RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prognoza

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Post on X

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Away

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Typowanie AI RB Leipzig – wygrana lub remis

66%

20%

13%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej RB Leipzig na 66%, Borussia Mönchengladbach na 13%, a remisu na 20%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

RB Leipzig edged out Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 in a tight Bundesliga encounter that remained goalless at the break. The first half was disrupted by bookings for Ridle Baku and Joe Scally inside two minutes of each other, while Leipzig also lost Lukas Ullrich to an early substitution. The second half saw further disciplinary issues, with Nicolas Seiwald picking up a yellow card shortly after the restart before being withdrawn in the 78th minute alongside Baku.

Despite Mönchengladbach enjoying the greater share of possession and generating a significantly higher volume of chances — 11 shots on target and an expected goals figure of 2.43 compared to Leipzig's 1.78 — it was the hosts who broke the deadlock. Yan Diomande netted the decisive goal in the 80th minute, converting what proved to be a clinical finish against the run of play, before being substituted in stoppage time.

The result was a smash-and-grab for Leipzig, who defended resolutely to secure all three points. The pre-match AI model had rated a Leipzig win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that proved accurate despite the visitors' statistical dominance throughout.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ridle Baku Yellow Card

33' ▮

⇄ 33'

Lukas Ullrich ⇄ Hugo Bolin

▮ 35'

Joe Scally Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Nicolas Seiwald Yellow Card

47' ▮

⇄ 62'

Kevin Diks ⇄ Fabio Chiarodia

Rômulo ⇄ Johan Bakayoko

66' ⇄

Antonio Nusa ⇄ Assan Ouédraogo

66' ⇄

Xaver Schlager Yellow Card

78' ▮

Nicolas Seiwald

78' ⇄

Ridle Baku ⇄ Benjamin Henrichs

78' ⇄

Yan Diomande assist: Christoph Baumgartner

80' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

82' ▮

⇄ 85'

Jens Castrop ⇄ Kevin Stöger

⇄ 85'

Yannik Engelhardt ⇄ S. Machino

⇄ 85'

Franck Honorat ⇄ Wael Mohya

Yan Diomande ⇄ Max Finkgräfe

90+2' ⇄

FT 1–0

RB Leipzig

Match Stats

Borussia Mönchengladbach

52% Ball Possession 48%

2.43 Expected Goals (xG) 1.78

24 Total Shots 15

11 Shots on Goal 3

7 Shots off Goal 7

6 Blocked Shots 5

18 Shots insidebox 11

6 Shots outsidebox 4

11 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 6

4 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 11

442 Total passes 413

368 Passes accurate 322

83% Passes % 78%

1.95 goals_prevented 1.95

RB Leipzig

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
49 Yan Diomande F	9.6	89'	1	–	1	49 (37%)	2
22 David Raum D	8.3	90'	–	–	3	38 (30%)	2
4 Willi Orbán D	7.9	90'	–	–	–	55 (47%)	2
26 Maarten Vandevoordt G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	33 (24%)	–
14 Christoph Baumgartner M	7.3	90'	–	1	3	28 (20%)	1
17 Ridle Baku D	7.2	78'	–	–	3	44 (38%)	1
10 Brajan Gruda F	7.2	12'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
5 El Chadaille Bitshiabu D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	51 (47%)	–
24 Xaver Schlager M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	39 (34%)	1
13 Nicolas Seiwald M	6.9	78'	–	–	1	41 (40%)	2
7 Antonio Nusa F	6.7	66'	–	–	–	16 (10%)	1
20 Assan Ouédraogo M	6.6	24'	–	–	1	11 (10%)	–
39 Benjamin Henrichs D	6.6	12'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
9 Johan Bakayoko F	6.6	24'	–	–	1	15 (12%)	–
40 Rômulo F	5.6	66'	–	–	4	15 (13%)	1
35 Max Finkgräfe D	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
33 Moritz Nicolas G	8.9	90'	–	–	–	40 (27%)	–
30 Nico Elvedi D	8.0	90'	–	–	–	64 (56%)	1
27 Rocco Reitz M	7.3	90'	–	–	2	35 (27%)	1
15 Haris Tabaković F	7.2	90'	–	–	2	22 (14%)	1
4 Kevin Diks D	7.0	62'	–	–	–	39 (36%)	1
16 Philipp Sander M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	50 (41%)	2
9 Franck Honorat F	6.9	85'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	1
38 Hugo Bolin M	6.9	57'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	2
2 Fabio Chiarodia D	6.9	28'	–	–	1	15 (13%)	4
6 Yannik Engelhardt M	6.7	85'	–	–	–	36 (29%)	–
17 Jens Castrop F	6.6	85'	–	–	3	26 (15%)	2
29 Joe Scally D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	32 (21%)	2
36 Wael Mohya M	6.5	12'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
18 S. Machino F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
7 Kevin Stöger M	6.3	12'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
26 Lukas Ullrich D	6.3	33'	–	–	1	15 (11%)	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

RB Leipzig – wygrana lub remis

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RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLLLW

Last 3 meetings RB Leipzig · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, RB Leipzig will host Borussia Mönchengladbach on April 11, 2026. Leipzig, known for their high pressing and attacking prowess, will aim to leverage their home advantage, where they have historically performed well. Mönchengladbach, however, has shown resilience and tactical adaptability, making them a tough opponent. Key players to watch include Leipzig's forward line, which has been prolific this season, versus Gladbach's solid defensive unit. The match promises to showcase contrasting styles, with Leipzig likely pushing for possession and Gladbach looking to exploit counter-attacking opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Borussia Mönchengladbach goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	5	2
1	13	10	4	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	9	7	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	2	1	1

↑ RB Leipzig goals · most likely 2–0 (12.9%)

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Players in form

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

Borussia Mönchengladbach

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

1 RB Leipzig Wins

1 Draws

1 Borussia Mönchengladbach Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	RB Leipzig	3 - 0	Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 Nov 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
29 Mar 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1 - 0	RB Leipzig

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RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	3 - 4
12 Sep	A SC Freiburg	L	5 - 0
05 Sep	H SV Elversberg	L	3 - 4
29 Aug	A RB Leipzig	L	3 - 0
23 Aug	A Schott Mainz	W	0 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0