Jeju United FC vs Incheon United Prognoza

K League 1 · Regular Season - 21

Post on X

Incheon United

Away

Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo

Typowanie AI Incheon United lub remis

33%

32%

35%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Jeju United FC vs Incheon United: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Jeju United FC na 33%, Incheon United na 35%, a remisu na 32%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 2 Aug 2026, 12:29.

Typy Premium

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw 76%

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Timeline

Kim Shin-jin assist: Emerson Ramon

12' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 34'

Gun-hee Kim assist: Lee Ju-Yong

⚽ 1–2 37'

Gun-hee Kim assist: Lee Ju-Yong

▮ 38'

Lee Chung-Yong Yellow Card

Tobias Figueiredo assist: Oh Jae-Hyeok

45+1' ⚽ 2–2

HT 2–2

⇄ 46'

S. Mugoša ⇄ M. Ferrier

⇄ 46'

Chang-jun Park

46' ⇄

▮ 50'

Kim Myung-Sun Yellow Card

assist: Kim Jun-Ha

56' ⚽ 3–2

⇄ 60'

⚽ 3–3 62'

Lee Ju-Yong

Oh Jae-Hyeok Yellow Card

69' ▮

Tobias Figueiredo Yellow Card

71' ▮

Kim Shin-jin ⇄ Jang Min-Gyu

74' ⇄

Kim Jun-Ha ⇄ Choi Byung-Wook

74' ⇄

Oh Jae-Hyeok

78' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Lee Myung-Joo

⇄ 84'

Kim Myung-Sun ⇄ Choi Seung-Gu

Yu In-Soo ⇄ Kwon Ki-Min

87' ⇄

J. Célestine Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 3–3

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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Incheon United lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Jeju United FC

WDWDW

Incheon United

DDLWL

Last 1 meetings Jeju United FC · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Jeju United FC faces Incheon United in a K League 1 clash on August 2, 2026. Jeju has shown solid form at home, with a strong record in recent fixtures, while Incheon has struggled on the road. Key players to watch include Jeju’s top scorer, whose finishing has been clinical, and Incheon’s playmaker, who leads the league in assists. This match will likely hinge on Jeju's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities against a defensively compact Incheon side. Expect a tactical battle with potential for goals from set pieces.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

35%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Incheon United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	11	6	2	1
1	12	15	7	2	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Jeju United FC goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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Players in form

Jeju United FC

No scorer data.

Incheon United

S. Mugoša 6 gls

M. Ferrier 3 gls

Gerso 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Home Win

33%

Draw

32%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

35%

Home Win

33%

Draw

32%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 31% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.9%	10.5%	6.2%	2.1%	0.5%
1	11.6%	15.2%	6.8%	2.3%	0.6%
2	7.4%	7.4%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%
3	2.7%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

40%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Jeju United FC	Draw	Incheon United
Jeju United FC	20.2%	4.0%	1.3%
Draw	14.9%	22.9%	12.7%
Incheon United	1.6%	4.3%	18.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

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Head to Head: Jeju United FC vs Incheon United

0 Jeju United FC Wins

0 Draws

1 Incheon United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Incheon United	1 - 0	Jeju United FC

Jeju United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Gangwon FC	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Gwangju FC	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Ulsan Hyundai FC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Daejeon Citizen	W	3 - 1

Incheon United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	A Gangwon FC	D	0 - 0
20 Sep	H Daejeon Citizen	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	2 - 1
08 Sep	H Bucheon FC 1995	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A FC Seoul	L	1 - 0

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Jeju United FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Sergio Costa

1 Kim

40 Kim

3 Celestine

2 Figueiredo

17 Yu

14 Oh

5 Italo

94 Ramon

7 Park

27 Jun-Ha

18 Shin-jin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dong-jun Kim	G
17	In-su Yu	D
2	Tobias Figueiredo	D
3	Julien Celestine	D
40	Ryun-sung Kim	D
5	Italo	M
14	Jae-hyeok Oh	M
27	Kim Jun-Ha	M
7	Chang-jun Park	M
94	Emerson Ramon	M
18	Kim Shin-jin	F

Substitutes

21	Chan-gi Ahn	G
6	Kwon Ki-Min	D
13	Woon Jeong	D
20	Min-gyu Jang	D
55	Dong-hwi Kang	M
88	Jo In-Jung	D
24	Byung-wook Choi	M
47	Min-jae Park	F
9	Matheus Aiás	F

Incheon United

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jong-Hwan Yoon

1 Kim

32 Lee

2 Ibiza

4 Kim

39 Myung-Sun

11 Fernandes

5 Lee

15 Seo

17 Kim

9 Mugoša

72 Lee

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dong-heon Kim	G
39	Kim Myung-Sun	D
4	Gun-hee Kim	D
2	Juan Ibiza	D
32	Ju-yong Lee	D
17	Seong-min Kim	M
15	Jae-min Seo	M
5	Myung Joo Lee	M
11	Gerso Fernandes	M
72	Chung-yong Lee	F
9	Stefan Mugoša	F

Substitutes

21	Lee Tae Hui	G
3	Sang-ki Lee	D
20	Park Kyung-sub	D
30	Young-whan Kim	M
23	Chi-in Jeong	M
13	Choi Seung-Gu	D
6	Ji-hwan Mun	M
99	Morgan Ferrier	F
10	Dong-ryul Lee	F