AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prognoza
FT
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Typowanie AI
AZ Alkmaar – wygrana lub remis
77%
17%
7%
Wygrana gospodarzy
Remis
Wygrana gości
Prognoza AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej AZ Alkmaar na 77%, NAC Breda na 7%, a remisu na 17%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Sven Mijnans
assist: Troy Parrott
8'
⚽
1–0
Mateo Chávez
assist: Sven Mijnans
12'
⚽
2–0
Troy Parrott
⇄ Mexx Meerdink
37'
⇄
HT 2–0
⇄
54'
Kamal Sowah
⇄ Jayden Candelaria
⇄
55'
Pepijn Reulen
⇄ Charles-Andreas Brym
⇄
55'
Enes Mahmutović
⇄ Juho Talvitie
Mateo Chávez
⇄ Denso Kasius
57'
⇄
Isak Steiner Jensen
⇄ Weslley Patati
57'
⇄
▮
59'
Rio Hillen
Yellow Card
⚽
2–1
61'
Moussa Soumano
assist: Cherrion Valerius
⇄
68'
Clint Leemans
⇄ André Ayew
⇄
68'
Brahim Ghalidi
⇄ Lewis Holtby
Ro-Zangelo Daal
⇄ Ayoub Oufkir
70'
⇄
Jordy Clasie
⇄ Kasper Boogaard
70'
⇄
⚽
2–2
71'
Moussa Soumano
assist: Fredrik Jensen
Mexx Meerdink
Yellow Card
85'
▮
⚽
2–3
89'
Juho Talvitie
assist: Cherrion Valerius
Mexx Meerdink
assist: Weslley Patati
90'
⚽
3–3
FT 3–3
AZ Alkmaar
Match Stats
NAC Breda
55%
Ball Possession
45%
1.45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
16
Total Shots
17
10
Shots on Goal
11
4
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
2
12
Shots insidebox
8
4
Shots outsidebox
9
7
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
7
Goalkeeper Saves
7
430
Total passes
355
367
Passes accurate
300
85%
Passes %
85%
-0.50
goals_prevented
-0.50
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro G | 8.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (17%) | – |
| 10 Sven Mijnans M | 8.6 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 49 (43%) | 2 |
| 15 Mateo Chávez D | 7.9 | 57' | 1 | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | 3 |
| 5 Alexandre Penetra D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (35%) | 1 |
| 22 Elijah Dijkstra D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (34%) | 5 |
| 7 Weslley Patati F | 7.2 | 33' | – | 1 | 1 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 35 Mexx Meerdink F | 7.2 | 53' | 1 | – | 3 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 8 Jordy Clasie M | 7.2 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 40 (37%) | 1 |
| 27 Ro-Zangelo Daal M | 7.2 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 9 Troy Parrott F | 7.0 | 37' | – | 1 | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 17 Isak Steiner Jensen M | 6.9 | 57' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | – |
| 24 Ayoub Oufkir F | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 3 Wouter Goes D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (43%) | 1 |
| 6 Peer Koopmeiners M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (36%) | 2 |
| 20 Kasper Boogaard M | 6.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 30 Denso Kasius D | 5.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 15 (15%) | 1 |
NAC Breda
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Moussa Soumano F | 8.9 | 90' | 2 | – | 5 | 26 (21%) | 1 |
| 32 Juho Talvitie F | 8.2 | 35' | 1 | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | 3 |
| 8 Clint Leemans M | 7.3 | 68' | – | – | 3 | 40 (38%) | – |
| 99 Daniel Bielica G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (12%) | – |
| 22 Rio Hillen D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (26%) | 4 |
| 25 Cherrion Valerius D | 7.2 | 90' | – | 2 | – | 33 (25%) | 4 |
| 16 Maximilien Balard M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | 3 |
| 20 Fredrik Jensen D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 49 (46%) | 3 |
| 7 Charles-Andreas Brym F | 6.9 | 35' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | – |
