Lazio vs Parma Prognoza

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

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Parma

Away

Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Lazio

65%

22%

13%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Lazio vs Parma: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Lazio na 65%, Parma na 13%, a remisu na 22%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Parma made the brighter start at the Stadio Olimpico, taking the lead through a goal on 15 minutes and heading into half-time with a deserved advantage despite Lazio's growing frustration, underlined by yellow cards on 27 and 32 minutes.

Lazio's coaching staff responded with a wave of substitutions either side of the hour mark, and the hosts eventually drew level through a goal on 77 minutes. A potential turning point came at 85 minutes when a VAR review cancelled a penalty involving goalkeeper Zion Suzuki, denying Lazio what could have been a winning spot-kick. Despite dominating possession at 61 percent and earning seven corners to Parma's two, the hosts managed only three shots on target and an expected goals figure of just 0.40, reflecting their struggles to convert territorial control into clear chances.

The 1–1 draw means Lazio drop two points at home in Matchday 31. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lazio win as the most likely outcome at 65 percent, a call that did not materialise on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 15'

▮ 27'

Yellow Card

▮ 32'

Yellow Card

HT 0–1

57' ⇄

58' ⇄

65' ⇄

⇄ 71'

77' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 80'

⇄ 81'

🖵 85'

Zion Suzuki Penalty cancelled

Yellow Card

87' ▮

⇄ 90+2'

FT 1–1

Lazio

Match Stats

Parma

61% Ball Possession 39%

0.40 Expected Goals (xG) 0.32

7 Total Shots 7

3 Shots on Goal 4

3 Shots off Goal 1

1 Blocked Shots 2

5 Shots insidebox 4

2 Shots outsidebox 3

7 Corner Kicks 2

0 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 8

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

576 Total passes 381

534 Passes accurate 324

93% Passes % 85%

0.09 goals_prevented 0.09

Lazio

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Tijjani Noslin F	7.3	32'	1	–	1	17 (14%)	–
13 Alessio Romagnoli D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	86 (84%)	–
25 Oliver Provstgaard D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	91 (88%)	1
24 Kenneth Taylor M	7.2	90'	–	1	1	58 (53%)	2
40 Edoardo Motta G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
17 Nuno Tavares D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	70 (60%)	3
9 Pedro F	6.9	58'	–	–	–	42 (36%)	1
29 Manuel Lazzari M	6.9	33'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	–
22 Matteo Cancellieri F	6.9	32'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	–
32 Danilo Cataldi M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	38 (38%)	–
77 Adam Marušić D	6.5	57'	–	–	–	46 (42%)	1
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M	6.5	90'	–	–	2	43 (43%)	1
18 Gustav Isaksen F	6.3	58'	–	–	–	17 (17%)	–
27 Daniel Maldini F	6.3	65'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	–
19 Boulaye Dia F	6.2	25'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–

Parma

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
39 Alessandro Circati D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	56 (56%)	–
15 Enrico Delprato D	7.2	90'	1	–	1	31 (25%)	–
7 Gabriel Strefezza F	7.2	81'	–	–	1	28 (24%)	3
14 Emanuele Valeri M	7.0	90'	–	–	1	21 (19%)	2
31 Zion Suzuki G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	40 (28%)	–
5 Lautaro Valenti D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	42 (39%)	1
41 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia M	6.9	71'	–	–	1	33 (29%)	3
9 Mateo Pellegrino F	6.9	90'	–	–	–	17 (10%)	1
10 Adrián Bernabé M	6.6	80'	–	–	1	41 (33%)	–
16 Mandela Keita M	6.6	89'	–	–	–	37 (34%)	–
24 Christian Ordoñez M	6.6	10'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
27 Sascha Britschgi M	6.5	89'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	–
8 Nahuel Estévez M	6.3	19'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
21 Gaetano Oristanio M	6.3	9'	–	–	–	–	–
29 Franco Carboni D	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–
22 Oliver Sørensen M	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Trudna wygrana lub remis Lazio

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Lazio

WDWWW

Parma

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Lazio · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash on April 4, 2026, Lazio hosts Parma at the Stadio Olimpico. Lazio's home form has been strong, boasting a 65% win rate at home this season, while Parma has struggled, sitting in the relegation zone with only 1 win in their last 5 matches. Key players for Lazio include Ciro Immobile, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, averaging over 0.5 goals per match. Conversely, Parma will rely on their defense to minimize damage, as they have conceded an average of 2 goals per game in recent outings. Expect Lazio to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities, making them favorites to secure the three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Parma goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	6	2
1	16	10	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	5	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Lazio goals · most likely 1–0 (15.9%)

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Players in form

Lazio

D. Frattesi 3 gls

Parma

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Lazio vs Parma

1 Lazio Wins

1 Draws

1 Parma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Dec 2025	Parma	0 - 1	Lazio
28 Apr 2025	Lazio	2 - 2	Parma
01 Dec 2024	Parma	3 - 1	Lazio

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Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Venezia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H AC Milan	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Udinese	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Genoa	W	1 - 0
24 Aug	A Bologna	W	0 - 1

Parma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Genoa	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Como	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Monza	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H Cremonese	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Juventus	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lazio

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Maurizio Sarri

40 Motta

17 Tavares

25 Provstgaard

13 Romagnoli

77 Marusic

24 Taylor

32 Cataldi

7 Dele-Bashiru

9 Pedro

27 Maldini

18 Isaksen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
40	E. Motta	G
77	A. Marusic	D
13	A. Romagnoli	D
25	O. Provstgaard	D
17	N. Tavares	D
7	F. Dele-Bashiru	M
32	D. Cataldi	M
24	K. Taylor	M
18	G. Isaksen	F
27	D. Maldini	F
9	Pedro	F

Substitutes

55	A. Furlanetto	G
99	G. Giacomone	G
23	E. Hysaj	D
29	M. Lazzari	M
22	M. Cancellieri	F
14	T. Noslin	F
26	T. Basic	M
19	B. Dia	F
20	P. Ratkov	F
21	R. Belahyane	M
28	A. Przyborek	M
71	V. Farcomeni	M

Parma

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Carlos Cuesta

31 Suzuki

5 Valenti

39 Circati

15 Delprato

14 Valeri

16 Keita

41 Caviglia

10 Bernabe

27 Britschgi

7 Strefezza

9 Pellegrino

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Z. Suzuki	G
15	E. Delprato	D
39	A. Circati	D
5	L. Valenti	D
27	S. Britschgi	M
10	A. Bernabe	M
41	H. Nicolussi Caviglia	M
16	M. Keita	M
14	E. Valeri	M
9	M. Pellegrino	F
7	G. Strefezza	F

Substitutes

40	E. Corvi	G
66	F. Rinaldi	G
8	N. Estevez	M
21	G. Oristanio	M
17	J. Ondrejka	F
3	A. Ndiaye	D
24	C. Ordonez	M
63	M. Mena	D
23	N. Elphege	F
22	O. Sorensen	M
29	F. Carboni	D