Barcelona vs Celta Vigo Prognoza

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 33
FT
Post on X
Camp Nou, Barcelona
Typowanie AI Barcelona – wygrana lub remis
76%
15%
9%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Barcelona vs Celta Vigo: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Barcelona na 76%, Celta Vigo na 9%, a remisu na 15%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Barcelona secured a narrow 1–0 victory over Celta Vigo at home in La Liga Matchday 33, with the only goal coming from the penalty spot. Lamine Yamal converted the spot-kick on 40 minutes to give the hosts a half-time lead, though the teenager was withdrawn just before the break following an earlier substitution that had already reshaped Barcelona's shape. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win as the most likely outcome at 76%, and that assessment proved correct.

The second half offered little in the way of additional goals despite a flurry of changes from both benches. Ferran Torres thought he had doubled the lead, but a VAR review ruled the effort out at the 56th minute. Celta's Yoel Lago picked up a yellow card shortly after before being substituted off, while Barcelona continued to rotate heavily with Dani Olmo and others introduced in the final quarter.

Despite dominating possession at 61%, Barcelona were marginally outperformed in expected goals — 1.23 to Celta's 1.41 — reflecting a somewhat unconvincing display. Eric García's late booking added a minor footnote to what was ultimately a functional, if unspectacular, three points for the hosts.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

João Cancelo ⇄ Alejandro Balde
23' ⇄
Lamine Yamal Penalty
40' ⚽ 1–0
Lamine Yamal ⇄ Roony Bardghji
45+9' ⇄
HT 1–0
Pablo Gavi ⇄ Fermín López
46' ⇄
Ferran Torres Goal cancelled
56' 🖵
▮ 59'
Yoel Lago Yellow Card
⇄ 63'
Hugo Álvarez ⇄ Williot Swedberg
⇄ 63'
Yoel Lago ⇄ Óscar Mingueza
⇄ 72'
Pablo Durán ⇄ Borja Iglesias
Dani Olmo ⇄ F. de Jong
73' ⇄
Ferran Torres ⇄ Marcus Rashford
73' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Fer López ⇄ Iago Aspas
⇄ 81'
Ferran Jutglà ⇄ Hugo Sotelo
Eric García Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
FT 1–0
Barcelona

Match Stats

Celta Vigo
61% Ball Possession 39%
1.23 Expected Goals (xG) 1.41
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Corner Kicks 3
3 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
710 Total passes 455
664 Passes accurate 398
94% Passes % 87%
0.13 goals_prevented 0.13
Barcelona
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Joan García G 8.2 90' – – – 28 (26%) –
10 Lamine Yamal M 8.2 44' 1 – 3 15 (13%) –
18 Gerard Martín D 7.9 90' – – – 100 (93%) 3
5 Pau Cubarsí D 7.7 90' – – – 117 (114%) 1
8 Pedri M 7.3 90' – – 1 90 (84%) 3
16 Fermín López M 7.2 45' – – 1 27 (24%) 4
23 Jules Koundé D 7.0 90' – – – 86 (82%) 1
3 Alejandro Balde D 7.0 67' – – – 51 (48%) 1
24 Eric García M 6.9 90' – – – 66 (59%) 1
2 João Cancelo D 6.9 23' – – – 9 (8%) 2
21 F. de Jong M 6.9 17' – – – 17 (17%) 2
19 Roony Bardghji F 6.9 46' – – 1 34 (32%) 1
6 Pablo Gavi M 6.7 45' – – – 12 (12%) –
20 Dani Olmo M 6.7 73' – – 2 35 (31%) 2
14 Marcus Rashford F 6.5 17' – – – 6 (5%) –
7 Ferran Torres F 6.3 73' – – – 17 (16%) –
Celta Vigo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Ilaix Moriba M 7.2 90' – – – 42 (37%) 5
20 Marcos Alonso D 6.9 90' – – – 69 (64%) 1
5 Sergio Carreira M 6.9 90' – – – 42 (37%) 2
18 Pablo Durán F 6.9 72' – – 3 14 (11%) 1
8 Fer López M 6.9 81' – – – 36 (34%) 4
10 Iago Aspas F 6.9 9' – – – 7 (7%) –
13 Ionuț Radu G 6.7 90' – – – 28 (20%) –
23 Hugo Álvarez F 6.7 63' – – – 26 (21%) 1
3 Óscar Mingueza D 6.6 27' – – – 14 (12%) –
19 Williot Swedberg M 6.6 27' – – – 10 (9%) 2
7 Borja Iglesias F 6.3 18' – – – – –
32 Javi Rodríguez D 6.3 90' – – – 68 (63%) 1
22 Hugo Sotelo M 6.3 9' – – – 11 (9%) –
17 Javier Rueda M 6.3 90' – – – 23 (20%) 1
9 Ferran Jutglà F 6.2 81' – – 1 29 (22%) 1
29 Yoel Lago D 5.6 63' – – – 36 (32%) –
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Barcelona – wygrana lub remis
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Barcelona
WWWWW
Celta Vigo
WLDDD
Last 3 meetings Barcelona · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Barcelona hosts Celta Vigo in a La Liga clash on April 22, 2026. Barcelona has been dominant at home, boasting an impressive win rate of over 75% in their last 20 league matches at Camp Nou. Celta Vigo, while capable of surprises, has struggled against top-tier teams, with only 2 wins in their last 10 encounters with Barcelona. Key players like Robert Lewandowski and Pedri will be crucial for the home side, while Celta will rely on Iago Aspas to create scoring opportunities. Overall, expect Barcelona to leverage their home advantage to secure a vital three points in their title chase.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Barcelona
Raphinha 12 gls
Lamine Yamal 7 gls
Fermín 4 gls
K. Adeyemi 2 gls
Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Barcelona vs Celta Vigo

