VPS vs HJK Helsinki Prognoza

Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 31

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VPS

Home

0 : 4

HT 0 - 3

HJK Helsinki

Away

Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa

Typowanie AI HJK Helsinki – wygrana lub remis

11%

19%

70%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza VPS vs HJK Helsinki: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej VPS na 11%, HJK Helsinki na 70%, a remisu na 19%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 2 Nov 2026, 17:55.

Typy Premium

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Away 2H Over 0.5 73%
Gość strzela 2+ 71%
Away 1H Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'

M. Borchers

M. Jalloh Yellow Card

21' ▮

⚽ 0–2 32'

S. Haarala assist: T. Pukki

Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima ⇄ S. Lindholm

37' ⇄

⚽ 0–3 41'

Alfie Cicale assist: K. Simojoki

X. Odhiambo ⇄ Henri Salomaa

45' ⇄

HT 0–3

A. Räisänen Yellow Card

48' ▮

⚽ 0–4 54'

S. Haarala assist: P. Mentu

⇄ 60'

A. Ring ⇄ L. Lingman

⇄ 60'

P. Mentu ⇄ J. Veteli

⇄ 60'

Alfie Cicale ⇄ L. Lappalainen

A. Räisänen ⇄ Dren Tërrnava

63' ⇄

W. Samaké ⇄ J. Vahtera

63' ⇄

⇄ 71'

S. Haarala ⇄ M. Kirilov

⇄ 83'

M. Borchers ⇄ L. Möller

S. Lindholm ⇄ Arnold Adu-Boahen

83' ⇄

▮ 88'

L. Lingman Yellow Card

FT 0–4

VPS

Match Stats

HJK Helsinki

49% Ball Possession 51%

0.35 Expected Goals (xG) 4.46

5 Total Shots 18

3 Shots on Goal 4

1 Shots off Goal 9

1 Blocked Shots 5

4 Shots insidebox 14

1 Shots outsidebox 4

2 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 5

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

456 Total passes 518

364 Passes accurate 435

5 Free Kicks 8

VPS

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
25 Henri Salomaa F	6.5	44'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	–
29 W. Samaké F	6.4	63'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	–
7 J. Turfkruier M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	55 (47%)	1
6 E. Okereke D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	66 (55%)	2
17 Dren Tërrnava M	6.2	27'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	1
20 X. Odhiambo F	6.1	46'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
13 Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi M	6.0	90'	–	–	1	41 (30%)	1
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan M	5.9	90'	–	–	2	39 (30%)	2
2 L. Mane D	5.9	90'	–	–	1	59 (48%)	2
34 A. Räisänen M	5.8	63'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	–
24 Y. Daoussi D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	41 (34%)	1
30 J. Vahtera M	5.7	27'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
8 Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima M	5.7	37'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	1
14 S. Lindholm M	5.6	46'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–
21 Arnold Adu-Boahen D	5.5	7'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
41 M. Jalloh G	5.4	90'	–	–	–	42 (27%)	–

HJK Helsinki

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
29 S. Haarala M	9.0	71'	2	–	2	15 (11%)	–
7 Alfie Cicale M	8.1	60'	1	–	2	18 (12%)	1
31 M. Bogićević D	7.9	90'	–	–	1	49 (47%)	3
17 N. Alho D	7.9	90'	–	–	1	71 (65%)	1
8 P. Mentu M	7.7	60'	–	1	–	25 (20%)	2
9 M. Borchers M	7.6	83'	1	–	3	41 (22%)	2
3 T. Cissokho D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	57 (47%)	–
13 K. Simojoki D	7.5	90'	–	1	1	45 (37%)	1
30 Jasper Samooja G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	27 (20%)	–
4 A. Ring M	7.2	60'	–	–	2	26 (24%)	–
26 L. Lappalainen F	7.1	30'	–	–	1	16 (13%)	–
20 T. Pukki F	7.1	90'	–	1	3	17 (14%)	2
77 J. Veteli M	7.0	30'	–	–	–	47 (44%)	1
10 L. Lingman M	6.9	30'	–	–	–	53 (51%)	2
11 M. Kirilov M	6.8	19'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	2
22 L. Möller M	6.6	7'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	–

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Confidence Medium (70%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

HJK Helsinki – wygrana lub remis

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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VPS

LDLLW

HJK Helsinki

WWDWW

Last 2 meetings VPS · 0W 0D 2L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: HJK Helsinki leads 0-4. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

54' Goal 85% sure

HJK Helsinki now leads 0-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 74%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-3. HJK Helsinki leads. Win probability: 99.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 81.1%.

