Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv Prognoza

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Qarabag

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2 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Mecz pierwszej rundy 0-1 · Łącznie 2-1

Dynamo Kyiv

Away

Typowanie AI Qarabag lub remis

50%

27%

24%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Qarabag na 50%, Dynamo Kyiv na 24%, a remisu na 27%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 13 Aug 2026, 18:04.

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Match Report

Qarabag secured a convincing 2–0 victory over Dynamo Kyiv in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, despite spending much of the match defending deep. The Azerbaijani side struck early, finding the net in the 12th minute to take a deserved lead into the break, before doubling their advantage through a second goal on 69 minutes to put the tie firmly in their hands.

The match was a disciplined defensive display from Qarabag, who surrendered 74% of possession to their Ukrainian opponents yet remained resolute throughout. Dynamo Kyiv, despite their dominance on the ball, managed just one shot on target across the entire contest, underlining how effectively the hosts nullified the threat in front of them. Three yellow cards were distributed across the two sides, reflecting occasional flashpoints in what was otherwise a controlled performance from Qarabag.

Both teams made a flurry of substitutions in the final quarter of an hour as the game wound down. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Qarabag win as the most likely outcome at 50%, a call that proved correct as the hosts advanced with a clean sheet.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

12' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 29'

Yellow Card

▮ 45+4'

Yellow Card

HT 1–0

Yellow Card

62' ▮

69' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ Bruno Langa

72' ⇄

⇄ Renaldo Cephas

72' ⇄

⇄ 73'

⇄ 78'

81' ⇄

⇄ 83'

88' ⇄

FT 2–0

Qarabag

Match Stats

Dynamo Kyiv

74% Ball Possession 26%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

1 Shots on Goal 0

2 Shots off Goal 0

0 Blocked Shots 0

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

1 Corner Kicks 0

0 Offsides 1

1 Fouls 4

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Qarabag lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Qarabag

WDWWL

Dynamo Kyiv

WWDLW

Last 1 meetings Qarabag · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dynamo Kyiv goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Qarabag goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	6.3%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.2%	13.8%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.4%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.6%	4.8%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.8%	1.9%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Qarabag	Draw	Dynamo Kyiv
Qarabag	28.9%	4.7%	1.8%
Draw	17.4%	18.4%	11.2%
Dynamo Kyiv	2.1%	3.7%	11.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv

0 Qarabag Wins

0 Draws

1 Dynamo Kyiv Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	Dynamo Kyiv	1 - 0	Qarabag

Qarabag — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Safa Baku	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	A Zira	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Araz	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Sumqayıt	W	0 - 1
27 Aug	H Twente	L	1 - 4

Dynamo Kyiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Zorya Luhansk	W	0 - 2
14 Sep	H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	H LNZ Cherkasy	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Bukovyna	L	3 - 0
16 Aug	H Kolos Kovalivka	W	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Dynamo Kyiv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Igor Kostyuk

71 Surkis

44 Dubinchak

32 Mykhavko

40 Bilovar

5 Sych

15 Rubchynskyi

6 Brazhko

70 Redushko

21 Lonwijk

39 Guerrero

11 Ponomarenko

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
71	Vyacheslav Surkis	G
5	Oleksii Sych	D
40	Kristian Bilovar	D
32	Taras Mykhavko	D
44	Vladyslav Dubinchak	D
6	Volodymyr Brazhko	M
15	Valentyn Rubchynskyi	M
39	Eduardo Guerrero	F
21	Justin Lonwijk	M
70	Bogdan Redushko	M
11	Matvii Ponomarenko	F

Substitutes

43	Ilya Olkhovyi	G
18	Oleksandr Tymchyk	D
23	Navin Malysh	D
66	Aliou Thiare	D
10	Mykola Shaparenko	M
14	Pavlo Liusin	M
16	Shola Ogundana	M
22	Vladyslav Kabaiev	M
29	Vitaliy Buyalskiy	M
91	Mykola Mykhailenko	M
99	Pierre Mounguengue	F

Qarabag

Formation: 4-2-1-3 Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

23 Zlomislić

44 Cafarquliyev

55 Hüseynov

4 Várkonyi

2 Silva

8 Janković

35 Bicalho

20 Borges

10 Zoubir

21 Kashchuk

7 Mouaddib

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Martin Zlomislić	G
2	Matheus Silva	D
4	Bence Várkonyi	D
55	Bədavi Hüseynov	D
44	Elvin Cafarquliyev	D
35	Pedro Bicalho	M
8	Marko Janković	M
20	Kady Borges	M
7	Jaly Mouaddib	M
21	Olexiy Kashchuk	M
10	Abdellah Zoubir	M

Substitutes

1	Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev	G
99	Mateusz Kochalski	G
5	Bruno Langa	D
13	Bahlul Mustafazada	D
9	Joni Montiel	M
32	Hikmat Cabrayilzada	M
49	Ali Bashirov	M
88	Samuel Lobato	M
22	Musa Qurbanlı	F
29	Renaldo Cephas	F