Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar Prognoza

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
Typowanie AI AZ Alkmaar – wygrana lub remis
12%
20%
68%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Ararat-Armenia na 12%, AZ Alkmaar na 68%, a remisu na 20%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 22 Oct 2026, 18:38.

Match Report

AZ Alkmaar made light work of Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League league stage, securing a comfortable 4–0 victory with a clinical display. The Dutch side took control early, with Valdemar Byskov opening the scoring in the 21st minute before Weslley Patati doubled the advantage just two minutes later. Despite Ararat enjoying 61% of possession and registering nine shots on goal, they rarely threatened — a mismatch reflected in the expected goals figures of 1.7 to 0.43 in AZ's favour at the final whistle.

The second half followed a similar pattern. Patati added his second of the night on 76 minutes, and Mexx Meerdink wrapped up the scoring three minutes later to complete a dominant European away performance for AZ. Ararat's attacking efforts never truly tested the visitors, and a raft of substitutions from both sides after the hour mark did little to alter the contest's trajectory.

Our pre-match AI model had rated an AZ Alkmaar win as the most likely outcome at 68%, a call that proved well-founded as the Alkmaar side never looked in serious danger of dropping points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 21'
Valdemar Byskov
Bruno Wilson Yellow Card
23' ▮
⚽ 0–2 27'
Weslley Patati assist: Seiya Maikuma
A. Ambartsumyan Yellow Card
44' ▮
⇄ 45'
Ayoub Oufkir ⇄ Ro-Zangelo Daal
HT 0–2
A. Ambartsumyan ⇄ K. Muradyan
57' ⇄
⇄ 65'
Bendegúz Kovács ⇄ Mexx Meerdink
⇄ 65'
Seiya Maikuma ⇄ Denso Kasius
Juan Balanta ⇄ Bernardo
73' ⇄
Sandro Lima ⇄ A. Eloyan
73' ⇄
E. Grigoryan ⇄ Bruno Pereira
73' ⇄
Z. Shaghoyan ⇄ França
73' ⇄
⚽ 0–3 76'
Weslley Patati assist: Ro-Zangelo Daal
⚽ 0–4 79'
Mexx Meerdink assist: Weslley Patati
⇄ 80'
Wesley Hoedt ⇄ Rion Ichihara
⇄ 80'
Valdemar Byskov ⇄ Hessel de Wit
FT 0–4
Ararat-Armenia

Match Stats

AZ Alkmaar
39% Ball Possession 61%
0.43 Expected Goals (xG) 1.7
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 9
3 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 9
5 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
366 Total passes 571
276 Passes accurate 496
14 Free Kicks 8
Ararat-Armenia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Juan Balanta M 6.9 73' – – – 25 (23%) 3
17 M. Carlier M 6.6 90' – – – 56 (42%) 6
98 João Bravim G 6.5 90' – – – 24 (10%) –
47 Alexandros Malis D 6.5 90' – – – 40 (36%) 3
95 França F 6.4 17' – – 2 2 1
7 Z. Shaghoyan M 6.2 73' – – 2 19 (13%) 2
91 Sandro Lima F 6.1 73' – – – 18 (11%) –
70 Bernardo M 5.9 17' – – – 7 (4%) –
14 Bruno Pereira D 5.8 17' – – – 3 (3%) 1
19 K. Muradyan M 5.8 33' – – – 11 (10%) –
10 A. Ambartsumyan M 5.6 57' – – – 15 (14%) 1
2 Hugo Oliveira D 5.6 90' – – – 31 (23%) 1
9 A. Eloyan M 5.5 17' – – – 8 (5%) –
43 Bruno Wilson D 5.4 90' – – 1 55 (46%) 2
77 A. Serobyan M 5.2 90' – – 3 26 (18%) –
16 E. Grigoryan D 4.9 73' – – 1 26 (18%) –
AZ Alkmaar
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Weslley Patati F 9.3 90' 2 1 4 34 (30%) 1
17 Valdemar Byskov M 8.2 80' 1 – 4 48 (41%) –
34 Mees de Wit D 7.9 90' – – – 54 (50%) 3
29 Wesley Hoedt D 7.7 80' – – – 70 (64%) –
11 Ro-Zangelo Daal F 7.7 44' – 1 2 31 (27%) –
28 Jari De Busser G 7.6 90' – – – 52 (42%) –
4 Lewis Schouten D 7.4 90' – – 1 79 (67%) 2
9 Mexx Meerdink F 7.3 25' 1 – 1 4 (1%) –
2 Seiya Maikuma D 7.3 65' – 1 – 24 (19%) 1
30 Denso Kasius D 7.1 25' – – 1 16 (12%) –
21 Dave Kwakman M 7.1 90' – – 1 54 (51%) –
31 Rion Ichihara D 7.0 10' – – – 7 (6%) –
6 Peer Koopmeiners M 6.9 90' – – 1 60 (53%) 1
75 Hessel de Wit M 6.8 10' – – – 3 (3%) –
24 Ayoub Oufkir F 6.7 46' – – – 25 (23%) 2
18 Bendegúz Kovács F 6.3 65' – – 2 10 (7%) 1
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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
AZ Alkmaar – wygrana lub remis
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Ararat-Armenia
LWWLW
AZ Alkmaar
LLLWD
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
12%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
68%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Ararat-Armenia

No scorer data.

AZ Alkmaar
M. Meerdink 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ararat-Armenia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Torreense L 3 - 2
01 Nov H Gandzasar W 3 - 0
26 Oct H FC Noah W 2 - 1
22 Oct H AZ Alkmaar L 0 - 4
18 Oct A BKMA W 0 - 1

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Juventus L 1 - 2
31 Oct A Ajax L 1 - 0
25 Oct H Twente L 0 - 2
22 Oct A Ararat-Armenia W 0 - 4
18 Oct A Cambuur D 2 - 2

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

AZ Alkmaar

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: L. Echteld
28 Busser
34 Wit
29 Hoedt
4 Schouten
2 Maikuma
21 Kwakman
17 Byskov
6 Koopmeiners
24 Oufkir
18 Kovacs
7 Patati

Starting XI

# Player Pos
28 J. De Busser G
2 S. Maikuma D
4 L. Schouten D
29 W. Hoedt D
34 M. de Wit D
6 P. Koopmeiners M
17 V. Byskov M
21 D. Kwakman M
7 Weslley Patati F
18 B. Kovacs F
24 A. Oufkir F

Substitutes

75 H. de Wit M
14 C. Stengs M
12 H. Verhulst G
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
9 M. Meerdink F
30 D. Kasius D
31 R. Ichihara D
22 E. Dijkstra D
11 R. Daal F
5 M. Chávez D
27 Wassim bouziane F
54 Jerolldino Bergraaf F

Ararat-Armenia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
98 Bravim
16 Grigoryan
47 Malis
43 Wilson
2 Oliveira
17 Carlier
8 Balanta
7 Shaghoyan
10 Ambartsumyan
77 Serobyan
91 Lima

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 João Bravim G
2 Hugo Oliveira D
43 Bruno Wilson D
47 A. Malis D
16 E. Grigoryan D
8 J. Balanta M
17 M. Carlier M
77 A. Serobyan M
10 A. Ambartsumyan M
7 Z. Shaghoyan M
91 Sandro Lima F

Substitutes

25 A. Ndour F
9 A. Eloyan M
5 Luís Felipe D
14 Bruno Pereira D
19 K. Muradyan M
1 A. Nersesyan G
70 B. Oliveira M
95 França F

Asystent Sportiko

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