Nacional vs Estoril Prognoza

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

Estoril

Away

Typowanie AI Estoril lub remis

23%

29%

48%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Nacional vs Estoril: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Nacional na 23%, Estoril na 48%, a remisu na 29%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Estoril lub remis

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Nacional

LLLLL

Estoril

LLDLL

Last 3 meetings Nacional · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash on March 15, 2026, Nacional will host Estoril at their home ground. Nacional has shown a strong home advantage this season, winning 60% of their matches at home, while Estoril has struggled with just 30% of their away games resulting in victories. Both teams are currently mid-table, but Nacional's solid defensive record, averaging only 1.2 goals conceded per match at home, could be pivotal. Estoril will need to capitalize on set pieces, as Nacional has occasionally faltered in defending them. Expect a tightly contested match with Nacional likely edging it based on home form and defensive stability.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

23%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

48%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estoril goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	16	10	4	1
1	10	13	8	3	1
2	4	5	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Nacional goals · most likely 0–1 (16.4%)

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Players in form

Nacional

C. Ramírez 18 gls

Estoril

Y. Begraoui 20 gls

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Head to Head: Nacional vs Estoril

1 Nacional Wins

2 Draws

0 Estoril Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	Nacional	2 - 0	Estoril
26 Oct 2025	Estoril	1 - 1	Nacional
15 Feb 2025	Nacional	2 - 2	Estoril

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Nacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Famalicao	L	0 - 4
12 Sep	H Alverca	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Estrela	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A Vitória SC	L	1 - 0

Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Casa Pia	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Arouca	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Benfica	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Rio Ave	L	0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	+49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	+28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42	29	+13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42
9	Vitória SC	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.