43' Goal 85% sure

HJK Helsinki now leads 0-3 with 99.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 82.4%.

32' Goal 85% sure

HJK Helsinki now leads 0-2 with 96.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 88%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

11%

10%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

70%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

VPS

L. Smyth 5 gls

HJK Helsinki

M. Borchers 15 gls

T. Pukki 4 gls

S. Haarala 4 gls

Alfie Cicale 3 gls

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Head to Head: VPS vs HJK Helsinki

0 VPS Wins

0 Draws

2 HJK Helsinki Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Oct 2026	HJK Helsinki	6 - 0	VPS
18 Jul 2026	HJK Helsinki	2 - 1	VPS

VPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Nov	H HJK Helsinki	L	0 - 4
28 Oct	A AC Oulu	D	0 - 0
24 Oct	H Inter Turku	L	0 - 1
18 Oct	A KuPS	L	2 - 0
12 Oct	H Gnistan	W	1 - 0

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Nov	A VPS	W	0 - 4
29 Oct	A Inter Turku	W	2 - 4
25 Oct	H KuPS	D	2 - 2
17 Oct	H Gnistan	W	4 - 0
12 Oct	A AC Oulu	W	3 - 4

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	HJK Helsinki	31	17	7	7	63	36	+27	58
2	Inter Turku	31	16	10	5	41	27	+14	58
3	KuPS	31	14	11	6	46	31	+15	53
4	AC Oulu	31	14	5	12	38	37	+1	47
5	Gnistan	31	11	10	10	47	46	+1	43
6	VPS	31	11	7	13	31	38	-7	40

Relegration Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	27	11	6	10	35	26	+9	39
2	Ilves	27	11	5	11	45	39	+6	38
3	Turku PS	27	8	8	11	29	33	-4	32
4	SJK	27	6	9	12	29	37	-8	27
5	FF Jaro	27	4	9	14	22	49	-27	21
6	Mariehamn	27	4	7	16	22	49	-27	19

HJK Helsinki

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Rantanen

30 Samooja

13 Simojoki

31 Bogićević

3 Cissokho

17 Alho

8 Mentu

4 Ring

7 Cicale

29 Haarala

9 Borchers

20 Pukki

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	J. Samooja	G
17	N. Alho	D
3	T. Cissokho	D
31	M. Bogićević	D
13	K. Simojoki	D
4	A. Ring	M
8	P. Mentu	M
9	M. Borchers	M
29	S. Haarala	M
7	Alfie Cicale	M
20	T. Pukki	F

Substitutes

22	L. Möller	M
14	L. Montano	D
77	J. Veteli	M
24	E. LeveÃ¤lahti	D
26	L. Lappalainen	F
10	L. Lingman	M
12	M. Haapanen	G
32	Mouhamed Guèye II	M
11	M. Kirilov	M

VPS

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: J. Nuorela

41 Jalloh

24 Daoussi

6 Okereke

2 Mane

8 Lima

27 Kouassivi-Benissan

7 Turfkruier

34 Räisänen

13 Ogunniyi

29 Samaké

20 Odhiambo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
41	M. Jalloh	G
2	L. Mane	D
6	E. Okereke	D
24	Y. Daoussi	D
13	Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi	M
34	A. Räisänen	M
7	J. Turfkruier	M
27	K. Kouassivi-Benissan	M
8	Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima	M
20	X. Odhiambo	F
29	W. Samaké	F

Substitutes

18	A. Arrakoski	D
9	C. Holmelund	F
14	S. Lindholm	M
11	J. Muzinga	F
1	A. Piispa	G
25	Henri Salomaa	F
17	Dren Tërrnava	M
30	J. Vahtera	M
21	Arnold Adu-Boahen	D