Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente Prognoza

FT
Post on X
Typowanie AI Estudiantes L.P. lub remis
43%
31%
26%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Estudiantes L.P. na 43%, Independiente na 26%, a remisu na 31%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 26 Jul 2026, 22:13.

Typy Premium

Premium
  • Gospodarz strzeli gola 73%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
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Timeline

Tomás Palacios Yellow Card
40'
45+1'
Leonardo Godoy Yellow Card
HT 0–0
63'
Matías Abaldo ⇄ Maxi Meza
Alexis Castro ⇄ Fabricio Pérez
72'
Joaquín Tobio Burgos ⇄ Brian Aguirre
72'
0–1 76'
Gabriel Ávalos assist: Santiago Montiel
Guido Carrillo Missed Penalty
81'
0–2 82'
Santiago Montiel
84'
Leonardo Godoy ⇄ Santiago Arias
84'
Maximiliano Gutiérrez ⇄ David Martínez
Ramiro Funes Mori ⇄ Lucas Alario
85'
Tiago Palacios ⇄ Edwuin Cetré
85'
Ezequiel Piovi ⇄ Jose Sosa
86'
89'
Gabriel Ávalos ⇄ Kevin Lomónaco
FT 0–2
Estudiantes L.P.

Match Stats

Independiente
59% Ball Possession 41%
1.74 Expected Goals (xG) 1.34
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Corner Kicks 5
4 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
364 Total passes 256
285 Passes accurate 169
78% Passes % 66%
1.89 goals_prevented 1.89
Estudiantes L.P.
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Tomás Palacios D 8.0 93' 34 (29%) 6
17 Joaquín Tobio Burgos M 7.5 72' 2 24 (20%) 2
28 Brian Aguirre F 7.3 21' 4 (3%)
16 Fernando Muslera G 7.2 93' 25 (19%)
21 Ezequiel Piovi M 7.2 86' 1 42 (33%) 7
22 Alexis Castro M 7.0 72' 24 (18%) 3
20 Eric Meza D 6.9 93' 35 (30%) 2
10 Tiago Palacios F 6.9 85' 1 28 (24%)
9 Guido Carrillo F 6.6 93' 2 30 (20%)
32 Mikel Amondarain M 6.5 93' 25 (17%) 2
27 Lucas Alario F 6.3 8' 4 (2%)
4 Santiago Núñez D 6.3 93' 2 40 (30%)
29 Fabricio Pérez F 6.2 21' 7 (3%)
18 Edwuin Cetré F 6.2 8' 1 (1%)
26 Ramiro Funes Mori D 5.9 85' 34 (30%) 1
7 Jose Sosa M 7' 7 (6%)
Independiente
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
33 Rodrigo Rey G 8.3 93' 27 (14%)
7 Santiago Montiel M 8.2 93' 1 1 1 20 (11%) 3
9 Gabriel Ávalos F 7.9 89' 1 3 16 (9%)
36 Sebastián Valdez D 7.3 93' 1 29 (22%) 4
22 Facundo Zabala D 6.9 93' 1 23 (13%) 2
23 Iván Marcone M 6.7 93' 36 (28%) 1
16 Mateo Perez M 6.7 93' 2 16 (12%) 2
29 Leonardo Godoy D 6.7 84' 2 25 (19%) 2
4 Santiago Arias D 6.5 9'
19 Matías Abaldo M 6.5 63' 14 (13%) 1
13 Juan Fedorco D 6.3 93' 1 23 (14%) 1
32 David Martínez M 6.3 9' 2 (2%) 1
8 Maxi Meza F 6.3 30' 8 (3%) 1
28 Maximiliano Gutiérrez M 5.9 84' 16 (8%) 2
26 Kevin Lomónaco D 4' 1 (1%)
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Estudiantes L.P. lub remis
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Estudiantes L.P.
LWWDL
Independiente
WDWLD
Last 3 meetings Estudiantes L.P. · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Estudiantes L.P. faces Independiente in a key Liga Profesional Argentina clash. Estudiantes has shown strong form at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per match this season. In contrast, Independiente struggles on the road, averaging 1.5 goals conceded per game. The match will likely hinge on Estudiantes' ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, where they average 1.7 goals per match, compared to Independiente’s 1.3. This matchup promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams aiming for crucial points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
26%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Estudiantes L.P.

No scorer data.

