Celta Vigo vs Malaga Previsão

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Celta Vigo
53%
28%
19%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Celta Vigo x Malaga: O Sportiko estima 53% de probabilidade de vitória para o Celta Vigo, 19% para o Malaga e 28% de empate. Atualizado 13 Sep 2026, 13:58.

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Match Report

Celta Vigo and Malaga shared the points in a 1–1 draw in matchday five of La Liga, despite the home side's AI-backed pre-match advantage proving only partially justified. The first half was disrupted early by yellow cards for Einar Galilea and Yoel Lago in quick succession, before Ferran Jutglà broke the deadlock with a composed finish on 41 minutes to send Celta into the break with a one-goal cushion.

The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides as Malaga pushed to find an equaliser. Their persistence paid off when Adrián Niño Heredia levelled matters on 83 minutes, cancelling out Jutglà's opener just a minute before the Celta forward was withdrawn from the pitch. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Celta win as the most likely outcome at 53%, a call that ultimately fell short as Malaga snatched a late share of the spoils.

Despite Celta's greater threat in front of goal — recording 17 total shots and five on target compared to Malaga's two — they were unable to hold on, with the visitors' superior possession of 55% eventually telling in the closing stages.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

24'
Einar Galilea Yellow Card
Yoel Lago Yellow Card
26'
Ferran Jutglà assist: Hugo González
41' 1–0
45'
Einar Galilea ⇄ Ramón Enríquez
HT 1–0
61'
Joaquín Muñoz ⇄ Juan Cruz
Hugo González ⇄ Williot Swedberg
62'
67'
Dani Lorenzo ⇄ Carlos Puga
67'
Izan Merino ⇄ Adrián Niño Heredia
Ilaix Moriba ⇄ Hugo Burcio
74'
Hugo Álvarez ⇄ Couhaib Driouech
74'
1–1 83'
Adrián Niño Heredia assist: Pablo Martínez
Javier Rueda ⇄ Javi Galán
84'
Ferran Jutglà ⇄ Iago Aspas
84'
87'
Jose Salinas ⇄ Juan Berrocal
FT 1–1
Celta Vigo

Match Stats

Malaga
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 6
10 Shots outsidebox 6
1 Corner Kicks 5
6 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
470 Total passes 554
409 Passes accurate 490
10 Free Kicks 10
Celta Vigo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Ferran Jutglà F 8.2 84' 1 3 17 (15%)
16 Hugo González F 7.5 62' 1 3 16 (14%)
6 Ilaix Moriba M 7.1 74' 1 40 (36%) 1
21 Sebastián Cáceres D 7.0 90' 1 64 (57%) 1
3 Marcos Alonso D 7.0 90' 1 65 (55%) 2
30 Hugo Burcio M 6.9 16' 1 11 (10%) 1
17 Javier Rueda M 6.7 84' 25 (20%) 1
8 Miguel Román M 6.7 90' 2 65 (56%) 3
13 Ionuț Radu G 6.6 90' 19 (15%)
19 Williot Swedberg M 6.5 28' 1 12 (9%) 1
22 Javi Galán D 6.5 6' 10 (7%)
5 Sergio Carreira M 6.4 90' 1 39 (33%) 1
23 Hugo Álvarez F 6.4 74' 1 18 (16%)
18 Yoel Lago D 6.3 90' 59 (58%) 1
24 Couhaib Driouech F 6.2 16' 1 5 (5%)
10 Iago Aspas F 6.1 6' 1 5 (3%)
Malaga
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Adrián Niño Heredia F 8.2 23' 1 3 3 (3%)
18 Pablo Martínez M 7.7 90' 1 1 49 (42%)
1 Alfonso Herrero G 7.4 90' 63 (46%)
12 Jose Salinas D 6.9 87' 48 (46%) 2
15 Ángel Recio D 6.8 90' 2 66 (64%)
6 Ramón Enríquez M 6.8 44' 43 (41%) 1
31 Rafa Garrido D 6.6 90' 53 (50%) 1
10 David Larrubia M 6.5 90' 2 27 (23%) 1
23 Izan Merino M 6.5 67' 54 (52%)
22 Dani Lorenzo F 6.4 67' 40 (34%)
19 Juan Cruz M 6.4 29' 1 2 (2%)
25 Juan Berrocal D 6.3 3' 1 (1%)
3 Carlos Puga D 6.3 23' 12 (11%) 2
4 Einar Galilea D 6.2 46' 64 (57%)
11 Joaquín Muñoz M 6.0 61' 1 13 (11%) 1
9 Chupete F 5.9 90' 2 16 (7%)
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Vitória ou empate difícil do Celta Vigo
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Celta Vigo
WLDDD
Malaga
LLDDL
Last 3 meetings Celta Vigo · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Celta Vigo will host Malaga in a La Liga clash on September 13, 2026. Celta has shown a solid home record, leveraging their attacking play with an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last season. Malaga, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. This matchup will be critical for both teams as they look to secure valuable points early in the season. Celta's effective midfield can exploit Malaga's defensive frailties, potentially leading to a favorable outcome for the home side.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Celta Vigo vs Malaga

0 Celta Vigo Wins
1 Draws
2 Malaga Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Mar 2018 Celta Vigo 0 - 0 Malaga
29 Oct 2017 Malaga 2 - 1 Celta Vigo
07 May 2017 Malaga 3 - 0 Celta Vigo
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Racing Santander W 5 - 0
16 Sep A Omonia Nicosia L 1 - 0
13 Sep H Malaga D 1 - 1
07 Sep A Getafe D 1 - 1
03 Sep A Real Sociedad D 0 - 0

Malaga — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Getafe L 1 - 0
17 Sep H Villarreal L 1 - 3
13 Sep A Celta Vigo D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Levante D 0 - 0
30 Aug A Real Madrid L 4 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Randin Rande
13 Radu
3 Alonso
18 Lago
21 Cáceres
5 Carreira
6 Moriba
8 Román
17 Rueda
23 Álvarez
9 Jutglà
16 González

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 I. Radu G
21 S. Cáceres D
18 Yoel Lago D
3 Marcos Alonso D
17 Javi Rueda M
8 Miguel Román M
6 I. Moriba M
5 Sergio Carreira M
16 Hugo González F
9 Ferran Jutglà F
23 Hugo Álvarez F

Substitutes

25 Iván Villar G
19 W. Swedberg M
2 C. Starfelt D
20 Javi Rodríguez D
15 Álvaro Núñez D
22 Javi Galán D
11 Pablo Durán F
24 C. Driouech F
30 H. Burcio M
1 A. Bayındır G
10 Iago Aspas F
4 A. Faye D

Malaga

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Funes
1 Herrero
12 Salinas
4 Galilea
15 Recio
31 Rafita
11 Muñoz
18 Martínez
23 Merino
10 Larrubia
9 Chupe
22 Lorenzo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alfonso Herrero G
31 Rafita D
15 Ángel Recio D
4 Einar Galilea D
12 José Salinas D
10 David Larrubia M
23 Izan Merino M
18 Pablo Martínez M
11 Joaquín Muñoz M
22 Dani Lorenzo F
9 Chupe F

Substitutes

25 Juan Berrocal D
2 J. Cajuste M
19 Juan Cruz M
6 Ramón Enríquez M
32 J. Fernandez F
17 Eneko Jauregi F
13 Carlos López G
21 Adrián Niño Heredia F
3 Puga D
14 Rafa Rodríguez M

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