Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander Previsão

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

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Racing Santander

Away

Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés

Chamada de IA Rayo Vallecano ou empate

45%

28%

27%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Rayo Vallecano x Racing Santander: O Sportiko estima 45% de probabilidade de vitória para o Rayo Vallecano, 27% para o Racing Santander e 28% de empate. Atualizado 5 Sep 2026, 18:30.

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1st Half Home or Draw 74%
Visitante Marca 70%

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Match Report

Rayo Vallecano edged a chaotic La Liga encounter against Racing Santander, winning 3–2 in a match that produced five goals, six yellow cards, and two late red cards. Racing made a bright start through Sergio Canales in the fourth minute, but Rayo responded swiftly with Andrei Rațiu levelling at 17 minutes. Pablo García restored Racing's advantage on 28 minutes, setting up a frantic closing spell to the first half.

Sergio Camello proved the decisive figure, netting twice in quick succession — first on 43 minutes to draw Rayo level, then again just two minutes into the second half to put the hosts ahead for the first time. The pre-match AI model had rated a Rayo win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that proved correct. Camello was withdrawn shortly after his brace, having already collected a yellow card.

The closing stages grew increasingly ill-tempered, with Fran Pérez and Jorge de Frutos both dismissed in the final minutes. Rayo finished the more threatening side, registering ten shots on goal to Racing's five, and held on to claim all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Óscar Valentín Yellow Card

2' ▮

⚽ 0–1 4'

Sergio Canales

Andrei Rațiu assist: Sergio Camello

17' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 25'

Yassir Zabiri Yellow Card

⚽ 1–2 28'

Pablo García

▮ 35'

Iñigo Vicente Yellow Card

Sergio Camello Yellow Card

39' ▮

Sergio Camello assist: Unai López

43' ⚽ 2–2

HT 2–2

Sergio Camello assist: Unai López

47' ⚽ 3–2

⇄ 55'

Manu Hernando ⇄ Pablo Ramón

⇄ 55'

Matteo Prati ⇄ André Almeida

⇄ 55'

Facundo González ⇄ Jeanuël Belocian

Sergio Camello ⇄ Alemão

57' ⇄

Óscar Valentín ⇄ Gnangoro Bouaré

57' ⇄

Jorge de Frutos ⇄ Fran Pérez

65' ⇄

Florian Lejeune Yellow Card

66' ▮

Álvaro García ⇄ Georgiy Tsitaishvili

74' ⇄

Adrià Pedrosa ⇄ Iván Balliu

75' ⇄

Fran Pérez Red Card

85' ▮

Jorge de Frutos Red Card

89' ▮

⇄ 90'

Pablo García ⇄ Juan Carlos Arana

⇄ 90'

Alvaro Mantilla ⇄ Aarón Martín

FT 3–2

Rayo Vallecano

Match Stats

Racing Santander

49% Ball Possession 51%

16 Total Shots 10

10 Shots on Goal 5

3 Shots off Goal 3

3 Blocked Shots 2

9 Shots insidebox 5

7 Shots outsidebox 5

9 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 12

3 Yellow Cards 2

2 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

384 Total passes 409

316 Passes accurate 331

12 Free Kicks 15

Rayo Vallecano

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Sergio Camello F	9.5	57'	2	1	3	15 (13%)	1
8 Unai López M	8.0	90'	–	2	1	63 (52%)	1
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	51 (47%)	2
2 Andrei Rațiu D	6.6	90'	1	–	3	38 (28%)	2
14 Georgiy Tsitaishvili F	6.5	16'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
18 Álvaro García F	6.5	74'	–	–	2	7 (5%)	–
19 Jorge de Frutos F	6.4	89'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	1
23 Óscar Valentín M	6.3	57'	–	–	–	43 (40%)	–
4 Pedro Díaz M	6.3	90'	–	–	2	34 (33%)	2
9 Alemão F	6.2	33'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
20 Iván Balliu D	6.2	15'	–	–	–	–	1
36 Gnangoro Bouaré M	6.1	33'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	2
24 Florian Lejeune D	6.0	90'	–	–	1	56 (47%)	–
17 Adrià Pedrosa D	6.0	75'	–	–	2	22 (14%)	1
1 Dani Cárdenas G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	21 (10%)	–
21 Fran Pérez F	5.6	20'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

