Independiente vs Boca Juniors Prognoza

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14

25 Oct 2026, 21:00

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Boca Juniors

Away

Typowanie AI Independiente lub remis

39%

31%

30%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Independiente vs Boca Juniors: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Independiente na 39%, Boca Juniors na 30%, a remisu na 31%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 15%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

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Independiente

WDWLD

Boca Juniors

WDWWD

Last 3 meetings Independiente · 1W 2D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

30%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Boca Juniors goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	13	6	2
1	15	13	6	2
2	8	7	3	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Independiente goals · most likely 1–0 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Independiente

G. Ávalos 11 gls

Boca Juniors

M. Merentiel 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.1%	12.7%	5.7%	1.7%	0.4%
1	15.0%	13.5%	6.1%	1.8%	0.4%
2	7.9%	7.1%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%
3	2.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Independiente	Draw	Boca Juniors
Independiente	10.7%	8.6%	8.4%
Draw	19.2%	15.4%	15.0%
Boca Juniors	8.8%	7.1%	6.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Independiente vs Boca Juniors

1 Independiente Wins

2 Draws

0 Boca Juniors Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Independiente
19 May 2025	Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Independiente
14 Dec 2024	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Independiente

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Independiente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Union Santa Fe	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H San Lorenzo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Central Cordoba de Santiago	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Gimnasia M.	L	0 - 3
22 Aug	H Independ. Rivadavia	D	0 - 0

Boca Juniors — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A San Lorenzo	W	0 - 2
16 Sep	A Sao Paulo	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Central Cordoba de Santiago	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Sao Paulo	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Gimnasia M.	D	2 - 2

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	10	7	1	2	13	7	+6	22
2	Velez Sarsfield	10	5	5	0	15	9	+6	20
3	Defensa Y Justicia	10	5	3	2	13	11	+2	18
4	Gimnasia M.	10	5	2	3	14	9	+5	17
5	Boca Juniors	10	4	5	1	14	11	+3	17
6	Independiente	10	5	2	3	10	8	+2	17
7	Lanus	10	5	1	4	13	9	+4	16
8	Newells Old Boys	10	4	4	2	11	8	+3	16
9	Union Santa Fe	10	4	1	5	17	16	+1	13
10	San Lorenzo	10	3	2	5	4	8	-4	11
11	Estudiantes L.P.	10	3	1	6	10	11	-1	10
12	Deportivo Riestra	10	2	4	4	8	10	-2	10
13	Platense	10	2	3	5	9	15	-6	9
14	Talleres Cordoba	10	2	2	6	11	17	-6	8
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	2	2	6	7	13	-6	8

Clausura - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentinos JRS	10	5	3	2	13	9	+4	18
2	Rosario Central	10	5	3	2	11	8	+3	18
3	Independ. Rivadavia	10	5	2	3	14	13	+1	17
4	Gimnasia L.P.	10	5	2	3	15	15	0	17
5	Belgrano Cordoba	10	4	4	2	11	7	+4	16
6	Huracan	10	4	4	2	10	8	+2	16
7	Sarmiento Junin	10	5	1	4	17	16	+1	16
8	River Plate	10	4	1	5	13	12	+1	13
9	Atletico Tucuman	10	3	4	3	7	6	+1	13
10	Tigre	10	3	3	4	9	9	0	12
11	Barracas Central	10	3	3	4	5	7	-2	12
12	Banfield	10	2	3	5	11	16	-5	9
13	Aldosivi	10	2	2	6	12	16	-4	8
14	Racing Club	10	2	2	6	11	16	-5	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	10	1	3	6	5	13	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.