Benfica vs Lech Poznan Prognoza
Prognoza Benfica vs Lech Poznan: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Benfica na 80%, Lech Poznan na 7%, a remisu na 13%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 5 Nov 2026, 21:54.
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Match Report
Benfica made a strong start at the Estádio da Luz, with Rafa Silva breaking the deadlock as early as the sixth minute to give the hosts a lead they carried into half-time. The Portuguese side dominated possession at 56% and created the clearer opportunities throughout, registering 23 total shots to Lech Poznan's six, with an expected goals figure of 1.91 against the visitors' 0.5.
The second half saw Benfica pull clear after a busy spell of substitutions around the hour mark. Gianluca Prestianni extended the advantage in the 67th minute, only for Lech to respond almost immediately through Leo Bengtsson two minutes later, briefly making it 2–1. That proved a fleeting consolation, as Georgiy Sudakov wrapped up the result in stoppage time to seal a comfortable 3–1 victory. Lech also struggled with discipline, picking up yellow cards through Yannick Agnero and Daniel Banjaqui before half-time.
Our pre-match AI model rated a Benfica win as most likely at 80%, a call that proved well-founded. The result strengthens Benfica's position in the UEFA Europa League league stage.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Benfica
Match Stats
Benfica
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Georgiy Sudakov M | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 50 (45%) | 2 |
| 25 Gianluca Prestianni F | 7.7 | 28' | 1 | – | 3 | 11 (8%) | – |
| 1 Anatoliy Trubin G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | – |
| 27 Rafa Silva M | 7.4 | 62' | 1 | – | 3 | 11 (4%) | – |
| 44 Tomás Araújo D | 7.2 | 69' | – | – | – | 70 (68%) | – |
| 30 Claudio Echeverri M | 7.2 | 62' | – | – | 3 | 30 (27%) | – |
| 3 Alessandro Circati D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (74%) | 2 |
| 5 Enzo Barrenechea M | 7.0 | 28' | – | 1 | – | 23 (21%) | – |
| 11 Dodi Lukebakio F | 6.9 | 8' | – | – | 3 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 36 João Palhinha M | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 26 (26%) | 1 |
| 58 Daniel Banjaqui D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 39 (34%) | 3 |
| 21 Andreas Schjelderup M | 6.6 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 35 (28%) | – |
| 22 Jhon Durán F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 16 Manuel Silva M | 6.5 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | 2 |
| 8 Fredrik Aursnes M | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 34 Souffian El Karouani D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (50%) | – |
Lech Poznan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mateusz Lis G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | – |
| 14 Leo Bengtsson M | 6.7 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 72 Mateusz Skrzypczak D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (62%) | – |
| 22 Radosław Murawski M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | – |
| 21 Pablo Rodríguez M | 6.4 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 59 Terry Yegbe D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (45%) | 2 |
| 2 Joel Pereira D | 6.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 33 (24%) | 1 |
| 7 Yannick Agnero F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 77 Luis Palma M | 6.0 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 20 Robert Gumny D | 6.0 | 11' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 2 |
| 10 Patrik Wålemark M | 5.9 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 18 (11%) | 1 |
| 24 Filip Jagiełło M | 5.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 5 Gustav Berggren M | 5.8 | 19' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 11 Daniel Håkans M | 5.7 | 62' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 43 Antoni Kozubal M | 5.5 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 31 (21%) | 2 |
| 15 Michal Gurgul D | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (20%) | – |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Benfica now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
Min 75: Benfica leads 2-1. Win probability: 87.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.2%.
Goal! Score now 2-1. Benfica win: 87%. BTTS: 100%.
Benfica now leads 2-0 with 97.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 56.4%.
Half-time: 1-0. Benfica leads. Win probability: 82.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 80.9%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
G. Prestianni
2 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Benfica vs Lech Poznan
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec 2020 | Benfica | 4 - 0 | Lech Poznan |
| 22 Oct 2020 | Lech Poznan | 2 - 4 | Benfica |
Benfica — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Lech Poznan | W | 3 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | H Alverca | W | 1 - 0 |
| 29 Oct | H GIL Vicente | W | 4 - 1 |
| 26 Oct | A Santa Clara | W | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Omonia Nicosia | W | 1 - 4 |
Lech Poznan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Benfica | L | 3 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Wisla Krakow | W | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Siarka Tarnobrzeg | L | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Legia Warszawa | W | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | H Sunderland | D | 1 - 1 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |
Beşiktaş
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Levski Sofia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |
Lyon
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |
Anderlecht
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |
OFI
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Rennes
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Torreense
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |
Real Sociedad
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |
Sparta Praha
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |
Sturm Graz
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |
Celje
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |
Celta Vigo
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |
AC Milan
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Jagiellonia
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |
Plzen
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |
Marseille
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |
Celtic
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |
Lillestrom
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
Benfica
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Marco Silva
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Trubin | G |
| 58 | Daniel Banjaqui | D |
| 3 | A. Circati | D |
| 44 | Tomás Araújo | D |
| 34 | S. El Karouani | D |
| 10 | H. Sudakov | M |
| 16 | Manu | M |
| 27 | Rafa | M |
| 30 | C. Echeverri | M |
| 21 | A. Schjelderup | M |
| 22 | J. Durán | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | F. Aursnes | M |
| 72 | A. Cabral | F |
| 6 | A. Bah | D |
| 5 | E. Barrenechea | M |
| 26 | S. Dahl | D |
| 33 | Gabriel Indio | D |
| 13 | J. Kamiński | F |
| 11 | D. Lukebakio | F |
| 36 | João Palhinha | M |
| 14 | V. Pavlidis | F |
| 25 | G. Prestianni | F |
| 24 | Samuel Soares | G |
Lech Poznan
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: N. Frederiksen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Lis | G |
| 2 | Joel Pereira | D |
| 72 | M. Skrzypczak | D |
| 59 | T. Yegbe | D |
| 15 | M. Gurgul | D |
| 22 | R. Murawski | M |
| 43 | A. Kozubal | M |
| 10 | P. Wålemark | M |
| 21 | Pablo Rodríguez | M |
| 11 | D. Håkans | M |
| 7 | Y. Agnero | F |
Substitutes
| 56 | W. Szymczak | F |
| 33 | M. Pruchniewski | G |
| 77 | L. Palma | M |
| 31 | Wiktor Obremski | G |
| 90 | H. Janyszka | D |
| 24 | F. Jagiełło | M |
| 20 | R. Gumny | D |
| 5 | G. Berggren | M |
| 14 | L. Bengtsson | M |
| 55 | Piotr Bartczak | D |
| 44 | Eryk Śledziński | M |