Lille vs Le Havre Prognoza

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32
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Typowanie AI Lille – wygrana lub remis
69%
24%
7%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Lille vs Le Havre: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Lille na 69%, Le Havre na 7%, a remisu na 24%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Lille were held to a 1–1 draw by Le Havre in Ligue 1's 32nd matchday, a result that defied the statistics and, as it turned out, our pre-match AI model's 69% confidence in a Lille victory.

The match burst into life early, with Hakon Arnar Haraldsson breaking the deadlock for Lille in the 29th minute, only for Le Havre's Issa Soumaré to level matters just four minutes later. That equaliser arrived against the run of play and ensured the sides went into the break level at 1–1. The opening exchanges were feisty, with three yellow cards shown before half-time, including bookings for Lucas Gourna-Douath and Thomas Meunier.

Despite dominating the second half almost entirely, Lille could not find a winner. The hosts finished with 67% possession, 22 total shots, 14 corners, and an expected goals figure of 1.55 compared to Le Havre's remarkably low 0.14. Soumaré picked up a second yellow card in the 73rd minute, and both sides made multiple substitutions in search of a decisive moment that never came.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 5'
Lucas Gourna-Douath Yellow Card
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson assist: Romain Perraud
29' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 33'
Issa Soumaré
▮ 35'
Ayumu Seko Yellow Card
Thomas Meunier Yellow Card
43' ▮
HT 1–1
Aïssa Mandi Yellow Card
59' ▮
⇄ 64'
Fodé Doucouré ⇄ Timothee Pembele
⇄ 65'
Sofiane Boufal ⇄ Yassine Kechta
Ngal'ayel Mukau ⇄ Ethan Mbappé
66' ⇄
▮ 73'
Issa Soumaré Yellow Card
Félix Correia ⇄ Olivier Giroud
74' ⇄
Romain Perraud ⇄ Calvin Verdonk
74' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Yanis Zouaoui
Ayyoub Bouaddi ⇄ Gaëtan Perrin
84' ⇄
Thomas Meunier ⇄ Tiago Santos
85' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Mbwana Ally Samatta ⇄ Étienne Youte Kinkoue
FT 1–1
Lille

Match Stats

Le Havre
67% Ball Possession 33%
1.55 Expected Goals (xG) 0.14
22 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 1
6 Blocked Shots 0
16 Shots insidebox 2
6 Shots outsidebox 0
14 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 3
9 Fouls 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 9
489 Total passes 249
428 Passes accurate 177
88% Passes % 71%
1.49 goals_prevented 1.49
Lille
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson M 8.3 90' 1 – 4 51 (46%) 2
23 Aïssa Mandi D 7.6 90' – – 3 62 (55%) –
17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M 7.3 66' – – 1 43 (42%) –
21 Benjamin André M 7.3 90' – – – 53 (46%) 4
15 Romain Perraud D 7.0 74' – 1 – 39 (34%) –
32 Ayyoub Bouaddi M 6.9 84' – – – 37 (31%) 2
3 Nathan Ngoy D 6.9 90' – – 2 48 (43%) 1
28 Gaëtan Perrin F 6.9 13' – – 1 4 (3%) 1
8 Ethan Mbappé M 6.9 24' – – – 8 (6%) –
7 Matías Fernández-Pardo F 6.7 90' – – 1 24 (20%) –
24 Calvin Verdonk D 6.7 16' – – 1 12 (11%) –
12 Thomas Meunier D 6.6 85' – – – 50 (43%) 1
22 Tiago Santos D 6.6 12' – – – 6 (5%) 1
1 Berke Özer G 6.5 90' – – – 22 (21%) –
9 Olivier Giroud F 6.5 16' – – – 3 (1%) –
27 Félix Correia M 6.2 74' – – 3 27 (21%) 1
Le Havre
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
99 Mory Diaw G 8.5 90' – – – 31 (12%) –
4 Gautier Lloris D 7.7 90' – – – 22 (19%) 5
7 Loic Négo D 7.2 90' – – – 24 (19%) 4
18 Yanis Zouaoui D 7.2 75' – – – 23 (17%) 4
45 Issa Soumaré M 7.0 90' 1 – 1 16 (10%) 2
17 Sofiane Boufal M 7.0 65' – – – 23 (20%) 4
19 Lucas Gourna-Douath M 6.9 90' – – – 28 (22%) 4
25 Mbwana Ally Samatta F 6.9 88' – – 1 12 (9%) –
26 Simon Ebonog M 6.7 90' – – – 14 (11%) 2
32 Timothee Pembele D 6.7 26' – – – 3 (2%) 1
8 Yassine Kechta M 6.7 25' – – – 3 (3%) –
13 Fodé Doucouré M 6.7 64' – – – 19 (13%) 1
6 Étienne Youte Kinkoue D 6.6 9' – – – – –
27 Enzo Koffi F 6.5 15' – – – 2 (1%) 2
15 Ayumu Seko D 6.0 90' – – – 29 (19%) –
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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Lille – wygrana lub remis
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Lille
LWLWD
Le Havre
LDLDL
Last 3 meetings Lille · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match on May 3, 2026, Lille will host Le Havre in a clash that could have significant implications for both teams. Lille, known for their strong home record, will look to leverage their attacking prowess, led by key forwards who have consistently contributed to their goal tally this season. Conversely, Le Havre has struggled on the road, with a tendency to concede early goals, which has hindered their ability to secure points away from home. The matchup will likely hinge on Lille's ability to exploit defensive gaps in Le Havre’s setup, while Le Havre will need to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities to stay competitive. Overall, Lille enters as the favorites, but an upset is possible if Le Havre can find their rhythm.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Lille
Tiago Santos 2 gls
Le Havre
M. Samatta 2 gls

