Liverpool vs Arsenal Previsão
Palpite Liverpool x Arsenal: O Sportiko estima 34% de probabilidade de vitória para o Liverpool, 37% para o Arsenal e 29% de empate. Atualizado 1 Nov 2026, 18:27.
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Premium- Visitante Marca 76%
- Mandante Marca 73%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
- Menos de 3,5 Gols 71%
Match Report
Arsenal claimed a hard-fought 1–0 victory at Anfield, with Kai Havertz's 16th-minute strike proving the decisive moment. The German striker's early goal gave the visitors a lead they would protect for the remainder of the match, heading into the break with their advantage intact.
Liverpool dominated possession at 56% and generated 17 total shots, yet remarkably failed to register a single shot on target throughout the entire game, leaving their expected goals figure of 1.23 ultimately meaningless. Arsenal, despite the more modest attacking output of 10 shots, converted when it mattered most and held firm defensively. The match grew increasingly fractious in the second half, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides between the 67th and 80th minutes as tensions rose, and a flurry of substitutions from both managers failed to alter the scoreline.
The result was a notable away win for Arsenal, who secured all three points despite Liverpool's territorial pressure. Our pre-match AI model had identified an Arsenal victory as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved correct on the day.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Liverpool
Match Stats
Liverpool
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Trey Nyoni M | 7.2 | 59' | – | – | – | 55 (53%) | 1 |
| 4 V. van Dijk D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 67 (55%) | – |
| 6 Miloš Kerkez D | 6.8 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 1 Alisson G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 33 Ronald Araújo D | 6.6 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 19 (12%) | 2 |
| 5 Jérémy Jacquet D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (42%) | 5 |
| 8 Dominik Szoboszlai M | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 23 Victor Muñoz F | 6.4 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 10 Alexis Mac Allister M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 58 (50%) | 3 |
| 73 Rio Ngumoha F | 6.4 | 23' | – | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 67 Lewis Koumas F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 7 Florian Wirtz M | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | 3 | 34 (28%) | 1 |
| 18 C. Gakpo M | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 9 Alexander Isak F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 21 Konstantinos Tsimikas D | 6.0 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 29 Bradley Barcola M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (22%) | 1 |
Arsenal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Ezri Konsa D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | 5 |
| 29 Kai Havertz F | 7.7 | 84' | 1 | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | 1 |
| 41 Declan Rice M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 44 (38%) | 4 |
| 5 Piero Hincapié D | 7.2 | 6' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | 1 |
| 6 Gabriel Magalhães D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (31%) | 2 |
| 39 Bruno Guimarães M | 7.0 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 18 (15%) | 2 |
| 12 J. Timber D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 23 Mikel Merino M | 6.8 | 2' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 49 Myles Lewis-Skelly D | 6.8 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 14 (11%) | 2 |
| 8 Martin Ødegaard M | 6.7 | 88' | – | – | – | 43 (34%) | 2 |
| 20 Noni Madueke M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 14 Viktor Gyökeres F | 6.5 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 1 David Raya G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (26%) | – |
| 33 Riccardo Calafiori D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (16%) | 3 |
| 17 Christos Tzolis M | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 24 (14%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 75: Arsenal leads 0-1. Win probability: 84.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 15.7%.
Half-time: 0-1. Arsenal leads. Win probability: 72.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Arsenal win: 67.7%. BTTS: 66.5%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
A. Isak
6 gls
K. Havertz
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Liverpool vs Arsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0 - 0 | Liverpool |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Liverpool | 1 - 0 | Arsenal |
| 11 May 2025 | Liverpool | 2 - 2 | Arsenal |
Liverpool — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | A Fenerbahçe | L | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Chelsea | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Brighton | W | 2 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Villarreal | W | 4 - 3 |
Arsenal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Hull City | W | 1 - 0 |
| 04 Nov | A Slavia Praha | W | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | A Liverpool | W | 0 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Fleetwood Town | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Everton | W | 2 - 0 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alisson Becker | G |
| 33 | R. Araújo | D |
| 5 | J. Jacquet | D |
| 4 | V. van Dijk | D |
| 6 | M. Kerkez | D |
| 10 | A. Mac Allister | M |
| 42 | T. Nyoni | M |
| 18 | C. Gakpo | M |
| 7 | F. Wirtz | M |
| 29 | B. Barcola | M |
| 9 | A. Isak | F |
Substitutes
| 73 | R. Ngumoha | F |
| 67 | L. Koumas | F |
| 23 | Víctor Muñoz | F |
| 8 | D. Szoboszlai | M |
| 38 | R. Gravenberch | M |
| 3 | W. Endo | M |
| 21 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 2 | J. Gomez | D |
| 25 | G. Mamardashvili | G |
Arsenal
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Raya | G |
| 12 | J. Timber | D |
| 15 | E. Konsa | D |
| 6 | Gabriel Magalhães | D |
| 33 | R. Calafiori | D |
| 41 | D. Rice | M |
| 39 | Bruno Guimarães | M |
| 20 | N. Madueke | M |
| 8 | M. Ødegaard | M |
| 17 | C. Tzolis | M |
| 29 | K. Havertz | F |
Substitutes
| 36 | Martín Zubimendi | M |
| 14 | V. Gyökeres | F |
| 13 | Kepa | G |
| 3 | Cristhian Mosquera | D |
| 4 | B. White | D |
| 5 | P. Hincapié | D |
| 49 | M. Lewis-Skelly | D |
| 10 | E. Eze | M |
| 23 | Mikel Merino | M |