Liverpool vs Chelsea Prognoza

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 36
FT
Post on X
Anfield, Liverpool
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Liverpool
53%
26%
21%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Liverpool vs Chelsea: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Liverpool na 53%, Chelsea na 21%, a remisu na 26%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Liverpool and Chelsea shared the spoils in a tense Premier League encounter at Anfield, finishing 1–1 after a lively first half settled the scoring. Ryan Gravenberch gave Liverpool an early lead in the sixth minute, only for Enzo Fernández to level matters for Chelsea just before the half-hour mark, ensuring the teams went in level at the break.

The second half offered little in the way of goals despite a dramatic moment when Cole Palmer's effort was ruled out by VAR on the hour mark, a decision that proved pivotal in denying Chelsea what would have been a winner. Chelsea shaded possession at 52% but both sides registered just three shots on target, with expected goals figures of 0.56 and 0.50 reflecting a closely contested affair. Our pre-match AI model had Liverpool as the most likely winners at 53%, though the Reds ultimately had to settle for a point.

The closing stages turned fractious, with five yellow cards distributed across the final twenty minutes — Fernández, Cucurella, Joe Gomez, Moisés Caicedo, and Alexis Mac Allister all booked — as both sides grew increasingly frustrated with the stalemate.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

R. Gravenberch assist: Rio Ngumoha
6' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 35'
Enzo Fernández
HT 1–1
🖵 50'
Cole Palmer Goal cancelled
⇄ 63'
Andrey Santos ⇄ Reece James
▮ 67'
J. Hato Yellow Card
Rio Ngumoha ⇄ Alexander Isak
67' ⇄
▮ 73'
Enzo Fernández Yellow Card
C. Gakpo ⇄ Federico Chiesa
77' ⇄
Ibrahima Konaté ⇄ Joe Gomez
77' ⇄
▮ 83'
Marc Cucurella Yellow Card
Joe Gomez Yellow Card
88' ▮
▮ 89'
Moisés Caicedo Yellow Card
Alexis Mac Allister Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
FT 1–1
Liverpool

Match Stats

Chelsea
48% Ball Possession 52%
0.56 Expected Goals (xG) 0.50
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
473 Total passes 515
398 Passes accurate 446
84% Passes % 87%
-0.49 goals_prevented -0.49
Liverpool
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
38 R. Gravenberch M 7.9 90' 1 – 1 44 (35%) 2
17 Curtis Jones D 7.3 90' – – – 79 (73%) 1
73 Rio Ngumoha M 7.2 67' – 1 – 13 (12%) –
25 Giorgi Mamardashvili G 6.9 90' – – – 24 (16%) 1
9 Alexander Isak F 6.7 23' – – – 4 (1%) 1
2 Joe Gomez D 6.7 13' – – – 13 (8%) 1
5 Ibrahima Konaté D 6.6 77' – – – 57 (50%) 1
4 V. van Dijk D 6.6 90' – – 2 84 (76%) –
30 Jeremie Frimpong M 6.5 90' – – 1 24 (18%) 1
6 Miloš Kerkez D 6.5 90' – – – 43 (35%) –
14 Federico Chiesa F 6.5 13' – – – 1 (1%) –
18 C. Gakpo F 6.3 77' – – – 9 (6%) 1
10 Alexis Mac Allister M 6.2 90' – – 1 43 (38%) 1
8 Dominik Szoboszlai M 6.2 90' – – 2 35 (29%) –
Chelsea
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Moisés Caicedo M 7.2 90' – – – 64 (57%) 4
8 Enzo Fernández M 7.2 90' 1 – 2 46 (43%) –
24 Reece James D 7.0 27' – – – 28 (24%) 1
10 Cole Palmer M 7.0 90' – – – 44 (39%) 3
21 J. Hato D 6.9 90' – – – 46 (44%) 5
6 Levi Colwill D 6.9 90' – – – 79 (71%) 1
29 Wesley Fofana D 6.7 90' – – – 58 (54%) –
20 João Pedro F 6.6 90' – – 2 20 (13%) 1
17 Andrey Santos M 6.5 63' – – – 32 (30%) 2
3 Marc Cucurella M 6.3 90' – – 1 22 (20%) 1
12 Filip Jørgensen G 6.3 90' – – – 36 (19%) –
27 Malo Gusto D 6.0 90' – – – 40 (32%) 2
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Liverpool
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Liverpool
WWDWW
Chelsea
LDWLW
Last 3 meetings Liverpool · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this Premier League clash on May 9, 2026, Liverpool hosts Chelsea at Anfield. Liverpool's home advantage is significant, with a strong win rate at Anfield—approximately 70% over the past two seasons. Chelsea, while historically competitive, has struggled to maintain consistency on the road, with a win percentage around 40% in away fixtures this season. Key players to watch include Liverpool’s attacking trio, who have combined for over 30 league goals, and Chelsea's midfield, which has shown resilience but often lacks creativity. This match could be pivotal for both teams in the race for European qualification.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Liverpool
A. Isak 4 gls
Chelsea
João Pedro 3 gls
M. Rogers 3 gls
C. Palmer 2 gls

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Head to Head: Liverpool vs Chelsea

1 Liverpool Wins
0 Draws
2 Chelsea Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Oct 2025 Chelsea 2 - 1 Liverpool
04 May 2025 Chelsea 3 - 1 Liverpool
20 Oct 2024 Liverpool 2 - 1 Chelsea
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Liverpool — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Bournemouth W 0 - 1
15 Sep H Tottenham W 3 - 1
12 Sep H Fulham D 0 - 0
09 Sep H Atletico Madrid W 2 - 1
04 Sep A Ipswich W 0 - 2

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Brentford L 3 - 0
12 Sep H Hull City D 2 - 2
09 Sep H Leeds W 6 - 3
06 Sep A Arsenal L 2 - 1
30 Aug H Brighton W 4 - 3

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Liverpool

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arne Slot
25 Mamardashvili
6 Kerkez
4 Dijk
5 Konate
17 Jones
10 Allister
38 Gravenberch
73 Ngumoha
8 Szoboszlai
30 Frimpong
18 Gakpo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 G. Mamardashvili G
17 C. Jones D
5 I. Konate D
4 V. van Dijk D
6 M. Kerkez D
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
30 J. Frimpong M
8 D. Szoboszlai M
73 R. Ngumoha M
18 C. Gakpo F

Substitutes

28 F. Woodman G
14 F. Chiesa F
68 K. Morrison M
79 W. Wright F
26 A. Robertson D
2 J. Gomez D
9 A. Isak F
42 T. Nyoni M
75 T. Ndiaye -

Chelsea

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Calum McFarlane
12 Jorgensen
21 Hato
6 Colwill
29 Fofana
27 Gusto
25 Caicedo
17 Santos
3 Cucurella
8 Fernandez
10 Palmer
20 Pedro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 F. Jorgensen G
27 M. Gusto D
29 W. Fofana D
6 L. Colwill D
21 J. Hato D
17 Andrey Santos M
25 M. Caicedo M
10 C. Palmer M
8 E. Fernandez M
3 M. Cucurella M
20 Joao Pedro F

Substitutes

44 G. Slonina G
23 T. Chalobah D
24 R. James D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
9 L. Delap F
45 R. Lavia M
34 J. Acheampong D
76 R. Kavuma McQueen F
72 M. Eboue M

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