Haiti vs Scotland Previsão

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

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Scotland

Away

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Scotland

15%

28%

57%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Haiti x Scotland: O Sportiko estima 15% de probabilidade de vitória para o Haiti, 57% para o Scotland e 28% de empate. Atualizado 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

Scotland secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Haiti in their World Cup Group Stage opener, with John McGinn's 28th-minute strike proving decisive. The midfielder's goal gave the Scots an early advantage that they managed to protect throughout the remainder of the contest. Our pre-match AI model had rated Scotland's chances at 57%, and that prediction proved accurate.

The match remained competitive despite Scotland's lead, with both teams registering identical shots on target (2 each) from Haiti's 9 total attempts and Scotland's 15. Scotland enjoyed slightly better possession (54%) and marginally higher expected goals (1.21 vs 1.07), suggesting they created the better quality chances. The game became increasingly physical in the second half, with yellow cards shown to Jean-Ricner Bellegarde for Haiti and Aaron Hickey for Scotland before the break, followed by late bookings for Findlay Curtis and Kenny McLean.

Both managers made extensive use of their benches, with Haiti making three substitutions and Scotland five as they looked to either find an equalizer or secure their advantage. Scotland's disciplined defensive performance ultimately earned them a crucial three points to start their World Cup campaign.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 28'

John McGinn

Jean-Ricner Bellegarde Yellow Card

39' ▮

HT 0–1

▮ 46'

Aaron Hickey Yellow Card

Louicius Don Deedson ⇄ Josué Casimir

61' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Ben Gannon-Doak ⇄ Ryan Christie

⇄ 75'

Aaron Hickey ⇄ Nathan Patterson

⇄ 75'

Che Adams ⇄ Lyndon Dykes

Wilson Isidor ⇄ Lenny Joseph

76' ⇄

⇄ 83'

John McGinn ⇄ Findlay Curtis

⇄ 83'

Lawrence Shankland ⇄ Kenny McLean

Ruben Providence ⇄ Yassin Fortune

85' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

Findlay Curtis Yellow Card

▮ 90+5'

Kenny McLean Yellow Card

FT 0–1

Haiti

Match Stats

Scotland

54% Ball Possession 46%

1.21 Expected Goals (xG) 1.07

15 Total Shots 9

2 Shots on Goal 2

9 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 2

8 Shots insidebox 8

7 Shots outsidebox 1

4 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 1

23 Fouls 21

1 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

431 Total passes 373

367 Passes accurate 306

85% Passes % 82%

0.22 goals_prevented 0.22

Haiti

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde M	7.5	90'	–	–	2	66 (53%)	1
4 Ricardo Adé D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	63 (55%)	–
8 Martin Expérience D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	43 (35%)	4
17 Danley Jean Jacques M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	53 (44%)	3
1 Johny Placide G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	31 (20%)	–
5 Hannes Delcroix D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	66 (66%)	2
19 Yassin Fortune F	6.7	13'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
15 Ruben Providence M	6.6	85'	–	–	2	24 (23%)	1
20 Frantzdy Pierrot F	6.6	90'	–	–	2	6 (5%)	–
21 Josué Casimir F	6.6	29'	–	–	1	20 (18%)	–
11 Louicius Don Deedson M	6.3	61'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	–
18 Wilson Isidor F	6.3	76'	–	–	1	9 (5%)	–
2 Carlens Arcus D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	35 (32%)	–
16 Lenny Joseph F	6.2	14'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–

Scotland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Grant Hanley D	7.7	90'	–	–	–	50 (46%)	2
19 Lewis Ferguson M	7.7	90'	–	–	–	43 (39%)	1
1 Angus Gunn G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	37 (25%)	–
7 John McGinn M	7.5	83'	1	–	2	11 (10%)	–
2 Aaron Hickey D	7.2	75'	–	–	–	35 (31%)	–
13 Jack Hendry D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	56 (51%)	–
3 Andy Robertson D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	42 (30%)	1
17 Ben Gannon-Doak M	7.2	75'	–	–	1	23 (19%)	1
22 Nathan Patterson D	6.9	15'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
4 Scott McTominay M	6.7	90'	–	–	2	29 (27%)	–
23 Kenny McLean M	6.7	15'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
11 Ryan Christie M	6.6	15'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	3
20 Lawrence Shankland F	6.5	83'	–	–	1	16 (7%)	3
10 Che Adams F	6.5	75'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	–
9 Lyndon Dykes F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
25 Findlay Curtis F	6.2	15'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Vitória ou empate difícil do Scotland