2 Barcelona Wins
1 Draws
0 Celta Vigo Wins
Date Home Score Away
09 Nov 2025 Celta Vigo 2 - 4 Barcelona
19 Apr 2025 Barcelona 4 - 3 Celta Vigo
23 Nov 2024 Celta Vigo 2 - 2 Barcelona
Zobacz wszystkie 10 spotkania — Premium

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Sevilla W 1 - 3
16 Sep H Racing Santander W 7 - 2
13 Sep A Levante W 2 - 4
09 Sep H Feyenoord W 5 - 1
06 Sep A Valencia W 0 - 5

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Racing Santander W 5 - 0
16 Sep A Omonia Nicosia L 1 - 0
13 Sep H Malaga D 1 - 1
07 Sep A Getafe D 1 - 1
03 Sep A Real Sociedad D 0 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Barcelona

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: H. Flick
13 Garcia
2 Cancelo
18 Martin
5 Cubarsi
23 Kounde
8 Pedri
24 Garcia
6 Gavi
20 Olmo
10 Yamal
7 Torres

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 J. Garcia G
23 J. Kounde D
5 P. Cubarsi D
18 G. Martin D
2 J. Cancelo D
24 E. Garcia M
8 Pedri M
10 Lamine Yamal M
20 D. Olmo M
6 Gavi M
7 F. Torres F

Substitutes

25 W. Szczesny G
31 D. Kochen G
9 R. Lewandowski F
21 F. de Jong M
4 R. Araujo D
19 R. Bardghji F
14 M. Rashford F
3 A. Balde D
17 M. Casado M
16 Fermín M
43 T. Marques M
42 X. Espart D

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Claudio Giraldez
13 Radu
20 Alonso
29 Lago
32 Rodriguez
5 Carreira
6 Moriba
8 Lopez
17 Rueda
23 Alvarez
18 Duran
9 Jutgla

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
29 Y. Lago D
20 M. Alonso D
17 J. Rueda M
8 F. Lopez M
6 I. Moriba M
5 S. Carreira M
9 F. Jutgla F
18 P. Duran F
23 H. Alvarez F

Substitutes

1 I. Villar G
15 M. Vecino M
19 W. Swedberg M
39 J. El Abdellaoui F
12 M. Fernandez D
36 A. Antanon M
10 I. Aspas F
7 B. Iglesias F
4 J. Aidoo D
3 O. Mingueza D
14 A. Nunez D
22 H. Sotelo M

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