Athletic Club vs Villarreal Previsão

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

10 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Villarreal

Away

Chamada de IA Athletic Club para vencer ou empatar

67%

22%

10%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Athletic Club x Villarreal: O Sportiko estima 67% de probabilidade de vitória para o Athletic Club, 10% para o Villarreal e 22% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Athletic Club

DDWWL

Villarreal

WWLLL

Last 3 meetings Athletic Club · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Athletic Club faces Villarreal in a critical La Liga clash on January 10, 2027. Athletic has historically been strong defensively, with a solid average of 1.1 goals conceded per match this season. Villarreal, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistent scoring, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Key players to watch include Athletic's Iñaki Williams, who contributes significantly to their attack, and Villarreal's Gerard Moreno, known for his ability to convert chances. This match could hinge on Athletic's defensive resilience against Villarreal's attacking creativity.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

67%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

10%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Villarreal goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	2
1	13	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Athletic Club goals · most likely 2–0 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Athletic Club

No scorer data.

Villarreal

P. Gueye 3 gls

Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

22%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

22%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	3.4%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
1	13.0%	10.6%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.2%	9.4%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
3	9.5%	6.3%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
4	4.8%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Athletic Club	Draw	Villarreal
Athletic Club	45.0%	2.9%	0.6%
Draw	21.7%	14.6%	4.4%
Villarreal	2.3%	3.0%	5.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Athletic Club vs Villarreal

0 Athletic Club Wins

1 Draws

2 Villarreal Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	Athletic Club	1 - 2	Villarreal
27 Sep 2025	Villarreal	1 - 0	Athletic Club
06 Apr 2025	Villarreal	0 - 0	Athletic Club

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Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Alaves	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Elche	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Celta Vigo	W	0 - 2
27 Aug	A Barcelona	L	2 - 0

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Levante	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Malaga	W	1 - 3
14 Sep	H Real Betis	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Borussia Dortmund	L	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	L	2 - 3

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.