FSV Mainz 05 vs 1899 Hoffenheim Previsão

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

13 Jan 2027, 19:30

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1899 Hoffenheim

Away

Chamada de IA 1899 Hoffenheim ou empate

32%

28%

40%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite FSV Mainz 05 x 1899 Hoffenheim: O Sportiko estima 32% de probabilidade de vitória para o FSV Mainz 05, 40% para o 1899 Hoffenheim e 28% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW

1899 Hoffenheim

LLWLL

Last 3 meetings FSV Mainz 05 · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

FSV Mainz 05 will host 1899 Hoffenheim in a crucial Bundesliga clash. Mainz has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. In contrast, Hoffenheim has struggled on the road, with a tendency to drop points, averaging 1.5 goals conceded per away game. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as they rank in the top half for goals from corners. The match promises to be competitive, with tactical battles likely shaping the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

1899 Hoffenheim goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	7	7	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	4	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ FSV Mainz 05 goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz 4 gls

S. Becker 2 gls

1899 Hoffenheim

A. Daghim 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	7.1%	6.6%	3.4%	1.3%
1	6.1%	13.2%	8.9%	4.6%	1.7%
2	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.3%	3.6%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.8%	1.2%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FSV Mainz 05	Draw	1899 Hoffenheim
FSV Mainz 05	19.0%	4.6%	2.4%
Draw	11.9%	16.7%	14.4%
1899 Hoffenheim	2.1%	4.6%	24.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FSV Mainz 05 vs 1899 Hoffenheim

1 FSV Mainz 05 Wins

1 Draws

1 1899 Hoffenheim Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	1899 Hoffenheim	1 - 2	FSV Mainz 05
21 Nov 2025	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 1	1899 Hoffenheim
12 Apr 2025	1899 Hoffenheim	2 - 0	FSV Mainz 05

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FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	H Eintracht Frankfurt	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	A Hamburger SV	W	0 - 5
29 Aug	H SC Paderborn 07	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Krieschow	W	0 - 9

1899 Hoffenheim — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	L	3 - 1
17 Sep	A OFI	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H VfB Stuttgart	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A 1. FC Köln	L	3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.