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Head to Head: Lille vs Le Havre

2 Lille Wins
0 Draws
1 Le Havre Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Nov 2025 Le Havre 0 - 1 Lille
08 Feb 2025 Lille 1 - 2 Le Havre
28 Sep 2024 Le Havre 0 - 3 Lille
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Lille — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Nice L 2 - 1
13 Sep H Estac Troyes W 2 - 0
08 Sep H Real Betis L 2 - 3
03 Sep A Toulouse W 0 - 1
28 Aug H Paris Saint Germain D 2 - 2

Le Havre — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Toulouse L 3 - 2
12 Sep H Angers D 0 - 0
05 Sep H Stade Brestois 29 L 1 - 2
29 Aug A Lyon D 1 - 1
23 Aug H Monaco L 0 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Lille

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Bruno Genesio
1 Ozer
15 Perraud
23 Mandi
3 Ngoy
12 Meunier
21 Andre
32 Bouaddi
27 Correia
10 Haraldsson
17 Mukau
7 Fernandez-Pardo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Ozer G
12 T. Meunier D
3 N. Ngoy D
23 A. Mandi D
15 R. Perraud D
32 A. Bouaddi M
21 B. Andre M
17 N. Mukau M
10 H. Haraldsson M
27 F. Correia M
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo F

Substitutes

16 A. Bodart G
9 O. Giroud F
11 O. Sahraoui F
4 Alexsandro D
8 E. Mbappe M
18 C. Mbemba D
24 C. Verdonk D
28 G. Perrin F
22 T. Santos D

Le Havre

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: D. Digard
99 Diaw
18 Zouaoui
4 Lloris
15 Seko
7 Nego
19 Gourna-Douath
26 Ebonog
45 Soumare
17 Boufal
13 Doucoure
25 Samatta

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 M. Diaw G
7 L. Nego D
15 A. Seko D
4 G. Lloris D
18 Y. Zouaoui D
26 S. Ebonog M
19 L. Gourna-Douath M
13 F. Doucoure M
17 S. Boufal M
45 I. Soumare M
25 A. Samatta F

Substitutes

77 L. Mpasi-Nzau G
10 F. Mambimbi F
11 G. Kyeremeh F
8 Y. Kechta M
33 Y. Beau Djellel F
32 T. Pembele D
6 E. Youte Kinkoue D
78 D. N. Mosengo M
27 E. K. Vinette F

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