Bologna vs Lecce Prognoza

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 32
FT
Post on X
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Bologna
64%
28%
9%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Bologna vs Lecce: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Bologna na 64%, Lecce na 9%, a remisu na 28%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Bologna secured a comfortable 2-0 home victory over Lecce in Serie A matchday 32, with Remo Freuler breaking the deadlock on 26 minutes to give the hosts a deserved half-time lead. Bologna dominated possession throughout, controlling 64% of the ball and generating an expected goals figure of 2.16 compared to Lecce's modest 0.32, reflecting the one-sided nature of the contest.

Lecce's afternoon was further complicated by yellow cards for Oumar Ngom and Jamil Siebert either side of the half-hour mark, with Ngom subsequently withdrawn at the interval. Despite a flurry of substitutions from both sides in the second half, Lecce offered little going forward, managing just one shot on target across the entire match. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bologna win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that proved well-founded.

Riccardo Orsolini wrapped up the points in stoppage time with a late strike to confirm the final scoreline. The result keeps Bologna in positive form, while Lecce will need to regroup after a largely toothless display on the road.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Remo Freuler
26' 1–0
36'
Oumar Ngom Yellow Card
38'
Jamil Siebert Yellow Card
HT 1–0
46'
Oumar Ngom ⇄ Omri Gandelman
46'
Corrie Ndaba
64'
Lameck Banda ⇄ Konan N'Dri
64'
Nikola Štulić ⇄ Walid Cheddira
João Mário ⇄ Nadir Zortea
66'
Nicolò Cambiaghi ⇄ Jonathan Rowe
74'
Simon Sohm ⇄ Tommaso Pobega
74'
83'
Santiago Pierotti ⇄ Alex Sala
Nikola Moro ⇄ Federico Bernardeschi
85'
Santiago Castro
85'
Riccardo Orsolini assist: Federico Bernardeschi
90' 2–0
FT 2–0
Bologna

Match Stats

Lecce
64% Ball Possession 36%
2.16 Expected Goals (xG) 0.32
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 2
3 Shots outsidebox 4
8 Corner Kicks 6
4 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
493 Total passes 267
418 Passes accurate 191
85% Passes % 72%
-0.60 goals_prevented -0.60
Bologna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Riccardo Orsolini M 8.3 90' 1 3 27 (20%)
6 Nikola Moro M 7.9 85' 1 63 (58%) 1
26 Jhon Lucumí D 7.7 90' 83 (75%) 1
33 Juan Miranda D 7.7 90' 52 (40%) 4
25 Massimo Pessina G 7.5 90' 35 (26%)
17 João Mário D 7.3 66' 24 (22%) 1
16 Nicolò Casale D 7.3 90' 1 62 (56%) 1
8 Remo Freuler M 7.2 90' 1 1 62 (54%)
28 Nicolò Cambiaghi M 7.2 74' 24 (20%) 2
23 Simon Sohm M 7.0 74' 1 37 (33%) 1
10 Federico Bernardeschi F 6.9 10' 1 2 (2%)
11 Jonathan Rowe F 6.9 16' 4 (1%)
20 Nadir Zortea D 6.9 24' 3 (2%)
9 Santiago Castro F 6.5 85' 1 10 (8%)
4 Tommaso Pobega M 6.3 16' 4 (1%) 1
21 Jens Odgaard F 6.3 10' 1 1
Lecce
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Jamil Siebert D 7.0 90' 28 (23%) 1
79 Oumar Ngom M 6.7 45' 14 (14%) 1
99 Walid Cheddira F 6.7 26' 4 (3%)
20 Ylber Ramadani M 6.6 90' 1 32 (25%)
25 Antonino Gallo D 6.6 45' 11 (8%) 1
44 Tiago Gabriel D 6.5 90' 39 (35%) 1
29 Lassana Coulibaly M 6.5 90' 1 17 (10%) 1
6 Alex Sala M 6.5 12' 2 (2%)
30 Wladimiro Falcone G 6.3 90' 39 (19%)
19 Lameck Banda M 6.3 64' 1 8 (6%)
16 Omri Gandelman M 6.3 45' 14 (7%)
11 Konan N'Dri F 6.3 26' 5 (2%) 1
9 Nikola Štulić F 6.3 64' 1 8 (5%)
50 Santiago Pierotti M 6.2 83' 17 (11%) 4
17 Danilo Veiga D 5.6 90' 19 (13%) 1
3 Corrie Ndaba D 5.6 45' 10 (8%)
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Bologna
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Bologna
DLDLL
Lecce
LWLLW
Last 3 meetings Bologna · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Bologna hosts Lecce in a crucial Serie A clash on April 12, 2026. Bologna will aim to leverage their home advantage, having accumulated 26 points at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara this season, with a solid home record featuring 7 wins in 14 games. Lecce, currently fighting to avoid relegation, has struggled on the road, securing only 10 points in 14 away matches. Key players to watch include Bologna's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals, and Lecce's defense, which has conceded 40 goals this season. The match will be pivotal for both teams, with Bologna looking to solidify their mid-table position and Lecce striving for vital points to escape the relegation zone.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Bologna

No scorer data.

Lecce
L. Coulibaly 2 gls

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Head to Head: Bologna vs Lecce

1 Bologna Wins
2 Draws
0 Lecce Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Sep 2025 Lecce 2 - 2 Bologna
09 Feb 2025 Lecce 0 - 0 Bologna
02 Nov 2024 Bologna 1 - 0 Lecce
Zobacz wszystkie 10 spotkania — Premium

Bologna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Torino D 1 - 1
13 Sep A Napoli L 1 - 0
06 Sep H Sassuolo D 2 - 2
31 Aug A Atalanta L 1 - 0
24 Aug H Lazio L 0 - 1

Lecce — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A AC Milan L 3 - 0
13 Sep H Monza W 3 - 2
07 Sep A Cagliari L 1 - 0
31 Aug H AS Roma L 0 - 4
23 Aug A Venezia W 0 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Bologna

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
25 Pessina
33 Miranda
26 Lucumi
16 Casale
17 Mario
8 Freuler
6 Moro
28 Cambiaghi
23 Sohm
7 Orsolini
9 Castro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 M. Pessina G
17 Joao Mario D
16 N. Casale D
26 J. Lucumi D
33 J. Miranda D
6 N. Moro M
8 R. Freuler M
7 R. Orsolini M
23 S. Sohm M
28 N. Cambiaghi M
9 S. Castro F

Substitutes

13 F. Ravaglia G
82 M. Franceschelli G
29 L. De Silvestri D
10 F. Bernardeschi F
14 T. Heggem D
20 N. Zortea D
41 M. Vitik D
11 J. Rowe F
73 F. Castaldo F
21 J. Odgaard F
4 T. Pobega M

Lecce

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
30 Falcone
3 Ndaba
5 Siebert
44 Gabriel
17 Veiga
79 Ngom
20 Ramadani
19 Banda
29 Coulibaly
50 Pierotti
9 Stulic

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 W. Falcone G
17 D. Veiga D
44 Tiago Gabriel D
5 J. Siebert D
3 C. Ndaba D
20 Y. Ramadani M
79 O. Ngom M
50 S. Pierotti M
29 L. Coulibaly M
19 L. Banda M
9 N. Stulic F

Substitutes

1 C. Fruchtl G
32 J. Samooja G
14 T. J. Helgason M
36 F. Marchwinski M
16 O. Gandelman M
6 A. Sala M
8 S. Fofana M
25 A. Gallo D
11 K. Ndri F
99 W. Cheddira F
18 G. Jean D
80 N. Kovac M
13 M. Perez D

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