Most likely score

0:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Haiti

WLLLL

Scotland

LLWLD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 14, Haiti will face Scotland. Historically, Haiti has struggled against higher-ranked teams, and their FIFA ranking of 83 reflects this challenge. Scotland, ranked 40th, boasts a more robust squad and has shown improvements in recent UEFA competitions. Key players like Lyndon Dykes and Andy Robertson will aim to leverage their experience against Haiti's defense. The match will be crucial for both teams as they seek to secure valuable points early in the tournament. Expect Scotland to dominate possession, while Haiti will likely rely on counter-attacks to exploit any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Scotland goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	14	13	7	3	1
1	5	13	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Haiti goals · most likely 0–1 (14.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

28%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

28%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

79% Away (No Draw) 21% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	14.2%	12.8%	6.9%	2.8%
1	5.5%	12.7%	9.2%	5.0%	2.0%
2	2.5%	4.1%	3.3%	1.8%	0.7%
3	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Haiti	Draw	Scotland
Haiti	8.2%	3.5%	2.0%
Draw	6.7%	18.6%	20.6%
Scotland	0.8%	3.5%	36.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

49%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Haiti vs Scotland

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Haiti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Sep	H Trinidad and Tobago	W	3 - 2
24 Jun	A Morocco	L	4 - 2
20 Jun	A Brazil	L	3 - 0
14 Jun	H Scotland	L	0 - 1
06 Jun	H Peru	L	1 - 2

Scotland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Jun	H Brazil	L	0 - 3
19 Jun	H Morocco	L	0 - 1
14 Jun	A Haiti	W	0 - 1
23 Jun	H Hungary	L	0 - 1
19 Jun	H Switzerland	D	1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Scotland

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Steve Clarke

1 Gunn

3 Robertson

13 Hendry

5 Hanley

2 Hickey

7 McGinn

19 Ferguson

4 McTominay

17 Gannon-Doak

10 Adams

20 Shankland

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Angus Gunn	G
2	Aaron Hickey	D
5	Grant Hanley	D
13	Jack Hendry	D
3	Andy Robertson	D
17	Ben Gannon-Doak	M
4	Scott McTominay	M
19	Lewis Ferguson	M
7	John McGinn	M
20	Lawrence Shankland	F
10	Che Adams	F

Substitutes

12	Liam Kelly	G
21	Craig Gordon	G
6	Kieran Tierney	D
15	John Souttar	D
16	Dominic Hyam	D
22	Nathan Patterson	D
24	Tony Ralston	D
26	Scott McKenna	D
8	Tyler Fletcher	M
11	Ryan Christie	M
23	Kenny McLean	M
25	Findlay Curtis	F
9	Lyndon Dykes	F
14	Ross Stewart	F
18	George Hirst	F

Haiti

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Sebastien Migne

1 Placide

8 Expérience

5 Delcroix

4 Adé

2 Arcus

15 Providence

10 Bellegarde

17 Jacques

11 Deedson

18 Isidor

20 Pierrot

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Johny Placide	G
2	Carlens Arcus	D
4	Ricardo Adé	D
5	Hannes Delcroix	D
8	Martin Expérience	D
11	Louicius Don Deedson	M
17	Danley Jean Jacques	M
10	Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	M
15	Ruben Providence	M
20	Frantzdy Pierrot	F
18	Wilson Isidor	F

Substitutes

21	Josué Casimir	F
12	Alexandre Pierre	G
23	Josué Duverger	G
3	Keeto Thermoncy	D
13	Duke Lacroix	D
14	Garven-Michee Metusala	D
22	Jean-Kévin Duverne	D
24	Wilguens Paugain	D
6	Carl Fred Sainté	M
25	Dominique Simon	M
26	Woodensky Pierre	M
7	Derrick Etienne	F
9	Duckens Nazon	F
16	Lenny Joseph	F
19	Yassin Fortune	F