Elche vs Malaga Previsão

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

07 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Malaga

Away

Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Elche

56%

25%

19%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Elche x Malaga: O Sportiko estima 56% de probabilidade de vitória para o Elche, 19% para o Malaga e 25% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Elche

WLDLL

Malaga

LLDDL

Last 3 meetings Elche · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Elche will face Malaga, with both teams seeking crucial points in their battle for league stability. Elche's recent form has been inconsistent, but they have shown resilience in their defense, allowing an average of 1.4 goals per match. Conversely, Malaga has struggled offensively, managing just 1 goal per match over their last five fixtures. The outcome may hinge on Elche's ability to convert chances, as they have a slightly higher expected goals (xG) rate compared to Malaga. This matchup will be pivotal for both sides as they aim to climb the league table.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Malaga goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	3	1
1	8	12	6	2	1
2	10	10	5	2	1
3	6	7	3	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Elche goals · most likely 1–1 (11.7%)

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Players in form

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

Malaga

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

25%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

25%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	4.0%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
1	8.5%	11.8%	5.5%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.5%	10.1%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%
3	6.2%	6.5%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
4	3.0%	3.2%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elche	Draw	Malaga
Elche	36.1%	4.0%	1.4%
Draw	18.6%	14.8%	7.4%
Malaga	2.9%	4.1%	10.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Elche vs Malaga

2 Elche Wins

0 Draws

1 Malaga Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2015	Malaga	1 - 2	Elche
21 Dec 2014	Elche	1 - 2	Malaga
03 May 2014	Malaga	0 - 1	Elche

Ver todos os 4 confrontos — Premium

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.