2
Inter

Match Stats

Napoli
63% Ball Possession 37%
29 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Goal 7
14 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 5
20 Shots insidebox 13
9 Shots outsidebox 3
10 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 2
7 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 5
541 Total passes 340
484 Passes accurate 263
6 Free Kicks 6
Inter
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Lautaro Martínez F 9.2 90' 2 6 26 (20%) 2
9 Marcus Thuram F 8.0 45' 1 5 5 (5%)
1 Josep Martínez G 8.0 90' 31 (25%)
25 Manuel Akanji D 7.6 90' 1 2 60 (58%) 4
32 Federico Dimarco M 7.6 62' 1 4 29 (24%) 2
17 Andy Diouf M 7.2 90' 2 48 (43%) 3
8 Petar Sučić M 7.0 45' 27 (22%)
7 Piotr Zieliński M 6.9 72' 4 62 (62%) 2
31 Yann Bisseck D 6.9 90' 2 51 (47%) 3
94 Francesco Pio Esposito F 6.8 45' 2 6 (3%)
95 Alessandro Bastoni D 6.6 79' 66 (61%) 3
23 Nicolò Barella M 6.6 90' 1 51 (46%) 3
21 Curtis Jones M 6.5 45' 1 34 (30%) 2
30 Carlos Augusto D 6.5 28' 1 15 (13%) 1
20 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M 6.4 18' 26 (22%)
14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F 6.2 11' 4 (3%) 2
Napoli
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Matteo Politano F 7.8 62' 1 3 23 (18%)
19 Rasmus Højlund F 7.5 72' 1 2 9 (3%)
20 Lorenzo Lucca F 6.7 18' 1 7 (5%)
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D 6.5 90' 1 36 (29%) 4
68 Stanislav Lobotka M 6.4 79' 1 22 (19%) 3
27 Alisson Santos F 6.4 80' 3 15 (11%) 2
1 Alex Meret G 6.3 90' 31 (15%)
13 Amir Rrahmani D 6.2 90' 38 (32%) 1
16 Rafa Marín D 6.0 90' 1 41 (36%) 2
7 David Neres F 6.0 28' 1 9 (8%)
11 Kevin De Bruyne M 5.9 28' 10 (8%)
37 Leonardo Spinazzola D 5.9 90' 43 (34%)
5 B. Badiashile D 5.9 10' 7 (7%)
6 Billy Gilmour M 5.8 11' 14 (10%)
99 Frank Anguissa M 5.7 90' 4 24 (18%)
26 Antonio Vergara M 5.5 62' 11 (10%) 2
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Vitória ou empate difícil do Inter
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Inter
DWLWW
Napoli
DWLLL
Last 3 meetings Inter · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In this Serie A clash, Inter faces Napoli in a matchup between two of the league's top contenders. Inter has shown strong form at home, boasting an average of 2.5 goals per match this season, while Napoli's defense has been solid, conceding only 0.9 goals per game. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where Inter's ball retention could challenge Napoli's pressing game. Both teams have high attacking potential, making this a likely high-scoring affair. Tactical adjustments and set-piece efficiency could ultimately decide the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
17%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Inter
Lautaro Martínez 4 gls
M. Thuram 2 gls
F. Esposito 2 gls
Napoli

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Inter vs Napoli

0 Inter Wins
2 Draws
1 Napoli Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 Jan 2026 Inter 2 - 2 Napoli
25 Oct 2025 Napoli 3 - 1 Inter
01 Mar 2025 Napoli 1 - 1 Inter
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Inter — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A AS Roma D 2 - 2
14 Sep H Udinese W 5 - 3
08 Sep A Real Madrid L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Napoli W 3 - 2
30 Aug A Cagliari W 0 - 1

Napoli — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Fiorentina D 1 - 1
13 Sep H Bologna W 1 - 0
09 Sep H Arsenal L 0 - 1
05 Sep A Inter L 3 - 2
30 Aug H Como L 1 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Napoli

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
1 Meret
37 Spinazzola
16 Marín
13 Rrahmani
22 Lorenzo
26 Vergara
68 Lobotka
99 Anguissa
27 Santos
19 Højlund
21 Politano

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
16 Rafa Marín D
37 L. Spinazzola D
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
26 A. Vergara M
21 M. Politano F
19 R. Højlund F
27 Alisson Santos F

Substitutes

17 M. Olivera D
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
70 N. Lang F
6 B. Gilmour M
2 C. Favasuli D
11 K. De Bruyne M
7 David Neres F
14 N. Contini G
31 S. Beukema D
5 B. Badiashile D
20 L. Lucca F

Inter

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Cristian Chivu
1 Martínez
95 Bastoni
25 Akanji
31 Bisseck
32 Dimarco
8 Sučić
7 Zieliński
23 Barella
17 Diouf
10 Martínez
94 Esposito

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Josep Martínez G
31 Y. Bisseck D
25 M. Akanji D
95 A. Bastoni D
17 A. Diouf M
23 N. Barella M
7 P. Zieliński M
8 P. Sučić M
32 F. Dimarco M
94 F. Esposito F
10 Lautaro Martínez F

Substitutes

49 I. Provedel G
28 B. Pavard D
6 J. Stones D
5 A. Stanković M
14 A. Bonny F
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
30 Carlos Augusto D
12 R. Di Gennaro G
21 C. Jones M
9 M. Thuram F
11 Luis Henrique F
22 H. Mkhitaryan M

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