Racing Santander

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Sergio Canales M	8.0	90'	1	–	3	41 (37%)	2
15 Pablo García M	6.9	90'	1	–	3	9 (8%)	2
13 Julen Agirrezabala G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	–
8 André Almeida M	6.5	35'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	2
21 Yassir Zabiri F	6.3	90'	–	–	2	13 (9%)	1
5 Pablo Ramón D	6.3	35'	–	–	–	24 (23%)	2
24 Jeanuël Belocian D	6.2	35'	–	–	1	14 (14%)	1
23 Iván Martín M	6.1	90'	–	–	–	59 (50%)	6
16 Facundo González D	6.1	55'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	2
18 Matteo Prati M	6.0	55'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	–
4 Manu Hernando D	6.0	55'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	–
17 Jorge Salinas D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (20%)	4
10 Iñigo Vicente M	5.9	90'	–	–	–	49 (35%)	3
2 Alvaro Mantilla D	5.3	90'	–	–	–	33 (20%)	1

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Rayo Vallecano ou empate

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Racing Santander

LLWLW

Last 2 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

Rayo Vallecano enters this match against Racing Santander with a solid home record, having secured 60% of their points at home this season. They have a well-balanced attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while their defense has shown improvement, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Racing Santander, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with only one win in their last five away matches and a goals-per-game average of 1.0. This matchup promises to be competitive, but Rayo's current form and home performance may give them the edge.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Racing Santander goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Rayo Vallecano goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

Racing Santander

M. Zabiri 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	5.8%	4.4%	1.8%	0.5%
1	8.2%	13.2%	7.1%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.8%	9.4%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.2%	5.1%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.7%	2.0%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Racing Santander
Rayo Vallecano	23.1%	3.4%	1.4%
Draw	19.4%	16.9%	9.9%
Racing Santander	3.7%	5.5%	16.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins

1 Draws

0 Racing Santander Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Mar 2012	Rayo Vallecano	4 - 2	Racing Santander
01 Oct 2011	Racing Santander	1 - 1	Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

Racing Santander — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Celta Vigo	L	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Barcelona	L	7 - 2
12 Sep	H Alaves	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Rayo Vallecano	L	3 - 2
28 Aug	H Elche	W	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Rayo Vallecano

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Beñat San José

1 Cárdenas

17 Pedrosa

6 Ciss

24 Lejeune

2 Rațiu

4 Díaz

23 Valentín

8 López

18 García

10 Camello

19 Frutos

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dani Cárdenas	G
2	A. Rațiu	D
24	F. Lejeune	D
6	P. Ciss	D
17	Adrià Pedrosa	D
8	Unai López	M
23	Óscar Valentín	M
4	Pedro Díaz	M
19	Jorge de Frutos	F
10	Sergio Camello	F
18	Álvaro García	F

Substitutes

9	Alemão	F
25	E. Audero	G
20	I. Balliu	D
36	G. Bouare	M
26	Marco de las Sías	D
22	Pelayo Fernández	D
11	R. Nteka	M
21	Fran Pérez	F
15	Mujaid Sadick	D
14	G. Tsitaishvili	F
37	Rayane Belid	F

Racing Santander

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: José Alberto López

13 Agirrezabala

17 Salinas

16 González

4 Hernando

2 Mantilla

18 Prati

23 Martín

10 Vicente

20 Canales

15 García

21 Zabiri

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Julen Agirrezabala	G
2	Álvaro Mantilla	D
4	Manu Hernando	D
16	Facundo González	D
17	Jorge Salinas	D
23	Iván Martín	M
18	M. Prati	M
15	Pablo García	M
20	Sergio Canales	M
10	Iñigo Vicente	M
21	M. Zabiri	F

Substitutes

24	J. Belocian	D
14	M. Gueye	M
7	G. Guliashvili	F
3	Aarón Martín	D
22	Pedro Felipe	D
38	H. Perez	F
5	Pablo Ramón	D
6	Íñigo Sainz-Maza	M
12	Asier Villalibre	F
8	André Almeida	M
9	Juan Carlos Arana	F
1	S. Eriksson	G