Lyon vs Lorient Prognoza

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29
FT
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Typowanie AI Lyon lub remis
43%
29%
27%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Lyon vs Lorient: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Lyon na 43%, Lorient na 27%, a remisu na 29%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Lyon secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Lorient in Ligue 1 Matchday 29, with both goals arriving in a decisive second-half burst. A goalless first half gave way to Roman Yaremchuk breaking the deadlock four minutes after the restart, before Corentin Tolisso doubled the advantage on 56 minutes to put the result beyond doubt. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lyon win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that proved correct.

Lorient had their moments, particularly reflected in an expected goals figure of 1.87 against Lyon's 1.16, and they also edged the shot count 12 to 11. However, a VAR-cancelled penalty on 67 minutes denied Ahmadou Bamba Dieng what would have been a consolation, and the visitors ultimately failed to convert their opportunities into goals.

The closing stages saw a flurry of yellow cards, with Morton, Endrick, Meïté and Moreira all booked in the final ten minutes, adding a fractious edge to an otherwise controlled Lyon performance. Lyon's clinical finishing proved the decisive factor despite Lorient's statistical parity across much of the contest.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

23'
Théo Le Bris ⇄ Panos Katseris
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Yellow Card
45+1'
HT 0–0
Rachid Ghezzal ⇄ Corentin Tolisso
46'
Steeve Kango ⇄ Endrick
46'
Noah Nartey ⇄ Orel Mangala
46'
Roman Yaremchuk assist: Endrick
49' 1–0
Corentin Tolisso
56' 2–0
🖵 67'
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng Penalty cancelled
73'
Jean-Victor Makengo ⇄ Aiyegun Tosin
73'
Arsène Kouassi ⇄ Darlin Yongwa
80'
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng ⇄ Sambou Soumano
Tyler Morton Yellow Card
81'
Endrick Yellow Card
81'
Tyler Morton ⇄ Tanner Tessmann
82'
Roman Yaremchuk
86'
88'
Bamo Meïté Yellow Card
Afonso Moreira Yellow Card
90+1'
FT 2–0
Lyon

Match Stats

Lorient
53% Ball Possession 47%
1.16 Expected Goals (xG) 1.87
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
476 Total passes 425
407 Passes accurate 371
86% Passes % 87%
-0.62 goals_prevented -0.62
Lyon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Dominik Greif G 9.5 90' 26 (17%)
16 Abner Vinícius D 8.7 90' 59 (52%) 2
19 Moussa Niakhaté D 7.6 90' 63 (55%) 1
8 Corentin Tolisso M 7.6 45' 1 2 21 (18%) 1
23 Tyler Morton M 7.5 82' 47 (39%) 2
9 Endrick F 7.2 45' 1 1 12 (8%)
22 Clinton Mata D 7.0 90' 75 (72%)
17 Afonso Moreira M 6.9 90' 2 39 (33%) 2
99 Noah Nartey M 6.9 45' 25 (22%) 1
5 Orel Mangala M 6.9 45' 1 24 (24%) 1
21 Ruben Kluivert D 6.6 11' 3 (2%)
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles M 6.3 90' 29 (23%) 1
6 Tanner Tessmann M 6.3 8' 3 (2%)
77 Roman Yaremchuk F 6.3 86' 1 3 13 (8%)
18 Rachid Ghezzal M 6.3 45' 17 (14%) 1
34 Steeve Kango D 6.3 45' 20 (18%)
Lorient
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
62 Arthur Avom Ebong M 7.2 90' 2 59 (54%) 4
17 Jean-Victor Makengo F 7.2 73' 1 29 (23%)
10 Pablo Pagis F 7.2 90' 3 38 (33%) 2
25 Abdoulaye Faye D 6.9 90' 55 (48%) 2
44 Darlin Yongwa D 6.9 17' 5 (4%) 1
38 Yvon Mvogo G 6.7 90' 24 (20%)
43 Arsène Kouassi M 6.7 73' 1 24 (22%)
15 Aiyegun Tosin F 6.6 17' 7 (6%) 1
32 Nathaniel Adjei D 6.6 90' 1 46 (44%) 1
12 Ahmadou Bamba Dieng F 6.3 80' 2 10 (8%)
11 Théo Le Bris M 6.3 23' 5 (4%) 1
8 Noah Cadiou M 6.3 90' 57 (48%) 1
28 Sambou Soumano F 6.3 10' 1 (1%)
77 Panos Katseris D 6.3 67' 1 23 (21%) 1
5 Bamo Meïté D 6.2 90' 1 42 (35%) 1
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Lyon lub remis
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Lyon
WWDWD
Lorient
LDWLD
Last 3 meetings Lyon · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lyon will host Lorient at Groupama Stadium. Lyon has been strong at home, boasting a solid win rate and a potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season. Conversely, Lorient has struggled on the road, with only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures, and they rank among the bottom in goals scored. Lyon's defense has also shown resilience, allowing just 1.2 goals per game. Given these factors, Lyon is favored to secure a crucial three points in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lyon
E. Nuamah 3 gls
Z. Athekame 2 gls
Lorient

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Lorient

1 Lyon Wins
1 Draws
1 Lorient Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Dec 2025 Lorient 1 - 0 Lyon
09 Mar 2024 Lorient 0 - 2 Lyon
08 Oct 2023 Lyon 3 - 3 Lorient
Zobacz wszystkie 10 spotkania — Premium

Lyon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rennes W 4 - 0
16 Sep A Anderlecht W 1 - 2
12 Sep A Paris FC D 0 - 0
04 Sep H Auxerre W 3 - 1
29 Aug H Le Havre D 1 - 1

Lorient — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Le Mans L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Toulouse D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Lens W 0 - 1
29 Aug H Estac Troyes L 1 - 2
22 Aug A Nice D 0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Lyon

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Paulo Fonseca
1 Greif
16 Vinicius
19 Niakhate
22 Mata
34 Kango
23 Morton
17 Moreira
99 Nartey
98 Maitland-Niles
18 Ghezzal
77 Yaremchuk

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Greif G
34 S. Kango D
22 C. Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
16 Abner Vinicius D
23 T. Morton M
18 R. Ghezzal M
98 A. Maitland-Niles M
99 N. Nartey M
17 A. Moreira M
77 R. Yaremchuk F

Substitutes

40 R. Descamps G
8 C. Tolisso M
33 H. Hateboer D
6 T. Tessmann M
9 Endrick F
44 K. Merah M
5 O. Mangala M
7 A. Karabec M
21 R. Kluivert D

Lorient

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Pantaloni
38 Mvogo
25 Faye
32 Adjei
5 Meite
43 Kouassi
8 Cadiou
62 Avom
11 Bris
10 Pagis
17 Makengo
12 Dieng

Starting XI

# Player Pos
38 Y. Mvogo G
5 B. Meite D
32 N. Adjei D
25 A. Faye D
11 T. Le Bris M
62 A. Avom M
8 N. Cadiou M
43 A. Kouassi M
17 J. Makengo F
10 P. Pagis F
12 B. Dieng F

Substitutes

21 B. Kamara G
2 Igor Silva D
35 D. Semedo M
15 A. Tosin F
7 B. Fadiga M
44 D. Yongwa D
77 P. Katseris D
28 S. Soumano F
34 M. Bley M

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