Le Havre vs Metz Prognoza

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Post on X

Metz

Away

Stade Océane, Le Havre

Typowanie AI Le Havre lub remis

43%

39%

18%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Le Havre vs Metz: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Le Havre na 43%, Metz na 18%, a remisu na 39%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Le Havre and Metz produced a breathless Ligue 1 encounter that ended 4–4, with the scoring beginning inside the opening quarter-hour. Samatta opened the account in the fifth minute, only for Kvilitaia and Kechta to put Metz ahead before a Gauthier Hein penalty, confirmed by VAR, levelled things at 2–2 by half-time.

The second half was equally relentless. A Zouaoui penalty and Pandore's close-range effort gave Metz a 4–2 lead by the 54th minute, seemingly putting the game beyond Le Havre. However, Fodé Doucouré pulled one back in the 61st minute, and Hein completed the remarkable comeback with his second goal of the evening in the 85th minute to secure a share of the spoils. Notably, our pre-match AI model had rated a Le Havre win as the most likely outcome at 43%, though ultimately neither side could find a winner.

Despite the high-scoring drama, the underlying numbers were relatively modest — both sides managed five shots on target apiece, with Le Havre's expected goals figure of 1.99 suggesting they somewhat overperformed on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Mbwana Ally Samatta

5' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 9'

Giorgi Kvilitaia assist: Gauthier Hein

Yassine Kechta

13' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 18'

Jean-Philippe Gbamin ⇄ Nathan Mbala

⚽ 2–2 45'

Gauthier Hein Penalty

🖵 45+4'

Georgiy Tsitaishvili Penalty confirmed

HT 2–2

Rassoul Ndiaye ⇄ Lucas Gourna-Douath

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Alpha Touré ⇄ Benjamin Stambouli

⇄ 46'

Urie-Michel Mboula ⇄ Jahyann Pandore

▮ 47'

Giorgi Kvilitaia Yellow Card

Yanis Zouaoui Penalty

52' ⚽ 3–2

⚽ 3–3 54'

Jahyann Pandore assist: Nathan Mbala

Fodé Doucouré assist: Issa Soumaré

61' ⚽ 4–3

Fodé Doucouré ⇄ Godson Kyeremeh

69' ⇄

Yassine Kechta ⇄ Sofiane Boufal

79' ⇄

Yanis Zouaoui ⇄ Timothee Pembele

79' ⇄

Lucas Gourna-Douath Yellow Card

80' ▮

⇄ 82'

Jessy Deminguet ⇄ Giorgi Abuashvili

⇄ 82'

Giorgi Kvilitaia ⇄ Lucas Michal

⚽ 4–4 85'

Gauthier Hein assist: Nathan Mbala

Simon Ebonog Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

Simon Ebonog ⇄ Daren Nbenbege Mosengo

90+4' ⇄

Timothee Pembele Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

FT 4–4

Le Havre

Match Stats

Metz

47% Ball Possession 53%

1.99 Expected Goals (xG) 1.58

14 Total Shots 12

5 Shots on Goal 5

2 Shots off Goal 5

7 Blocked Shots 2

8 Shots insidebox 7

6 Shots outsidebox 5

6 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 12

3 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

348 Total passes 392

287 Passes accurate 338

82% Passes % 86%

-1.51 goals_prevented -1.51

Le Havre

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
25 Mbwana Ally Samatta F	8.5	90'	1	–	1	18 (13%)	2
8 Yassine Kechta M	7.6	79'	1	–	2	19 (15%)	1
14 Rassoul Ndiaye M	7.2	45'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	3
13 Fodé Doucouré M	7.2	69'	1	–	1	18 (14%)	1
18 Yanis Zouaoui D	6.9	79'	1	–	2	32 (28%)	4
17 Sofiane Boufal M	6.9	11'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	1
4 Gautier Lloris D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	60 (54%)	1
11 Godson Kyeremeh F	6.6	21'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
19 Lucas Gourna-Douath M	6.5	45'	–	–	–	23 (15%)	1
26 Simon Ebonog M	6.5	89'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	3
32 Timothee Pembele D	6.5	11'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	1
15 Ayumu Seko D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	54 (47%)	1
7 Loic Négo D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	4
45 Issa Soumaré M	6.2	90'	–	1	1	17 (11%)	4
99 Mory Diaw G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	–
78 Daren Nbenbege Mosengo M	—	1'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

Metz

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Gauthier Hein F	9.3	90'	2	1	3	58 (52%)	2
34 Nathan Mbala F	7.3	72'	–	2	1	15 (10%)	1
35 Jahyann Pandore F	7.3	45'	1	–	1	16 (12%)	1
4 Urie-Michel Mboula D	7.0	45'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	–
21 Benjamin Stambouli M	7.0	45'	–	–	–	33 (29%)	1
20 Jessy Deminguet M	6.9	82'	–	–	1	38 (37%)	2
11 Giorgi Kvilitaia F	6.9	82'	1	–	1	14 (10%)	–
38 Sadibou Sané D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	44 (37%)	3
70 Bouna Sarr M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	33 (33%)	5
9 Giorgi Abuashvili F	6.5	8'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
19 Lucas Michal F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin M	6.2	18'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
7 Georgiy Tsitaishvili M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	34 (27%)	2
12 Alpha Touré M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	1
15 Terry Yegbe D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	32 (31%)	–
61 Pape Sy G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	–

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

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Le Havre lub remis

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Le Havre

LDLDL

Metz

DLWDD

Last 3 meetings Le Havre · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Le Havre will host Metz in a crucial Ligue 1 clash on April 26, 2026. Currently, Le Havre has shown significant defensive solidity, boasting one of the league's better goals-against records, which will be tested against Metz's dynamic attacking front. However, Metz struggles on the road, with a poorer away record that could tilt the match in favor of the home side. Both teams will be eager to secure points as the season approaches its climax, making this encounter pivotal for their respective campaigns. Key players to watch include Le Havre's standout defender and Metz's top scorer, who could influence the outcome significantly.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Metz goals →

	0	1	2
0	27	12	3
1	23	10	2
2	10	4	1
3	3	1
4	1
5

↑ Le Havre goals · most likely 0–0 (27.3%)

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Players in form

Le Havre

M. Samatta 2 gls

Metz

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Le Havre vs Metz

0 Le Havre Wins

2 Draws

1 Metz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Sep 2025	Metz	0 - 0	Le Havre
21 Apr 2024	Le Havre	0 - 1	Metz
29 Oct 2023	Metz	0 - 0	Le Havre

Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2