Manchester City vs Arsenal Prognoza

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 33
FT
Post on X
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Arsenal
24%
23%
53%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Manchester City vs Arsenal: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Manchester City na 24%, Arsenal na 53%, a remisu na 23%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Manchester City came from behind to beat Arsenal 2–1 in a tightly contested Premier League clash, with Erling Haaland's second-half strike proving the decisive moment. Rayan Cherki opened the scoring in the 16th minute, only for Kai Havertz to level just two minutes later, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Arsenal win as the most likely outcome at 53%, a call that ultimately did not hold up.

Haaland settled the contest on the hour mark, converting in the 65th minute to hand City the lead they would not relinquish. Arsenal dominated possession with 59% and generated more shots overall — 15 to City's nine — yet managed only five on target, and their expected goals figure of 1.36 fell short of converting that pressure into goals.

The closing stages grew fractious, with yellow cards shown to Haaland and Gabriel Magalhães in the 83rd minute amid a flurry of substitutions from both sides. City held firm to secure three points that will have significant implications in the title race.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Rayan Cherki assist: Matheus Nunes
16' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 18'
Kai Havertz
▮ 36'
Cristhian Mosquera Yellow Card
HT 1–1
⇄ 46'
Noni Madueke ⇄ Gabriel Martinelli
Marc Guéhi Yellow Card
60' ▮
Erling Haaland
65' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 74'
Cristhian Mosquera ⇄ Ben White
⇄ 74'
Eberechi Eze ⇄ Leandro Trossard
Erling Haaland Yellow Card
83' ▮
▮ 83'
Gabriel Magalhães Yellow Card
⇄ 84'
Martín Zubimendi ⇄ Viktor Gyökeres
Rayan Cherki ⇄ Phil Foden
85' ⇄
Rodri ⇄ Nico González
88' ⇄
Jérémy Doku ⇄ Savinho
88' ⇄
Antoine Semenyo ⇄ N. Aké
90+6' ⇄
FT 2–1
Manchester City

Match Stats

Arsenal
59% Ball Possession 41%
1.36 Expected Goals (xG) 1.62
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 3
13 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 1
8 Corner Kicks 5
0 Offsides 4
5 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
498 Total passes 348
424 Passes accurate 262
85% Passes % 75%
-0.64 goals_prevented -0.64
Manchester City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
33 Nico O'Reilly D 8.3 90' – – – 46 (36%) 1
10 Rayan Cherki M 8.2 85' 1 – 1 48 (40%) –
16 Rodri M 7.6 88' – – – 74 (69%) 2
11 Jérémy Doku M 7.5 88' – – 2 42 (34%) 1
9 Erling Haaland F 7.5 90' 1 – 4 15 (8%) –
27 Matheus Nunes D 7.2 90' – 1 – 33 (30%) 2
45 Abdukodir Khusanov D 6.9 90' – – 1 42 (39%) 1
15 Marc Guéhi D 6.7 90' – – 1 71 (65%) 1
47 Phil Foden M 6.7 13' – – – 3 (3%) –
14 Nico González M 6.7 10' – – – 3 (2%) –
20 Bernardo Silva M 6.3 90' – – 1 59 (53%) 3
26 Savinho F 6.3 10' – – – 2 (1%) –
42 Antoine Semenyo M 6.2 89' – – – 16 (10%) 1
25 Gianluigi Donnarumma G 6.2 90' – – – 44 (34%) –
6 N. Aké D — 1' – – – – –
Arsenal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Kai Havertz F 7.3 90' 1 – 3 17 (13%) –
19 Leandro Trossard F 7.0 16' – – – 10 (8%) 1
6 Gabriel Magalhães D 6.9 90' – – – 32 (25%) 1
36 Martín Zubimendi M 6.9 84' – – – 27 (20%) 4
2 William Saliba D 6.9 90' – – – 45 (41%) 2
4 Ben White D 6.7 16' – – – 9 (4%) –
3 Cristhian Mosquera D 6.7 74' – – 1 23 (22%) 3
5 Piero Hincapié D 6.5 90' – – – 22 (15%) 3
1 David Raya G 6.5 90' – – – 32 (16%) –
8 Martin Ødegaard M 6.5 90' – – – 53 (41%) –
41 Declan Rice M 6.5 90' – – – 36 (29%) 3
11 Gabriel Martinelli F 6.3 45' – – 1 10 (7%) 1
20 Noni Madueke F 6.3 45' – – – 16 (11%) 3
10 Eberechi Eze F 6.3 74' – – 1 16 (10%) 1
14 Viktor Gyökeres F 6.2 14' – – – – –
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Arsenal
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Manchester City
WWWWW
Arsenal
LWWWW
Last 3 meetings Manchester City · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on April 18, 2026, Manchester City will host Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium. City has been dominant at home, boasting a win rate of over 75% in their last 30 league matches, while Arsenal has struggled away, recording only 40% victories in similar fixtures. Both teams have high-scoring offenses, with City averaging 2.5 goals per game and Arsenal closely behind at 2.2. Defensively, City has shown resilience, conceding only 0.9 goals per game compared to Arsenal's 1.4. This match could be pivotal in the title race, making it essential for both teams to secure points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Manchester City
E. Haaland 5 gls
R. Cherki 3 gls
A. Semenyo 2 gls
Arsenal
B. Saka 3 gls

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Head to Head: Manchester City vs Arsenal

1 Manchester City Wins
1 Draws
1 Arsenal Wins
Date Home Score Away
16 Aug 2026 Arsenal 3 - 0 Manchester City
22 Mar 2026 Arsenal 0 - 2 Manchester City
21 Sep 2025 Arsenal 1 - 1 Manchester City
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Manchester City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Sunderland W 5 - 3
17 Sep H Norwich W 5 - 0
13 Sep A Manchester United W 0 - 1
08 Sep A FC Porto W 0 - 2
05 Sep H Coventry W 1 - 0

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Brighton L 3 - 0
15 Sep A Ipswich W 2 - 4
12 Sep A Sunderland W 0 - 2
09 Sep A Napoli W 0 - 1
06 Sep H Chelsea W 2 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Arsenal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mikel Arteta
1 Raya
5 Hincapie
6 Gabriel
2 Saliba
3 Mosquera
41 Rice
36 Zubimendi
8 Odegaard
10 Eze
29 Havertz
20 Madueke

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Raya G
3 C. Mosquera D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel D
5 P. Hincapie D
8 M. Odegaard M
36 M. Zubimendi M
41 D. Rice M
20 N. Madueke F
29 K. Havertz F
10 E. Eze F

Substitutes

13 K. Arrizabalaga G
9 Gabriel Jesus F
14 V. Gyökeres F
4 B. White D
11 G. Martinelli F
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
56 M. Dowman M
16 C. Norgaard M
19 L. Trossard F

Manchester City

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Pep Guardiola
25 Donnarumma
33 O'Reilly
15 Guehi
45 Khusanov
27 Nunes
16 Rodri
20 Silva
11 Doku
10 Cherki
42 Semenyo
9 Haaland

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 G. Donnarumma G
27 M. Nunes D
45 A. Khusanov D
15 M. Guehi D
33 N. O'Reilly D
20 B. Silva M
16 Rodri M
42 A. Semenyo M
10 R. Cherki M
11 J. Doku M
9 E. Haaland F

Substitutes

1 J. Trafford G
4 T. Reijnders M
21 R. Ait-Nouri D
5 J. Stones D
6 N. Ake D
47 P. Foden M
7 O. Marmoush F
14 Nico M
26 Savinho F

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