St. Truiden vs Brann Prognoza
Prognoza St. Truiden vs Brann: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej St. Truiden na 54%, Brann na 23%, a remisu na 23%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 5 Nov 2026, 21:53.
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Match Report
St. Truiden and Brann played out a competitive 1–1 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage, with both goals coming in a lively second half after a goalless first 45 minutes. Brann's Nelson Ishiwatari broke the deadlock just three minutes after the restart, giving the visitors an early advantage following a flurry of tactical substitutions from both sides around the hour mark.
St. Truiden responded well and were rewarded when Ulrik Mathisen equalised in the 79th minute, cancelling out Brann's lead and earning the Belgian side a share of the points. Mathisen was then substituted off just nine minutes later, while late yellow cards for Arbnor Muja and Sævar Atli Magnússon added some edge to the closing stages.
Brann enjoyed the greater share of possession at 57% and generated seven corner kicks to St. Truiden's two, but the hosts edged the expected goals metric at 0.97 to 0.64, reflecting their threat when it mattered. Our pre-match AI model had rated a St. Truiden win as the most likely outcome at 54%, and while the hosts couldn't quite convert that into a full victory, the equaliser ensured they avoided defeat on home soil.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
St. Truiden
Match Stats
St. Truiden
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nelson Ishiwatari M | 8.9 | 87' | 1 | – | 1 | 37 (30%) | 6 |
| 23 Joedrick Pupe D | 7.5 | 87' | – | – | – | 52 (38%) | 3 |
| 8 Abdoulaye Sissako M | 7.2 | 87' | – | – | – | 44 (36%) | 5 |
| 11 Nathanaël Mbuku M | 7.0 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 29 (25%) | 1 |
| 26 Visar Musliu D | 7.0 | 87' | – | – | – | 49 (45%) | 2 |
| 16 Léo Kokubo G | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | – |
| 60 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael D | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 53 (42%) | 1 |
| 99 Shion Shinkawa M | 6.9 | 59' | – | – | 3 | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 10 Ilias Sebaoui M | 6.7 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 22 (20%) | 1 |
| 9 Samed Baždar F | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 5 Shogo Taniguchi D | 6.6 | 87' | – | – | – | 49 (42%) | – |
| 7 Arbnor Muja F | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 14 Ryan Merlen M | 6.5 | 28' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 19 Frederic Soelle Soelle F | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 13 (8%) | – |
Brann
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Ulrik Mathisen F | 7.9 | 87' | 1 | – | 4 | 18 (12%) | 1 |
| 3 Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen D | 7.5 | 87' | – | – | – | 86 (78%) | 2 |
| 21 Neraysho Kasanwirjo M | 7.2 | 87' | – | – | – | 77 (69%) | 2 |
| 23 Thore Pedersen D | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 81 (79%) | 1 |
| 16 Kristian Eriksen M | 7.0 | 42' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | 1 |
| 10 Kristall Máni Ingason M | 6.9 | 87' | – | 1 | 3 | 42 (38%) | – |
| 12 Simen Vidtun Nilsen G | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 25 (16%) | – |
| 29 Noah Jean Holm F | 6.7 | 87' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 22 Sævar Atli Magnússon F | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 17 Joachim Soltvedt D | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | – | 19 (19%) | – |
| 25 Niklas Jensen Wassberg M | 6.5 | 87' | – | – | – | 50 (44%) | 2 |
| 2 Leo Cornic D | 6.3 | 87' | – | – | – | 36 (23%) | 2 |
| 9 Niklas Castro F | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 29 (20%) | 3 |
| 15 Jonas Torsvik D | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | – |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Min 82: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 77.8%. Late goal chance: 23.8%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 73.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Min 75: St. Truiden leads 1-0. Win probability: 85.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.7%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. St. Truiden win: 76.4%. BTTS: 46%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 76.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 47.1%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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N. Holm
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: St. Truiden vs Brann
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
St. Truiden — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Brann | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H OH Leuven | L | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Club Brugge KV | L | 3 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A FC Midtjylland | W | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Lommel United | W | 4 - 1 |
Brann — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A St. Truiden | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Molde | W | 3 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | A Grorud | W | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Lillestrom | L | 3 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Kauno Žalgiris | W | 1 - 4 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
FC Copenhagen
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Universitatea Craiova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Mjallby AIF
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |
St. Truiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ajax
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |
Trabzonspor
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |
SC Freiburg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |
SC Braga
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Gent
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Riga
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |
FC Thun
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |
Borac Banja Luka
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |
FK Jablonec
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |
Aarhus
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |
Kairat Almaty
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |
CSKA Sofia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |
FC Iberia 1999
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |
Pafos
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |
Getafe
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |
KuPS
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Midtjylland
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
St. Truiden
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Léo Kokubo | G |
| 60 | Robert-Jan Vanwesemael | D |
| 5 | Shogo Taniguchi | D |
| 26 | Visar Musliu | D |
| 23 | Joedrick Pupe | D |
| 8 | Abdoulaye Sissako | M |
| 18 | Nelson Ishiwatari | M |
| 11 | Nathanaël Mbuku | M |
| 99 | Shion Shinkawa | M |
| 10 | Ilias Sebaoui | M |
| 19 | Frederic Soelle Soelle | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | Ryan Merlen | M |
| 21 | Matt Lendfers | G |
| 35 | Yanis Ngoy | G |
| 3 | Taiga Hata | D |
| 27 | Jeremy Kandje Mbambi | D |
| 22 | Wolke Janssens | D |
| 71 | Ryotaro Araki | M |
| 7 | Arbnor Muja | F |
| 31 | Ben Achour Ilyes | M |
| 9 | Samed Baždar | F |
| 38 | Kaito Matsuzawa | F |
| 77 | Oumar Diouf | F |
Brann
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Simen Vidtun Nilsen | G |
| 2 | Leo Cornic | D |
| 3 | Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen | D |
| 23 | Thore Pedersen | D |
| 15 | Jonas Torsvik | D |
| 10 | Kristall Máni Ingason | M |
| 21 | Neraysho Kasanwirjo | M |
| 25 | Niklas Jensen Wassberg | M |
| 14 | Ulrik Mathisen | F |
| 29 | Noah Jean Holm | F |
| 9 | Niklas Castro | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Kristian Eriksen | M |
| 22 | Sævar Atli Magnússon | F |
| 17 | Joachim Soltvedt | D |
| 36 | Håkon Melås Hellesøy | G |
| 1 | Mathias Dyngeland | G |
| 20 | Vetle Dragsnes | D |
| 43 | Brage Berg Haugen | M |
| 37 | Sondre Blumenfeldt Vindenes | M |
| 11 | Bård Finne | F |
| 39 | Julian Lægreid | F |