Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar Prognoza

Eredivisie Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
Euroborg, Groningen
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis AZ Alkmaar
18%
25%
56%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Groningen na 18%, AZ Alkmaar na 56%, a remisu na 25%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis AZ Alkmaar
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Groningen
WDDLL
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWW
Last 3 meetings Groningen · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Groningen hosts AZ Alkmaar, a matchup that could significantly impact both teams' standings. Groningen currently struggles in the league, sitting near the relegation zone, with a home record showing just 2 wins in their last 10 matches. In contrast, AZ Alkmaar is contending for European spots, demonstrating strong away form with 6 wins in their last 10 away fixtures. Key to the game will be Groningen's defense, which has conceded 1.5 goals per match this season, against an AZ side averaging 2 goals per game. If Groningen can tighten their defense and capitalize on home advantage, they may stand a chance; however, AZ's attacking prowess makes them the favorites in this encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
18%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
56%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Groningen
T. van Bergen 9 gls
AZ Alkmaar
T. Parrott 16 gls
S. Mijnans 11 gls

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Head to Head: Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar

0 Groningen Wins
1 Draws
2 AZ Alkmaar Wins
Date Home Score Away
10 Aug 2025 AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Groningen
11 May 2025 AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 Groningen
25 Aug 2024 Groningen 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar
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Groningen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H PEC Zwolle W 3 - 0
12 Sep A GO Ahead Eagles D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Twente D 2 - 2
28 Aug H Fortuna Sittard L 2 - 3
23 Aug A PSV Eindhoven L 5 - 1

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Telstar W 1 - 0
16 Sep A Sunderland L 1 - 0
11 Sep H Willem II D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Heerenveen W 2 - 3
29 Aug H GO Ahead Eagles W 5 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven
34 27 3 4 +56 84
2
Feyenoord
34 19 8 7 +26 65
3
NEC Nijmegen
34 16 11 7 +24 59
4
Twente
34 15 13 6 +19 58
5
Ajax
34 14 14 6 +21 56
6
Utrecht
34 15 8 11 +13 53
7
AZ Alkmaar
34 14 10 10 +7 52
8
Heerenveen
34 14 9 11 +4 51
9
Groningen
34 14 6 14 +4 48
10
Sparta Rotterdam
34 12 7 15 -22 43
11
Fortuna Sittard
34 11 6 17 -14 39
12
GO Ahead Eagles
34 8 14 12 +1 38
13
Excelsior
34 10 8 16 -13 38
14
Telstar
34 9 10 15 -6 37
15
PEC Zwolle
34 9 10 15 -27 37
16
FC Volendam
34 8 8 18 -20 32
17
NAC Breda
34 6 11 17 -23 29
18
Heracles
34 5 4 25 -50 19

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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