Cagliari vs Udinese Prognoza

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 36
FT
Post on X
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Udinese
18%
30%
52%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Cagliari vs Udinese: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Cagliari na 18%, Udinese na 52%, a remisu na 30%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Cagliari dominated possession and created the greater volume of chances at the Unipol Domus, but it was Udinese who proved more clinical on the night. A VAR review cancelled a penalty for Cagliari's Michel Adopo in the 34th minute, denying the hosts a potential breakthrough before the interval, and the match remained goalless at half-time despite Cagliari's 63% share of the ball.

The game's decisive moment arrived early in the second half when Adam Buksa broke the deadlock with a composed finish on 56 minutes, converting Udinese's threat into a concrete lead. Cagliari's expected goals figure of 1.47 reflected genuine pressure, but their 22 total shots — compared to just nine from Udinese — ultimately counted for little against a resolute visiting defence. A flurry of substitutions from both sides reshaped the contest without altering its direction.

Idrissa Gueye sealed the result in stoppage time, finishing off a Cagliari side that had pushed hard without reward. The win moved Udinese to a commanding position on the night, with their xG of 2.47 underlining the efficiency of their performance — a result the pre-match AI model had flagged as the most likely outcome at 52%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Michel Adopo Penalty cancelled
34' 🖵
▮ 44'
Kingsley Ehizibue Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Zé Pedro Yellow Card
53' ▮
⇄ 55'
Jakub Piotrowski ⇄ Lennon Miller
⇄ 55'
Branimir Mlačić ⇄ Nicolò Bertola
⚽ 0–1 56'
Adam Buksa assist: Hassane Kamara
Marco Palestra ⇄ Gabriele Zappa
62' ⇄
Zé Pedro ⇄ Ibrahim Sulemana
62' ⇄
⇄ 65'
Adam Buksa ⇄ Keinan Davis
Michael Folorunsho ⇄ Agustín Albarracín
73' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Nicolò Zaniolo ⇄ Idrissa Gueye
⇄ 78'
Kingsley Ehizibue ⇄ Juan Arizala
Michel Adopo ⇄ Andrea Belotti
88' ⇄
Adam Obert ⇄ Yael Trepy
88' ⇄
⚽ 0–2 90'
Idrissa Gueye assist: Keinan Davis
FT 0–2
Cagliari

Match Stats

Udinese
63% Ball Possession 37%
1.47 Expected Goals (xG) 2.47
22 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 6
11 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 1
15 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 3
8 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
537 Total passes 329
460 Passes accurate 251
86% Passes % 76%
0.69 goals_prevented 0.69
Cagliari
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
94 Sebastiano Esposito F 7.2 90' – – 3 43 (36%) 1
10 Gianluca Gaetano M 6.9 90' – – 2 83 (66%) 2
33 Adam Obert D 6.9 88' – – – 43 (40%) 2
90 Michael Folorunsho M 6.9 73' – – 4 29 (25%) –
32 Zé Pedro D 6.7 62' – – – 48 (40%) 2
15 Juan Rodríguez D 6.7 90' – – 1 44 (43%) 4
8 Michel Adopo M 6.6 88' – – – 52 (46%) –
25 Ibrahim Sulemana M 6.6 28' – – – 26 (25%) –
37 Yael Trepy F 6.6 11' – – 1 2 (1%) 1
20 Agustín Albarracín F 6.5 17' – – – 7 (6%) –
2 Marco Palestra D 6.3 62' – – 2 26 (23%) –
28 Gabriele Zappa D 6.3 28' – – – 27 (22%) –
22 Alberto Dossena D 6.3 90' – – 1 60 (58%) 3
1 Elia Caprile G 6.2 90' – – – 34 (18%) –
31 Paul Mendy F 6.2 90' – – 2 13 (11%) –
19 Andrea Belotti F 6.2 11' – – – – –
Udinese
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
40 Maduka Okoye G 8.6 90' – – – 30 (18%) –
8 Jesper Karlström M 8.3 90' – – – 36 (30%) 1
11 Hassane Kamara M 7.9 90' – 1 – 23 (18%) 2
22 Branimir Mlačić D 7.9 54' – – – 25 (22%) 1
31 Thomas Kristensen D 7.3 90' – – – 25 (18%) –
24 Jakub Piotrowski M 7.3 54' – – 1 19 (17%) 2
9 Keinan Davis F 7.3 25' – 1 2 7 (5%) –
38 Lennon Miller M 7.2 36' – – – 15 (9%) 1
7 Idrissa Gueye F 7.2 12' 1 – 1 1 (1%) –
13 Nicolò Bertola D 7.2 36' – – – 9 (8%) –
18 Adam Buksa F 7.2 65' 1 – 1 19 (9%) –
28 Oumar Solet D 7.0 90' – – 1 50 (42%) 3
14 Arthur Atta F 6.7 90' – – 1 39 (30%) 1
20 Juan Arizala M 6.6 12' – – – – 1
19 Kingsley Ehizibue M 6.3 78' – – – 13 (10%) 2
10 Nicolò Zaniolo F 6.2 78' – – 1 18 (14%) –
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Udinese
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Cagliari
WLLLL
Udinese
LLDLL
Last 3 meetings Cagliari · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Cagliari will host Udinese in a crucial Serie A clash on May 10, 2026. Both teams are vying for mid-table stability, with Cagliari currently holding a slight edge in home form, winning 60% of their last five matches at Sardegna Arena. Udinese, however, has shown resilience in away fixtures, securing points against top-tier teams. Key players to watch include Cagliari's leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Udinese's playmaker, contributing significantly to their attacking plays. The match could hinge on Cagliari's defense, which has been porous, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match in recent outings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Cagliari
D. Maldini 5 gls
Udinese