Independiente
G. Ávalos 11 gls

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Head to Head: Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente

1 Estudiantes L.P. Wins
1 Draws
1 Independiente Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Jan 2026 Independiente 1 - 1 Estudiantes L.P.
11 Aug 2024 Estudiantes L.P. 0 - 2 Independiente
09 Apr 2023 Independiente 1 - 2 Estudiantes L.P.
Zobacz wszystkie 10 spotkania — Premium

Estudiantes L.P. — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep A Lanus L 2 - 1
17 Sep A Corinthians W 0 - 1
12 Sep H Platense W 2 - 1
10 Sep H Corinthians D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Velez Sarsfield L 1 - 0

Independiente — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Union Santa Fe W 1 - 2
13 Sep H San Lorenzo D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Central Cordoba de Santiago W 0 - 1
30 Aug H Gimnasia M. L 0 - 3
22 Aug H Independ. Rivadavia D 0 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Instituto Cordoba
10 7 1 2 +6 22
2
Velez Sarsfield
10 5 5 0 +6 20
3
Defensa Y Justicia
10 5 3 2 +2 18
4
Gimnasia M.
10 5 2 3 +5 17
5
Boca Juniors
10 4 5 1 +3 17
6
Independiente
10 5 2 3 +2 17
7
Lanus
10 5 1 4 +4 16
8
Newells Old Boys
10 4 4 2 +3 16
9
Union Santa Fe
10 4 1 5 +1 13
10
San Lorenzo
10 3 2 5 -4 11
11
Estudiantes L.P.
10 3 1 6 -1 10
12
Deportivo Riestra
10 2 4 4 -2 10
13
Platense
10 2 3 5 -6 9
14
Talleres Cordoba
10 2 2 6 -6 8
15
Central Cordoba de Santiago
10 2 2 6 -6 8

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentinos JRS
10 5 3 2 +4 18
2
Rosario Central
10 5 3 2 +3 18
3
Independ. Rivadavia
10 5 2 3 +1 17
4
Gimnasia L.P.
10 5 2 3 0 17
5
Belgrano Cordoba
10 4 4 2 +4 16
6
Huracan
10 4 4 2 +2 16
7
Sarmiento Junin
10 5 1 4 +1 16
8
River Plate
10 4 1 5 +1 13
9
Atletico Tucuman
10 3 4 3 +1 13
10
Tigre
10 3 3 4 0 12
11
Barracas Central
10 3 3 4 -2 12
12
Banfield
10 2 3 5 -5 9
13
Aldosivi
10 2 2 6 -4 8
14
Racing Club
10 2 2 6 -5 8
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
10 1 3 6 -8 6

Estudiantes L.P.

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Alexander Medina
16 Muslera
24 Palacios
26 Mori
4 Núñez
20 Meza
17 Burgos
22 Castro
21 Piovi
32 Amondarain
9 Carrillo
10 Palacios

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 Fernando Muslera G
20 Eric Meza D
4 Santiago Núñez D
26 Ramiro Funes Mori D
24 Tomás Palacios D
32 Mikel Amondarain M
21 Ezequiel Piovi M
22 Alexis Castro M
17 Joaquín Tobio Burgos M
10 Tiago Palacios F
9 Guido Carrillo F

Substitutes

1 Fabricio Iacovich G
13 Gastón Benedetti D
35 Valente Pierani D
40 Eros Mancuso D
29 Fabricio Pérez F
8 Gabriel Neves M
28 Brian Aguirre F
7 José Sosa M
11 Facundo Farías M
19 Adolfo Gaich F
27 Lucas Alario F
18 Edwuin Cetré F

Independiente

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gustavo Quinteros
33 Rey
22 Zabala
36 Valdez
13 Fedorco
29 Godoy
23 Marcone
16 Curci
19 Abaldo
7 Montiel
28 Gutiérrez
9 Ávalos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
33 Rodrigo Rey G
29 Leonardo Godoy D
13 Juan Fedorco D
36 Sebastián Valdez D
22 Facundo Zabala D
16 Mateo Perez Curci M
23 Iván Marcone M
28 Maximiliano Gutiérrez M
7 Santiago Montiel M
19 Matías Abaldo M
9 Gabriel Ávalos F

Substitutes

1 Joaquín Blázquez G
26 Kevin Lomónaco D
3 Jonathan De Irastorza D
35 Juan Miguel Arrayago D
4 Santiago Arias D
14 Lautaro Millán M
32 David Martínez M
20 Facundo Cruz M
10 Luciano Cabral M
8 Maxi Meza F
34 Felipe Tempone F
18 Facundo Valdéz F

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