Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona Prognoza
Prognoza Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Paris Saint Germain na 37%, Barcelona na 40%, a remisu na 23%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 20 Oct 2026, 20:57.
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Match Report
Paris Saint-Germain defeated Barcelona 4–2 in the UEFA Champions League league stage, a result that looked far from certain at half-time when Désiré Doué's 38th-minute strike separated the sides. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that was ultimately unsettled by a dominant PSG second half.
Barcelona drew level through substitute Xavi Espart just after the hour mark, and the match appeared finely poised until Lucas Hernández restored PSG's advantage at 72 minutes. Lamine Yamal pulled Barcelona level again at 79 minutes, briefly threatening another swing in momentum, but PSG responded emphatically with goals from Vitinha and Fabián Ruiz in the closing stages to seal a convincing final scoreline.
Despite Barcelona enjoying 53% possession and taking 18 total shots, PSG's clinical edge proved decisive, registering 15 shots on goal and an expected goals figure of 3.82 compared to Barcelona's 2.19. Both teams made extensive use of their substitutes, with several key contributors on both sides introduced during a frantic second half.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
Match Stats
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Désiré Doué F | 9.0 | 78' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 35 (26%) | 2 |
| 8 Fabián Ruiz M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 60 (54%) | 1 |
| 17 Vitinha M | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 64 (56%) | – |
| 87 João Neves M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 36 (32%) | 3 |
| 2 Achraf Hakimi D | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 66 (59%) | 1 |
| 21 Lucas Hernández D | 7.2 | 78' | 1 | – | 1 | 33 (26%) | 3 |
| 7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F | 7.2 | 59' | – | – | 4 | 14 (12%) | 2 |
| 51 Willian Pacho D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (32%) | 2 |
| 10 Ousmane Dembélé F | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 6 Ilya Zabarnyi D | 6.7 | 31' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 5 Marquinhos D | 6.4 | 59' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | 1 |
| 9 Ferran Torres F | 6.4 | 70' | – | – | 3 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 11 Maghnes Akliouche M | 6.3 | 31' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 39 Matvey Safonov G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | – |
| 33 Warren Zaïre-Emery M | 6.1 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 24 Senny Mayulu M | 6.1 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
Barcelona
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Joan García G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | – |
| 10 Lamine Yamal M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 56 (44%) | – |
| 12 Xavi Espart D | 7.0 | 74' | 1 | – | 1 | 41 (36%) | 4 |
| 11 Raphinha F | 6.9 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 20 (19%) | – |
| 8 Pedri M | 6.8 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 38 (36%) | 1 |
| 14 Karim Adeyemi F | 6.5 | 30' | – | – | 2 | 14 (13%) | – |
| 18 Gerard Martín D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (58%) | – |
| 22 Marc Bernal M | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 16 Rodri M | 6.2 | 30' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 5 Pau Cubarsí D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (58%) | – |
| 17 Anthony Gordon M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | – |
| 6 Pablo Gavi M | 6.0 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 17 (17%) | – |
| 20 Dani Olmo M | 5.9 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 7 Fermín López M | 5.9 | 63' | – | 1 | 3 | 22 (19%) | – |
| 3 Alejandro Balde D | 5.8 | 16' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 2 João Cancelo D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (46%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Fabián Ruiz
4 gls
O. Dembélé
3 gls
D. Doué
3 gls
Raphinha
4 gls
Lamine Yamal
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct 2025 | Barcelona | 1 - 2 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 16 Apr 2024 | Barcelona | 1 - 4 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 10 Apr 2024 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 3 | Barcelona |
Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Estac Troyes | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Villarreal | W | 0 - 6 |
| 30 Oct | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 5 |
| 26 Oct | H Lyon | W | 2 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Barcelona | W | 4 - 2 |
Barcelona — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | H Aston Villa | W | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Alaves | W | 6 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Real Madrid | L | 1 - 2 |
| 20 Oct | A Paris Saint Germain | L | 4 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Real Betis | W | 2 - 5 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Paris Saint Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Luis Enrique
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | M. Safonov | G |
| 2 | A. Hakimi | D |
| 5 | Marquinhos | D |
| 51 | W. Pacho | D |
| 21 | L. Hernández | D |
| 87 | João Neves | M |
| 17 | Vitinha | M |
| 8 | Fabián Ruiz | M |
| 14 | D. Doué | F |
| 10 | O. Dembélé | F |
| 7 | K. Kvaratskhelia | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | M. Akliouche | M |
| 30 | L. Chevalier | G |
| 12 | L. Digne | D |
| 4 | Beraldo | D |
| 27 | Pedro Fernández | M |
| 22 | M. Godts | F |
| 24 | Senny Mayulu | M |
| 80 | Adam Mouak | G |
| 47 | Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha | F |
| 9 | Ferran Torres | F |
| 6 | I. Zabarnyi | D |
| 33 | W. Zaïre-Emery | M |
Barcelona
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: H. Flick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joan García | G |
| 12 | X. Espart | D |
| 5 | Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D |
| 18 | Gerard Martín | D |
| 2 | João Cancelo | D |
| 22 | Marc Bernal | M |
| 8 | Pedri | M |
| 10 | Lamine Yamal | M |
| 20 | Dani Olmo | M |
| 17 | A. Gordon | M |
| 11 | Raphinha | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | Alejandro Balde | D |
| 41 | A. Campos | D |
| 21 | F. de Jong | M |
| 4 | B. Farinas | M |
| 7 | Fermín | M |
| 9 | Gabriel Jesus | F |
| 6 | Gavi | M |
| 25 | D. Livaković | G |
| 16 | Rodri | M |
| 13 | W. Szczęsny | G |
| 29 | H. Abdelkarim | F |
| 14 | K. Adeyemi | F |