Parma vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

22 Aug 2026, 18:45

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Cagliari

Away

Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

Chamada de IA Cagliari para vencer

22%

74%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Parma vs Cagliari prediction: Sportiko gives Parma a 5% chance of winning, Cagliari 74% and the draw 22%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:46.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 21.4%

Both teams to score

22%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Parma

DDWLL

Cagliari

DWDWW

Last 3 meetings Parma · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Parma will face Cagliari in a Serie A matchup on August 22, 2026. Parma's recent form has shown a strong offensive output, averaging 1.8 goals per match over the last five games, while Cagliari has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in the same period. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Parma's possession-oriented play likely to test Cagliari's defensive organization. Both teams will aim to secure crucial points early in the season, making this encounter pivotal for setting the tone for the campaign ahead.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cagliari goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	21	20	12	5	2
1	3	8	6	4	2	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Parma goals · most likely 0–1 (21.4%)

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.2%	21.4%	20.1%	12.0%	5.4%
1	2.8%	7.6%	6.0%	3.6%	1.6%
2	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

36%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Parma	Draw	Cagliari
Parma	2.6%	1.8%	1.2%
Draw	2.3%	16.9%	25.1%
Cagliari	0.2%	1.6%	48.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Parma vs Cagliari

0 Parma Wins

1 Draws

2 Cagliari Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Feb 2026	Parma	1 - 1	Cagliari
13 Sep 2025	Cagliari	2 - 0	Parma
09 Feb 2025	Cagliari	2 - 1	Parma

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Parma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Iraklis 1908	D	1 - 1
30 Jul	H Arezzo	D	1 - 1
24 May	H Sassuolo	W	1 - 0
17 May	A Como	L	1 - 0
10 May	H AS Roma	L	2 - 3

Cagliari — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Union Berlin	D	2 - 2
28 Jul	H Modena	W	1 - 0
23 Jul	A Sampdoria	D	0 - 0
24 May	A AC Milan	W	1 - 2
17 May	H Torino	W	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.