Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Previsão
Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Chamada de IA
Vitória ou empate difícil do Atletico Madrid
21%
27%
52%
Vitória do Mandante
Empate
Vitória do Visitante
Palpite Alaves x Atletico Madrid: O Sportiko estima 21% de probabilidade de vitória para o Alaves, 52% para o Atletico Madrid e 27% de empate. Atualizado 10 Oct 2026, 16:15.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
33'
Alejandro Grimaldo
assist: Jonathan David
▮
45'
Ademola Lookman
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
Jonathan David
⇄ Alex Baena
⇄
45'
Ademola Lookman
⇄ Julián Alvarez
▮
45+1'
Robin Le Normand
Yellow Card
Lucas Boyé
Penalty
45+6'
⚽
1–1
HT 1–1
⇄
57'
Pablo Barrios
⇄ Kang-in Lee
Ángel Pérez
Card upgrade confirmed
60'
🖵
Ángel Pérez
Red Card
61'
▮
⇄
62'
Robin Le Normand
⇄ Dávid Hancko
Antonio Blanco
⇄ Carlos Benavídez
64'
⇄
Toni Martínez
⇄ Mariano Diaz
64'
⇄
Lucas Boyé
⇄ Ander Guevara
64'
⇄
Nicolás Valentini
⇄ Ville Koski
71'
⇄
⇄
73'
Giuliano Simeone
⇄ Alexander Sørloth
Denis Suarez
⇄ Aitor Mañas
79'
⇄
⚽
1–2
87'
Cristian Romero
assist: Alex Baena
▮
90+2'
Johnny Cardoso
Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Alaves
Match Stats
Atletico Madrid
32%
Ball Possession
68%
1.13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
8
Total Shots
21
3
Shots on Goal
7
3
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
10
5
Shots insidebox
10
3
Shots outsidebox
11
0
Corner Kicks
10
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
339
Total passes
710
275
Passes accurate
644
12
Free Kicks
10
Alaves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Antonio Sivera G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (13%) | – |
| 4 Denis Suarez M | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | – |
| 20 Aitor Mañas F | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 15 Lucas Boyé F | 6.6 | 64' | 1 | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 19 Pablo Ibáñez M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 6 |
| 14 Nahuel Tenaglia D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (31%) | 6 |
| 17 Jonny Otto D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | 1 |
| 11 Toni Martínez F | 6.4 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 8 Antonio Blanco M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | – | 39 (36%) | – |
| 9 Mariano Diaz F | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | 2 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 2 Nicolás Valentini D | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | 2 |
| 16 Ville Koski D | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 23 Carlos Benavídez M | 6.1 | 26' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 6 Ander Guevara M | 6.0 | 26' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | 1 |
| 21 Abderrahman Rebbach M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (16%) | 2 |
| 7 Ángel Pérez M | 5.5 | 61' | – | – | 3 | 17 (14%) | 1 |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Alejandro Grimaldo D | 8.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 61 (56%) | 2 |
| 21 Cristian Romero D | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 81 (74%) | 2 |
| 15 Jonathan David F | 7.4 | 46' | – | 1 | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 14 Marcos Llorente D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 91 (89%) | 3 |
| 6 Koke M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 122 (112%) | 4 |
| 10 Alex Baena M | 7.1 | 44' | – | 1 | 3 | 28 (21%) | – |
| 8 Pablo Barrios M | 7.0 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 40 (37%) | 1 |
| 19 Julián Alvarez F | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 20 Giuliano Simeone M | 6.7 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 35 (30%) | 2 |
| 5 Johnny Cardoso M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (74%) | 1 |
| 9 Alexander Sørloth F | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 17 Dávid Hancko D | 6.6 | 28' | – | – | – | 35 (33%) | – |
| 13 Jan Oblak G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | – |
| 7 Kang-in Lee M | 6.4 | 33' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 24 Robin Le Normand D | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | 1 |
| 11 Ademola Lookman M | 5.9 | 46' | – | – | 3 | 18 (16%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (52%)
At a glance
Nossa tendência
Vitória ou empate difícil do Atletico Madrid
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Alaves
DLDLL
Atletico Madrid
LWWDW
Last 3 meetings
Alaves · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
In this La Liga matchup, Alaves faces a formidable challenge against Atletico Madrid. Alaves has struggled offensively this season, averaging just 1.0 goals per game, while Atletico boasts a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per match. Atletico's attacking prowess, led by key players with high goal contributions, will likely pressure Alaves' backline. The match could hinge on Alaves' ability to exploit counter-attacking opportunities, as Atletico tends to dominate possession. Overall, Atletico's superior form and depth make them favorites in this encounter.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
21%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
52%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Alaves
L. Boyé
5 gls
M. Díaz
4 gls
Atletico Madrid
Álex Baena
5 gls
Álex Grimaldo
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
0
Alaves Wins
2
Draws
1
Atletico Madrid Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 0 | Alaves |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Alaves | 1 - 1 | Atletico Madrid |
| 03 May 2025 | Alaves | 0 - 0 | Atletico Madrid |
Alaves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Sevilla | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Barcelona | L | 6 - 1 |
| 23 Oct | H Malaga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Celta Vigo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | H Atletico Madrid | L | 1 - 2 |
Atletico Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | H Bayern München | L | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Levante | W | 0 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Deportivo La Coruna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | A VfB Stuttgart | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Espanyol | W | 0 - 1 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Atletico Madrid
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: D. Simeone
13
Oblak
22
Grimaldo
24
Normand
21
Romero
14
Llorente
8
Barrios
20
Simeone
5
Cardoso
6
Koke
15
David
11
Lookman
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | J. Oblak | G |
| 14 | Marcos Llorente | D |
| 21 | C. Romero | D |
| 24 | Robin Le Normand | D |
| 22 | Álex Grimaldo | D |
| 6 | Koke | M |
| 5 | J. Cardoso | M |
| 20 | G. Simeone | M |
| 8 | Pablo Barrios | M |
| 11 | A. Lookman | M |
| 15 | J. David | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | A. Sørloth | F |
| 18 | Marc Pubill | D |
| 16 | Arnau Ortiz | F |
| 1 | J. Musso | G |
| 7 | Lee Kang-In | M |
| 23 | M. Hjulmand | M |
| 17 | D. Hancko | D |
| 27 | J. Dominguez | D |
| 46 | J. Castillo | M |
| 10 | Álex Baena | M |
| 19 | J. Álvarez | F |
| 30 | Dani MartÃnez | D |
Alaves
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
1
Sivera
17
Jonny
2
Valentini
14
Tenaglia
21
Rebbach
19
Ibáñez
8
Blanco
4
Suárez
7
Pérez
15
Boyé
11
Martínez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sivera | G |
| 14 | N. Tenaglia | D |
| 2 | N. Valentini | D |
| 17 | Jonny | D |
| 7 | Angel Pérez | M |
| 4 | Denis Suárez | M |
| 8 | Antonio Blanco | M |
| 19 | Pablo Ibáñez | M |
| 21 | A. Rebbach | M |
| 11 | Toni Martínez | F |
| 15 | L. Boyé | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | Yusi | D |
| 24 | Selu Diallo | M |
| 10 | Carles Aleñá | M |
| 9 | M. Díaz | F |
| 6 | Guevara | M |
| 16 | V. Koski | D |
| 20 | Aitor Mañas | F |
| 12 | Hugo Novoa | F |
| 27 | X. Olaiz | D |
| 23 | C. Benavídez | M |
| 13 | A. Giménez | G |
| 22 | Miguel Rodríguez | F |