| 14 Kamal Sowah M | 6.9 | 54' | – | – | 1 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 21 Jayden Candelaria D | 6.7 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 55 Brahim Ghalidi M | 6.7 | 68' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 90 Lewis Holtby M | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 26 Pepijn Reulen F | 6.5 | 55' | – | – | 1 | 9 (9%) | – |
| 24 André Ayew F | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 15 Enes Mahmutović D | 6.0 | 55' | – | – | 1 | 19 (18%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (57%)
At a glance
Nasza analiza
AZ Alkmaar – wygrana lub remis
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AZ Alkmaar
WLDWW
NAC Breda
WLLDW
Last 3 meetings
AZ Alkmaar · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eredivisie clash on May 17, 2026, AZ Alkmaar will host NAC Breda. AZ Alkmaar has demonstrated strong home form, boasting a win rate of 67% at home this season, while NAC Breda struggles on the road with a mere 25% win rate away from home. Key players to watch include AZ’s prolific striker, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and NAC’s defense, which has conceded an average of 2 goals per match in their last five outings. Given the disparity in form and home advantage, AZ is favored to secure a decisive victory.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
AZ Alkmaar
R. Daal
4 gls
M. Meerdink
3 gls
NAC Breda
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
2
AZ Alkmaar Wins
1
Draws
0
NAC Breda Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | NAC Breda | 0 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 24 Apr 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 1 | NAC Breda |
| 15 Dec 2024 | NAC Breda | 1 - 2 | AZ Alkmaar |
AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Telstar | W | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Sunderland | L | 1 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | H Willem II | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Heerenveen | W | 2 - 3 |
| 29 Aug | H GO Ahead Eagles | W | 5 - 2 |
NAC Breda — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A De Graafschap | W | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | H Jong Utrecht | L | 2 - 3 |
| 04 Sep | A Waalwijk | L | 4 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | A Roda | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | H Jong Ajax | W | 3 - 2 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |
PEC Zwolle
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
AZ Alkmaar
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Leeroy Echteld
1
Owusu-Oduro
15
Garcia
5
Penetra
3
Goes
22
Dijkstra
6
Koopmeiners
8
Clasie
27
Daal
10
Mijnans
17
Jensen
9
Parrott
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Owusu-Oduro | G |
| 22 | E. Dijkstra | D |
| 3 | W. Goes | D |
| 5 | Penetra | D |
| 15 | M. Chavez Garcia | D |
| 8 | J. Clasie | M |
| 6 | P. Koopmeiners | M |
| 17 | I. Jensen | M |
| 10 | S. Mijnans | M |
| 27 | R. Daal | M |
| 9 | T. Parrott | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | J. Zoet | G |
| 30 | D. Kasius | D |
| 2 | S. Maikuma | D |
| 18 | R. Ichihara | D |
| 23 | B. van Duijl | D |
| 24 | A. Oufkir | F |
| 11 | I. Sadiq | F |
| 33 | M. Sin | M |
| 7 | Weslley Patati | F |
| 35 | M. Meerdink | F |
| 45 | B. Kovacs | F |
| 20 | K. Boogaard | M |
NAC Breda
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: C. Hoefkens
99
Bielica
22
Hillen
20
Jensen
15
Mahmutovic
25
Valerius
14
Sowah
8
Leemans
16
Balard
55
Ghalidi
9
Soumano
26
Reulen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | D. Bielica | G |
| 25 | C. Valerius | D |
| 15 | E. Mahmutovic | D |
| 20 | F. Jensen | D |
| 22 | R. Hillen | D |
| 55 | B. Ghalidi | M |
| 16 | M. Balard | M |
| 8 | C. Leemans | M |
| 14 | K. Sowah | M |
| 26 | P. Reulen | F |
| 9 | M. Soumano | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | K. Lamprou | G |
| 1 | R. Kortsmit | G |
| 44 | T. Goos | G |
| 24 | A. Ayew | F |
| 90 | L. Holtby | M |
| 4 | B. Kemper | D |
| 7 | C. Brym | F |
| 32 | J. Talvitie | F |
| 21 | J. Candelaria | D |
| 30 | M. Brouwers | D |