Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 37
FT
Post on X
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis AC Milan
23%
24%
53%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Genoa vs AC Milan prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 23% chance of winning, AC Milan 53% and the draw 24%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Genoa

Match Stats

AC Milan
62% Ball Possession 38%
1.32 Expected Goals (xG) 1.75
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
477 Total passes 288
404 Passes accurate 227
85% Passes % 79%
-0.33 goals_prevented -0.33
Genoa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Johan Vásquez D 7.6 90' 1 1 79 (66%) 1
9 Vitinha M 7.3 90' 2 35 (29%) 2
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D 7.2 90' 67 (55%) 3
32 Morten Frendrup M 7.2 90' 38 (34%) 6
4 Alexsandro Amorim M 7.2 89' 48 (43%) 2
3 Aarón Martín D 7.0 10' 1 (1%) 1
17 Ruslan Malinovskyi M 6.9 90' 4 47 (40%)
21 Jeff Ekhator F 6.9 26' 2 3
29 Lorenzo Colombo F 6.6 85' 14 (11%)
18 Caleb Ekuban F 6.6 16'
16 Justin Bijlow G 6.5 90' 34 (31%)
34 Sebastian Otoa D 6.5 90' 58 (54%)
77 Mikael Ellertsson D 6.3 90' 31 (20%) 2
8 Tommaso Baldanzi M 6.2 64' 22 (20%)
AC Milan
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Zachary Athekame M 8.3 90' 1 1 26 (19%) 2
18 Christopher Nkunku F 7.2 76' 1 1 17 (15%)
11 Christian Pulišić M 6.9 14' 1 1 7 (7%)
16 Mike Maignan G 6.7 90' 27 (14%)
23 Fikayo Tomori D 6.7 76' 25 (19%) 1
30 Ardon Jashari M 6.6 85' 25 (23%) 1
9 Niclas Füllkrug F 6.6 22' 15 (10%)
19 Youssouf Fofana M 6.5 68' 1 11 (9%) 1
7 Santiago Giménez F 6.3 68' 1 12 (10%)
5 Koni De Winter D 6.3 14' 5 (4%) 1
31 Strahinja Pavlović D 6.3 90' 36 (32%) 3
33 Davide Bartesaghi M 6.3 90' 1 17 (14%) 2
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M 6.3 16' 7 (4%) 1
12 Adrien Rabiot M 6.2 90' 1 30 (22%) 2
4 Samuele Ricci M 6.2 22' 5 (4%)
46 Matteo Gabbia D 6.2 90' 23 (21%)
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis AC Milan
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Genoa
WDLLD
AC Milan
DLWLL
Last 3 meetings Genoa · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash on May 17, 2026, Genoa will host AC Milan at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Genoa, known for their solid defensive structure, will rely on their home advantage to challenge a typically dominant Milan side. AC Milan currently ranks higher in the league standings, boasting a potent attack led by key forwards, which has consistently outperformed Genoa's offense this season. Historical data shows that Milan has a favorable record against Genoa, winning 60% of their last 10 encounters. However, if Genoa can effectively exploit set pieces and maintain discipline at the back, they may disrupt Milan's rhythm and secure a crucial point.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Head to Head: Genoa vs AC Milan

0 Genoa Wins
2 Draws
1 AC Milan Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Jan 2026 AC Milan 1 - 1 Genoa
05 May 2025 Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan
15 Dec 2024 AC Milan 0 - 0 Genoa
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Genoa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Aug A Leicester W 0 - 1
25 Jul H Vicenza Virtus D 2 - 2
24 May A Lecce L 1 - 0
17 May H AC Milan L 1 - 2
10 May A Fiorentina D 0 - 0

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
25 Jul A Celtic D 2 - 2
24 May H Cagliari L 1 - 2
17 May A Genoa W 1 - 2
10 May H Atalanta L 2 - 3
03 May A Sassuolo L 2 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atalanta
0 0 0 0 0 0
2
Bologna
0 0 0 0 0 0
3
Cagliari
0 0 0 0 0 0
4
Como
0 0 0 0 0 0
5
Fiorentina
0 0 0 0 0 0
6
Frosinone
0 0 0 0 0 0
7
Genoa
0 0 0 0 0 0
8
Inter
0 0 0 0 0 0
9
Juventus
0 0 0 0 0 0
10
Lazio
0 0 0 0 0 0
11
Lecce
0 0 0 0 0 0
12
AC Milan
0 0 0 0 0 0
13
Monza
0 0 0 0 0 0
14
Napoli
0 0 0 0 0 0
15
Parma
0 0 0 0 0 0
16
AS Roma
0 0 0 0 0 0
17
Sassuolo
0 0 0 0 0 0
18
Torino
0 0 0 0 0 0
19
Udinese
0 0 0 0 0 0
20
Venezia
0 0 0 0 0 0

AC Milan

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
16 Maignan
31 Pavlovic
46 Gabbia
23 Tomori
33 Bartesaghi
12 Rabiot
30 Jashari
19 Fofana
24 Athekame
18 Nkunku
7 Gimenez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 M. Maignan G
23 F. Tomori D
46 M. Gabbia D
31 S. Pavlovic D
24 Z. Athekame M
19 Y. Fofana M
30 A. Jashari M
12 A. Rabiot M
33 D. Bartesaghi M
7 S. Gimenez F
18 C. Nkunku F

Substitutes

1 P. Terracciano G
96 L. Torriani G
14 L. Modric M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
4 S. Ricci M
34 V. Vladimirov D
9 N. Fullkrug F
11 C. Pulisic M
5 K. De Winter D
27 D. Odogu D
45 J. Sardo M
25 C. Bosveld -

Genoa

Formation: 4-3-2-1 Coach: Daniele De Rossi
16 Bijlow
22 Vasquez
34 Otoa
27 Marcandalli
77 Ellertsson
17 Malinovskyi
4 Amorim
32 Frendrup
9 Vitinha
8 Baldanzi
29 Colombo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 J. Bijlow G
77 M. E. Ellertsson D
27 A. Marcandalli D
34 S. Otoa D
22 J. Vasquez D
32 M. Frendrup M
4 Amorim M
17 R. Malinovskyi M
8 T. Baldanzi M
9 Vitinha M
29 L. Colombo F

Substitutes

1 N. Leali G
39 D. Sommariva G
75 G. Lafont M
21 J. Ekhator F
40 L. Klisys D
74 M. Doucoure -
20 S. Sabelli D
18 C. Ekuban F
3 A. Martin D
73 P. Masini M
80 J. Grossi M
13 N. Zatterstrom D
99 W. L. Ouedraogo D

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