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Cagliari vs Udinese

1 Cagliari Wins
1 Draws
1 Udinese Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Sep 2026 Udinese 0 - 1 Cagliari
05 Oct 2025 Udinese 1 - 1 Cagliari
03 May 2025 Cagliari 1 - 2 Udinese
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Cagliari — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Frosinone W 1 - 0
01 Nov A Lazio L 2 - 1
27 Oct A AS Roma L 4 - 2
24 Oct H Bologna L 0 - 2
19 Oct A Monza L 4 - 0

Udinese — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Venezia L 2 - 1
31 Oct H AS Roma L 2 - 5
28 Oct A Parma D 0 - 0
25 Oct H AC Milan L 0 - 2
18 Oct H Lecce L 0 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Cagliari

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: F. Pisacane
1 Caprile
33 Obert
15 Rodriguez
22 Dossena
32 Pedro
2 Palestra
90 Folorunsho
10 Gaetano
8 Adopo
31 Mendy
94 Esposito

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Caprile G
2 M. Palestra D
32 J. Pedro D
22 A. Dossena D
15 J. Rodriguez D
33 A. Obert D
8 M. Adopo M
10 G. Gaetano M
90 M. Folorunsho M
94 S. Esposito F
31 P. Mendy F

Substitutes

24 G. Ciocci G
12 A. Sherri G
19 A. Belotti F
26 Y. Mina D
28 G. Zappa D
25 I. Sulemana M
40 R. Malfitano M
37 Y. Trepy F
14 A. Deiola M
9 S. Kilicsoy F
18 O. Raterink D
20 A. Albarracin F

Udinese

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: K. Runjaic
40 Okoye
28 Solet
31 Kristensen
22 Mlacic
11 Kamara
8 Karlstrom
24 Piotrowski
19 Ehizibue
14 Atta
18 Buksa
10 Zaniolo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 M. Okoye G
22 B. Mlacic D
31 T. Kristensen D
28 O. Solet D
19 K. Ehizibue M
24 J. Piotrowski M
8 J. Karlstrom M
11 H. Kamara M
10 N. Zaniolo F
18 A. Buksa F
14 A. Atta F

Substitutes

93 D. Padelli G
90 R. Sava G
1 A. Nunziante G
15 V. Bayo F
9 K. Davis F
38 L. Miller M
33 J. Zemura D
6 O. Zarraga M
13 N. Bertola D
7 I. Gueye F
20 J. Arizala M
29 A. Camara M

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